This thesis consists of four self-contained papers related to banking, credit markets and financial stability. Paper [I] presents a credit market model and finds, using an agent based modeling approach, that credit crunches have a tendency to occur; even when credit markets are almost entirely...

This paper studies the risk-return profile of centralized and decentralized banks. We address the conditions that favor a particular lending regime while acknowledging the effects on lending and returns caused by the course of the business cycle. To analyze these issues, we develop a model which...

In this paper we briefly review Bayesian and frequentist prediction inference for time series, and then advocate the use of guaranteed-content prediction intervals. These intervals are such that their content (or coverage) is guaranteed with a given high probability. They, thus, are more...

The paper suggests and studies count data models corresponding to previously studied spatial econometric models for continuous variables. A novel way of incorporating spatial weights is considered for both time and space dynamic models with or without simultaneity. The paper also contains a...

This short paper proposes a simultaneous equations model formulation for time series of count data. Some of the basic moment properties of the model are obtained. The inclusion of real valued exogenous variables is suggested to be through the parameters of the model. Some remarks on the...

This short paper proposes a characterization for the number of traded shares or trading volume in terms of its data generating process. Share ownership plays a vital role. An empirical illustration based on the Nokia stock is included. Long memory in trading volume is linked to the long memory...

The research estimates a competing risk model of mortgage terminations on samples of UK securitised subprime mortgages. Given the argued role of these types of loan in the recent financial crisis then it is important to better understand their performance and supposed idiosyncratic behaviour....

We derive an econometric disequilibrium model for time series data. This is done by error correcting the supply of some good. The model naturally separates between a continuously clearing market and a clearing market in the long-run such that we are able to obtain a novel test of clearing...

The empirically most relevant stylized facts when it comes to modeling time varying financial volatility are the asymmetric response to return shocks and the long memory property. Up till now, these have largely been modeled in isolation though. To more flexibly capture asymmetry also with...

We introduce the notions of short and long term asymmetric effects in volatilities. With short term asymmetry we mean the conventional one, i.e. the asymmetric response of current volatility to the most recent return shocks. However, there may be asymmetries in the way the effect of past return...