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[...] in many situations a decision does not have to be made immediately, but can be delayed until additional information has been acquired. Sequential analysis seems particularly applicable to the problem of predicting turning points in the business cycle (Palash and Radecki, 1985). Elaborating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493800
Most of the Euro-zone economic short-term indicators are computed through aggregation from Member States data. The seasonally adjusted figures can be calculated by seasonally adjusting the aggregate (direct approach) or aggregating the seasonally adjusted national data (indirect approach)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493801
In this paper, we investigate the impact of the adjustment for seasonal effects with different seasonal adjustment methods, the possible pre-treatment for calendar effects and the different order of aggregation and adjustment for the determination of the turning points of the European business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493802
We examine the indicator property of the monetary indicator for inflation. Using a P*-model, Svensson (2000) shows theoretically that the relationship between these two variables is rather tenuous. The present study employs empirical evidence on the relations in his model to quantify its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493806
One major shortcoming in Euroland's National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) consists in the missing distinction between exports (imports) on the one hand and dispatches (arrivals) between the member states on the other hand. In this paper "true" NIPA trade is derived from official figures....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493807
Are there differences in the way that European countries practise and use evaluation? The answer to this question needs to be qualified. Evaluation developed during different periods and under diverse external and internal influences, in varying proportions from country to country. Identifiable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498997
The article provides an overview of the most important current EU initiatives contributing to sustainable finance. After an introduction on how the concept of sustainability entered the domain of European policy, the definition of sustainable finance from the EU perspective is discussed, as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154749
The ECB has announced that when government and corporate bonds come to maturity in the context of its QE-program, new bonds will be bought in the market so as to keep the money stock (money base) unchanged. This creates a "window of opportunities" for the ECB. It could replace the old bonds with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154787
Der Rückgang der deutschen Staatsverschuldung auf rd. 60 % des BIP in diesem Jahr ist ein Erfolg für die deutsche Haushaltspolitik. Eine Zerlegung der Entwicklung der Staatsverschuldung seit dem Jahr 2010 zeigt, dass der Schuldenabbau in Deutschland im Wesentlichen durch ein über weite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155258
Zu hohe Schulden der privaten Haushalte und Unternehmen haben maßgeblich zum Ausbruch und Verlauf der Finanzkrise beigetragen. Um eine Wiederholung zu vermeiden, wird die private Verschuldung inzwischen überwacht. Betrachtet wird dabei primär die Schuldenhöhe. Ihre Struktur (d. h....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155297