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Studies of the effect of government spending on unemployment are potentially confounded by reverse causality. To … expenditure on road-building substantially reduces local unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014207366
This paper revisits options for fiscal anchors in Australia against the backdrop of a medium-term budget balance anchor that has led to larger than expected upward drift in the net debt to GDP ratio since the end of the mining investment boom. The IMF's G20MOD model is used to compare the budget...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929922
This paper estimates the macroeconomic effects of government spending shocks in New Zealand. Using a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model, I find small output multipliers for government consumption but large multipliers for government investment. Importantly, the real exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548884
Empirically, the cyclical pattern of fiscal policy differs between developed and developing countries, with in particular much greater pro-cyclicality and volatility of public investment in developing countries. In this paper I provide a theoretical explanation for the observed differences by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010679301
December 2011 was a critical month for the Euro currency credibility within the Euro Zone. This is because for the latest 5 years of economic and financial crisis ardent economic and political debates are still trying to sort out the sequels of this recession. Within this context, this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113346
reduced unemployment by 0.62 jobs per year. We allow for possible spatial effects, i.e. the propagation of the stimulus to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867678
rates and high, persistent, unemployment. An increase in government spending boosts economic activity and reduces the … unemployment rate both in the present and in the future. As a less disconcerting future spurs a rise in private consumption …, unemployment falls even further and triggers an additional rise in private demand, and so on. In a stylized model, I show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009651256
This paper investigates the effects of fiscal policy shocks on net export performance and the sectoral composition of output in Greece in the post 2000 period. A reduction in government spending (or a tax hike) exerts a negative response on output which reduces import demand. A cut back in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079018
This paper investigates the effects of fiscal policy shocks on net export performance and the sectoral composition of output in Greece in the post 2000 period. A reduction in government spending (or a tax hike) exerts a negative response on output which reduces import demand. A cut back in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099331
This paper studies a model of equilibrium unemployment in which the ecacy of scal policy increases markedly in times of … unemployment But as a persistent rise in unemployment fuels pessimism, the economy is set on a downward spiral in which thrift … unemployment rate both in the present and in the future. Pessimism is replaced by optimism and the vicious cycle is turned into a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010761907