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Forecasting annual inflation in Suriname
Ooft, Gavin; Bhaghoe, Sailesh; Franses, Philip Hans - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012113890
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Forecasting annual inflation in Suriname
Ooft, Gavin; Bhaghoe, Sailesh; Franses, Philip Hans - In: Journal of international financial markets, … 73 (2021), pp. 1-8
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012802134
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Does disagreement amongst forecasters have predictive value?
Legerstee, Rianne; Franses, Philip Hans - 2010
predictive power of disagreement amongst forecasters. The premise is that this variable could signal upcoming structural or … variety of macroeconomic variables, and we use different measurements for the degree of disagreement, together with measures … compared on forecast accuracy. We find that disagreement has predictive power indeed and that this variable can be used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381819
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Estimates of quarterly GDP growth using MIDAS regressions
Bhaghoe, Sailesh; Ooft, Gavin; Franses, Philip Hans - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149762
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Evaluating combined non-replicable forecasts
Chang, Chia-Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; McAleer, Michael - 2010 - Rev.
Macroeconomic forecasts are often based on the interaction between econometric models and experts. A forecast that is based only on an econometric model is replicable and may be unbiased, whereas a forecast that is not based only on an econometric model, but also incorporates an expert’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008840805
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Evaluating combined non-replicable forecasts
Chang, Chia-Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; McAleer, Michael - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008760499
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Evaluating real-time forecasts in real-time
Dijk, Dick van (contributor);  … - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003753981
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Evaluating Real-Time Forecasts in Real-Time
Ravazzolo, Francesco - 2010
The accuracy of real-time forecasts of macroeconomic variables that are subject to revisions may crucially depend on the choice of data used to compare the forecasts against. We put forward a flexible time - varying parameter regression framework to obtain early estimates of the final value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012717174
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Testing rational expectations in agricultural markets using periodic models
Kuiper, Erno; Franses, Philip Hans; Kloek, Teunis - 1993
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000894161
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On inflation expectations in the NKPC model
Franses, Philip Hans - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 57 (2019) 6, pp. 1853-1864
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215892