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interest rates, exchange rate growth, and inflation. We then decompose the Swiss long-term interest rate trend into various … decline in the level of inflation. Comparing Switzerland with the rest of the world, we show that while Swiss real interest … connection between inflation risk and the Swiss term spread, as well between relative inflation risk and the difference between …
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We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … States and the euro area. To sharpen our estimation, we include in the information set macro data and survey data on … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …
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We use a joint model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics to estimate inflation risk premia in the United … States and the euro area. To sharpen our estimation, we include in the information set macro data and survey data on … inflation and interest rate expectations at various future horizons, as well as term structure data from both nominal and index …
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The presence of risk premium is an issue that weakens the rational expectation hypothesis. This paper investigates changing behavior of time varying risk premium for holding 10 year maturity bond using a bivariate VARMA-DBEKK-AGARCH-M model. The model allows for asymmetric risk premia, causality...
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