cointegrating relationship to a spurious regression. The cointegration monitoring procedure is based on residuals from modified …

analyze data for different product categories, and also cointegration techniques to carefully distinguish between short …

"The Quest for Stability" in Utrecht, the Netherlands. The papers contained in this SUERF Study jointly published with DNB …

We assess whether euro area inflation expectations, as measured by break-even inflation rates (BEIRs), have remained … illiquidity or demand-supply imbalances, but not reflecting genuine inflation expectations and inflation risk premia. We estimate … a bivariate VAR with short-term and long-term BEIRs, allowing for measurement noise in both. Anchoring of inflation …

permanent shifts of the exchange rate and the price level if a central bank anchors long-run inflation expectations. In line …-run price level target rather than a long-run inflation target avoids these permanent shifts of the exchange rate and the price …

A constant price level facilitates cooperation among firms whereas steady inflation and deflation rates lower firms …' ability to cooperate. In an experimental market with price competition we show that both inflation and deflation signicantly … welfare: depending on the market structure, inflation and deflation lead to significantly lower real prices and higher welfare. …

developed here to test for unit roots in OECD panels of gross domestic products and inflation rates, yielding inference robust … to the `Great Moderation.' We find little evidence of trend stationarity, and mixed evidence regarding inflation …