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Finding common ground when experts disagree : belief dominance over portfolios of alternatives

Baker, Erin; Bosetti, Valentina; Salo, Ahti A. - 2016

We address the problem of choosing a portfolio of policies under "deep uncertainty." We introduce the idea of belief dominance as a way to derive a set of non-dominated portfolios and robust individual alternatives. Our approach departs from the tradition of providing a single recommended...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011504367

Ordering ambiguous acts

Jewitt, Ian; Mukerji, Sujoy - 2017

We investigate what it means for one act to be more ambiguous than another. The question is evidently analogous to asking what makes one prospect riskier than another, but beliefs are neither objective nor representable by a unique probability. Our starting point is an abstract class of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011694759

A simple framework for climate-change policy under model uncertainty

Athanasoglou, Stergios; Bosetti, Valentina; Drouet, Laurent - 2016

We propose a novel framework for the economic assessment of climate-change policy. Our main point of departure from existing work is the adoption of a "satisficing", as opposed to optimizing, modeling approach. Along these lines, we place primary emphasis on the extent to which different...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011614242

Mortality improvement rates : modeling, parameter uncertainty and robustness

Hunt, Andrew; Villegas, Andrés M. - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585895

Obfuscation, learning, and the evolution of investor sophistication

Carlin, Bruce Ian; Manso, Gustavo - 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003843620

Management of a capital stock by Strotz's naive planner

Tyson, Christopher J. (contributor) - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003564885

Cost-benefit analysis under uncertainty

Graham, Daniel A. - 1977

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000646414

Uncertainty in cooperation between service buyers and sellers

Eriksson, Kent; Sharma, Deo; Silver, Lars - 1999

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001363522

Adapting to climate change : an analysis under uncertainty

García-León, David - 2016

composition of the optimal mix as both persuade the risk-averse social planner to invest more in mitigation. Overall, we identify …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451547

Building uncertainty into the adaptation cost estimation in integrated assessment models

Markandya, Anil; De Cian, Enrica; Drouet, Laurent; … - 2016

uncertainty into Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs). Uncertainty is transformed into a risk-premium, damage-correction, region …. This risk premium quantifies what society would be willing to pay to insure against the uncertainty of the damages, and it … highly sensitive to the coefficient of relative risk aversion. Once the climate change damage function incorporates the risk …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451668

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