Showing 1 - 10 of 83
. This was a period of very low inflation. The rate of growth in the aggregate price level was occasionally very close to … inflation. The declining prices cannot, however, be explained by lack of demand or any generalized deflationary tendencies … develops a new method for looking at the composition of inflation and illustrating how relative price dynamics interact with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648879
have used for illustrative purposes, we pinned down the long-run inflation expectations and domestic and foreign potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423701
This paper analyzes euro area and U.S. inflation dynamics since the beginning of the 1990s by estimating New Keynesian … hybrid Phillips curves with time-varying parameters. We measure inflation expectations by subjective forecasts from Consensus … results indicate that in both economic areas the inflation dynamics have steadily become more forward-looking over time. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818992
of U.S. inflation and marginal cost turns out superior to the best-fitting conventional causal VAR model in forecasting … inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818995
This paper examines recent changes in the cyclicality of euro area inflation. We estimate time-varying parameters for … become steeper since 2012. Thus, the current low level of inflation and persistently negative output gap increase the risk … that euro area inflation will stay below the monetary policy target for an extended period. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099548
supply-side effects into account, we get more persistent inflation and output reactions. We also show that the dichotomy does …, under a discretionary monetary policy, the fiscal policy regime affects the size of the inflation bias. We also show that … commitment to an optimal monetary policy not only corrects the inflation bias but also increases the persistence of output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008774227
We investigate both the rational explosive inflation paths studied by McCallum (2001) and the classification of fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423711
of the two. We compare the accounting definition of deficit with the economic definition which takes inflation into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207145
optimise. Under discretionary monetary policy the size of the inflation bias depends on the fiscal policy regime. Using the … with the alternative fiscal policy rules, and inflation and output persistence reflects the economic data. With the deficit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207156
results in more persistent inflation as well as output responses to shocks, than without the supply-side channel. We also … discuss the different monetary and fiscal policy regimes and their implication on the stability of inflation and output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648851