Showing 1 - 10 of 1,026,184
Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple … explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by … new DCC-MIDAS model, we construct stock-bond hedge portfolios and show that these portfolios outperform various benchmark …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853171
Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple … explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951975
This paper proposes a latent dynamic factor model for low- as well as high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of stock returns. The approach is based on the matrix logarithm and allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns by combining common latent factors driven by HAR dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341025
Modelling and forecasting of asset volatility and covariance is of prime importance in the construction of portfolios … idiosyncratic error terms. We apply this model to forecasting the time-varying covariances in a basket of high interest rate and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002082
Multi-Scale Spectral Components model for forecasting high-dimensional covariance matrices based on realized measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009306337
estimator. We propose forecasting covariance matrices using a multi-scale spectral decomposition where volatilities, correlation … eigenvalues and eigenvectors evolve on different frequencies. In an extensive out-of-sample forecasting study, we show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009308302
a blocked realized kernel estimator, different smoothing windows, various regularization methods and two forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714536
the S&P500 we find that our direct models effectively minimize either statistical or economic forecasting losses both in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352129
the benchmark (MSCI EFM (World) index) weights. MSCI previously stood for Morgan Stanley Capital International. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013391097
We propose a novel dynamic approach to forecast the weights of the global minimum variance portfolio (GMVP). The GMVP weights are the population coefficients of a linear regression of a benchmark return on a vector of return differences. This representation enables us to derive a consistent loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012243462