As austerity policies are unpopular with voters and high levels of debt are a drag on growth a number of economists, most famously C. Reinhart and K. Rogoff, suggest that governments might have to consider financial repression as way out of the debt trap. We maintain that an exit from financial...

The closed economy macro literature has shown that a liquidity trap can result from the self-fulfilling expectation that future inflation and output will be low (Benhabib et al. (2001)). This paper investigates expectations-driven liquidity traps in a two-country New Keynesian model of a...

Uncertainty shocks affect expectations and corporate profits and mostly transmit globally. This article provides an uncertainty shocks spillover index from the log-ratio of volatility indices to measure the transmission of uncertainty shocks across European financial markets from 2001 to 2018....

Traditionally, the literature that attempts to explain the link between the current account and output finds a linear negative relationship (e.g., Backus et al., 1995). Using nonparametric regressions, we find a robust U-shaped relationship between the U.S. current account and the GDP cycle....

Using panel data on military spending for 125 countries, we document new facts about the effects of changes in government purchases on the real exchange rate, consumption, and current accounts in both advanced and developing countries. While an increase in government purchases causes real...

Using panel data on military spending for 125 countries, we document new facts about the effects of changes in government purchases on the real exchange rate, consumption, and current accounts in both advanced and developing countries. While an increase in government purchases causes real...

Volatility is measured as a risk and plays vital role in many financial decisions. The central part of this study is to capture the existence of the volatility in the regional financial markets (Karachi, Bombay, China, Korea and Hong Kong) have been included and the sample of Jan 1,2007 to Dec...

We apply the concept of carry, which has been studied almost exclusively in currency markets, to any asset. A security's expected return is decomposed into its “carry” – an ex-ante and model-free characteristic – and its expected price appreciation. Carry predicts returns...

We assess the conditions under which exchange rate fluctuations are contractionary for firm-level investment. To address this question, we match firm-level balance sheet data with a large dataset of firm-level bonds for about 1,000 firms from 36 emerging market economies over the period...

The recent global recession requires policy makers to identify the relative importance of shock transmission mechanisms in each region and devise counter policy measures against future idiosyncratic shocks. In the last decade, world dynamics have changed considerably due to increased openness...