Showing 1 - 10 of 13
This paper investigates the relationship between sovereign and bank CDS spreads with reference to their ability to convey timely signals on the default risk of European sovereign countries and their banking systems. For a sample including six major European economies, we find that sovereign and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110320
This paper applies extreme value theory to measure downside risk for European equity markets. Two related measures, value at risk and the excess loss probability estimator provide a coherent approach to optimally protect investor wealth opportunities for low quantile and probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835398
Extreme price movements associated with tail returns are catastrophic for all investors and it is necessary to make accurate predictions of the severity of these events. Choosing a time frame associated with large financial booms and crises this paper investigates the tail behaviour of Asian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835855
We examine the relationship between the Irish, German, UK and US equity markets. Our main finding is that the Irish equity market depends heavily on trading activity in the other markets but not vice versa. Significant return and volatility spillover effects occur in the direction of, but not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836901
This paper compares real and nominal foreign exchange volatility effects on exports. Using a flexible lag version of the Goldstein-Khan two-country imperfect substitutes model for bilateral trade, we identify the overall effect into both a timing as well as a size impact. We find that the size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837211
We examine whether hedging effectiveness is affected by asymmetry in the return distribution by applying tail specific … metrics to compare the hedging effectiveness of short and long hedgers using Oil futures contracts. The metrics used include … of hedging strategies including OLS and both Symmetric and Asymmetric GARCH models. Our findings show that asymmetry …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837212
This paper examines the intra-day seasonality of transacted limit and market orders in the DEM/USD foreign exchange market. Empirical analysis of completed transactions data based on the Dealing 2000-2 electronic inter-dealer broking system indicates significant evidence of intraday seasonality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837512
Extreme asset price movements appear to be more pronounced recently and have major consequences for an economy’s financial stability and monetary policies. This paper investigates the extreme behaviour of equity market returns and quantifies the probabilities of these losses. Taking fourteen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619659
Mixed results have been documented for the performance of hedging strategies using futures. This paper reinvestigates … hedging performance of short and long hedgers using traditional variance based approaches together with modern risk management … using these metrics to evaluate hedging performance, yields differences in terms of best hedging strategy as compared with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619894
Accurate forecasting of risk is the key to successful risk management techniques. Using the largest stock index futures from twelve European bourses, this paper presents VaR measures based on their unconditional and conditional distributions for single and multi-period settings. These measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619910