Die klassische Finanztheorie betrachtet Finanzmärkte und deren Teilnehmer als rational, wonach neue Informationen von den Teilnehmern sofort adaptiert und korrekt in die Preisbildung miteinbezogen werden. Der verhaltensökonomische Behavioral-Finance-Ansatz verneint dagegen die...

Hayek was among the first to realize that, in intertemporal equilibrium, all agents must have correct expectations of future prices. Before comparing four categories of intertemporal equilibrium - (1) Perfect-foresight equilibrium, (2) Radner’s sequential equilibrium with incomplete markets,...

We introduce Implied Volatility Duration (IVD) as a new measure for the timing of uncertainty resolution, with a high IVD corresponding to late resolution. Portfolio sorts on a large cross-section of stocks indicate that investors demand on average more than five percent return per year as a...