Showing 1 - 10 of 22
This research points to the serious problem of potentially misspecified alternative hypotheses when testing for unit roots in real exchange rates. We apply a popular unit root test against nonlinear ESTAR and develop a Markov Switching unit root test. The empirical power of these tests against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008577799
This paper presents a family of simple nonparametric unit root tests indexed by one parameter, d, and containing Breitung’s (2002) test as the special case d = 1. It is shown that (i) each member of the family with d 0 is consistent, (ii) the asymptotic distribution depends on d, and thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005198866
) pertinent to the constrained optimization problem arising in the estimation of the GARCH models with inequality constraints, in … particular the Simplified Component GARCH Model (SCGARCH), together with algorithms for the objective function and analytical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421016
GARCH volatility models with fixed parameters are too restrictive for long time series due to breaks in the volatility … process. Flexible alternatives are Markov-switching GARCH and change-point GARCH models. They require estimation by MCMC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371456
disasters, stochastic volatility, and GARCH affect any risk premia in a wide class of DSGE models. To quantify these effects, we … volatility, and GARCH. We ?find that rare disasters increase the mean level of the 10-year nominal term premium, whereas a key … effect of stochastic volatility and GARCH is an increase in the variability of this premium. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677228
We survey the theory and empirical evidence on GARCH option valuation models. Our treatment includes the range of … between GARCH and stochastic volatility models. In the appendix we provide Matlab computer code for option pricing via Monte …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851269
In this paper we are interested in the term structure of futures contracts on oil. The objective is to specify a relatively parsimonious model which explains data well and performs well in a real time out of sample forecasting. The dynamic Nelson-Siegel model is normally used to analyze and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851281
GARCH model augmented by including an additional explanatory variable - the so-called GARCH-X model. The additional … to the results of Jensen and Rahbek (2004, Econometric Theory 20) who develop similar results for the pure GARCH model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851299
In this paper we propose a new multivariate GARCH model with time-varying conditional correlation structure. The time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652369
GARCH models have been successful in modeling financial returns. Still, much is to be gained by incorporating a … and realized measures of volatility. The Realized GARCH framework nests most GARCH models as special cases and is, in many … ways, a natural extension of standard GARCH models. We pay special attention to linear and log-linear Realized GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008836606