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The Greek debt crisis: Likely causes, mechanics and outcomes
Arghyrou, Michael G.; Tsoukalas, John D. - 2010
fiscal guarantees, respectively occurring in November 2009 and February/March 2010. We argue that the risk of contagion to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274777
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Bank bailouts, international linkages and cooperation
Niepmann, Friederike; Schmidt-Eisenlohr, Tim - 2011
intervention have stronger effects beyond borders. We provide a model of international contagion allowing for bank bailouts. While …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274723
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The Global Financial Cycle and Capital Flow Episodes: A Wobbly Link?
Scheubel, Beatrice D.; Stracca, Livio; Cedric, Tille - 2019
We add to the literature on the influence of the global financial cycle (GFC) and gyrations in capital flows. First, we build a new measure of the GFC based on a structural factor approach, which incorporates theoretical priors in its definition. This measure can also be decomposed in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179766
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The Global Financial Cycle and Capital Flow Episodes : A Wobbly Link?
Scheubel, Beatrice - 2019
We add to the literature on the influence of the global financial cycle (GFC) and gyrations in capital flows. First, we build a new measure of the GFC based on a structural factor approach, which incorporates theoretical priors in its definition. This measure can also be decomposed in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858195
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International Credit Flows and Pecuniary Externalities
Brunnermeier, Markus; Sannikov, Yuliy - 2015
This paper develops a dynamic two-country neoclassical stochastic growth model with incomplete markets. Short-term credit flows can be excessive and reverse suddenly. The equilibrium outcome is constrained inefficient due to pecuniary externalities. First, an undercapitalized country borrows too...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010480876
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The politics of IMF forecasts
Dreher, Axel; Marchesi, Silvia; Vreeland, James Raymond - 2007
Using panel data for 157 countries over the period 1999-2005 we empirically investigate the politics involved in IMF economic forecasts. We find a systematic bias in growth and inflation forecasts. Our results indicate that countries voting in line with the US in the UN General Assembly receive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264236
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Monetary Policies of Large Industrialised Countries, Emerging Market Credit Cycles and Feedback Effects
Hoffmann, Andreas; Schnabl, Gunther - 2014
This paper explores the link between monetary policies of large industrial countries and international credit cycles. Based on an overinvestment framework, we show that in the prevailing asymmetric world monetary system, monetary policies of large centre countries can fuel credit booms in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352379
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Stock market integration between three CEECs, Russia and the UK
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Spagnolo, Nicola - 2010
Russia. The adopted framework allows to analyse interdependence by estimating volatility spillovers, and also contagion by … evidence on possible changes in the transmission mechanism (namely, on whether there is contagion) can be obtained by examining … spillovers between the three CEECs considered and the UK (contagion). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270472
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International Inflation Spillovers Through Input Linkages
Auer, Raphael A.; Levchenko, Andrei A.; Sauré, Philip - 2017
We document that observed international input-output linkages contribute substantially to synchronizing producer price inflation (PPI) across countries. Using a multi-country, industry-level dataset that combines information on PPI and exchange rates with international and domestic input-output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657116
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Pegging the Renminbi to a basket: Facts, prospects and consequences
Oksanen, Heikki - 2010
On 19 June 2010 the Chinese authorities announced that the renminbi (RMB) was henceforth to be pegged to a currency basket. Yet, it has quite closely followed the USD, though having appreciated by 2.7 % by the time of writing. At the G20 Seoul Summit on 11-12 November 2010, China committed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274952