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Some option series in the market are far less liquid than others. Market illiquidity can reduce the informativeness of option prices. In this paper, we propose alternative schemes to estimate implied volatility while reducing the importance attached to illiquid options. Using data for index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008925087
This paper proposes a new method for estimating continuous-time stochastic volatility (SV) models for the S&P 500 stock index process using intraday high-frequency observations of both the S&P 500 index and the Chicago Board of Exchange (CBOE) implied (or expected) volatility index (VIX)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009142363
In this paper, we study the role of the volatility risk premium for the forecasting performance of implied volatility. We introduce a non-parametric and parsimonious approach to adjust the model-free implied volatility for the volatility risk premium and implement this methodology using more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738271
This paper proposes a new method for estimating continuous-time stochastic volatility (SV) models for the S&P 500 stock index process using intraday high-frequency observations of both the S&P 500 index and the Chicago Board of Exchange (CBOE) implied (or expected) volatility index (VIX)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008828716
We include simultaneously both realized volatility measures based on high-frequency asset returns and implied volatilities backed out of individual traded at the money option prices in a state space approach to the analysis of true underlying volatility. We model integrated volatility as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008835428
This paper proposes a new method for estimating continuous-time stochastic volatility (SV) models for the S&P 500 stock index process using intraday high-frequency observations of both the S&P 500 index and the Chicago Board of Exchange (CBOE) implied (or expected) volatility index (VIX)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008836557
We propose a simple model in which realized stock market return volatility and implied volatility backed out of option prices are subject to common level shifts corresponding to movements between bull and bear markets. The model is estimated using the Kalman filter in a generalization to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008549066
The main goal of this study is to analyse the ability of the implied volatility index (VIX) to incorporate current stock market information that is relevant for the volatility forecasts. Employing historical market volatility, market trading volume and significant stock market returns as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010897986
An anchoring adjusted currency option pricing formula is developed in which the risk of the underlying currency is used as a starting point which gets adjusted upwards to arrive at the currency call risk. Anchoring bias implies that such adjustments are insufficient. The new formula converges to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011250911
This study examines both restricted and unrestricted Black-Sholes models, according to Longstaff (1995). Using the Taiwan index options for each day from January 2005 to December 2008, the unrestricted model simultaneously solves the implied index value and implied volatility whereas the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011206165