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of inflationary and deflationary episodes. We therefore underestimate the shortfall in real activity during deflation … with declines in real activity; (iv) Transitory and persistent deflations, as well as, monetary and nonmonetary deflations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011749393
I study the link between real activity and deflation, taking into account measurement problems in 19th century CPI data … activity and deflation may be attenuated because of the errors-in-variables problem. I find that real activity was on average … substantially lower during 19th century deflations in the US, after controlling for measurement error using an IV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011582427
of inflationary and deflationary episodes. We therefore underestimate the shortfall in real activity during deflation … with declines in real activity; (iv) Transitory and persistent deflations, as well as, monetary and nonmonetary deflations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011957744
I assess the stability of the monetary environment in Switzerland over the past two centuries. In order to control for transitory measurement errors, in particular in nineteenth century data, I use an unobserved-components stochastic-volatility model to extract the permanent trends from several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012041708
bias. (iv) The metal-currency regimes (competing currencies and bimetallism before World War 1, and to some extent flexible … inflation targeting, were associated with a deflation bias. (v) Persistent deflations in terms of the CPI only occurred under …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508343
In this study, we perform a quantitative assessment of the role of money as an indicator variable for monetary policy in the euro area. We document the magnitude of revisions to euro area-wide data on output, prices, and money, and find that monetary aggregates have a potentially significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765349
In this study, we perform a quantitative assessment of the role of money as an indicator variable for monetary policy in the euro area. We document the magnitude of revisions to euro area-wide data on output, prices, and money, and find that monetary aggregates have a potentially significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320709
Suppose the nominal money supply could be cut literally overnight by, say, 20%. What would happen to prices, wages, output? The answer can be found in 1720s France, where just such an experiment was carried out, repeatedly. Prices adjusted instantaneously and fully on one market only, that for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732505
During the turbulent 1970s and 1980s the Bundesbank established an outstanding reputation in the world of central banking. Germany achieved a high degree of domestic stability and provided safe haven for investors in times of turmoil in the international financial system. Eventually the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831853
During the turbulent 1970s and 1980s the Bundesbank established an outstanding reputation in the world of central banking. Germany achieved a high degree of domestic stability and provided safe haven for investors in times of turmoil in the international financial system. Eventually the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003837787