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The Euro Crisis and Economic Growth : A Novel Counterfactual Approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019
warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone … crisis countries (Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Cyprus, Spain) based on over 200 past macroeconomic adjustment episodes between … more in the Eurozone periphery than in the standard counterfactual scenario. These results are not dictated by any specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042
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The macroeconomic effects of large exchange rate appreciations
Kappler, Marcus; Reisen, Helmut; Schularick, Moritz; … - 2012
In this paper we study the macroeconomic aftermath of large exchange rate appreciations. Using a sample of 128 countries over the period 1960-2008, we identify 25 episodes of large nominal and real appreciations shocks. We use narrative identification of exogenous appreciation episodes and study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402350
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The macroeconomic effects of large exchange rate appreciations
Kappler, Marcus; Reisen, Helmut; Schularick, Moritz; … - 2011
In this paper we study the macroeconomic effects of large exchange rate appreciations. Using a sample of 128 countries from 1960-2008, we identify large nominal and real appreciations shocks and study their macroeconomic effects in a dummy-augmented panel autoregressive model. Our results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008905965
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The macroeconomic effects of large exchange rate appreciations
Kappler, Marcus; Reisen, Helmut; Schularick, Moritz; … - 2011
In this paper we study the macroeconomic effects of large exchange rate appreciations. Using a sample of 128 countries from 1960-2008, we identify large nominal and real appreciations shocks and study their macroeconomic effects in a dummy-augmented panel autoregressive model. Our results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901831
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The Macroeconomic Effects of Large Exchange Rate Appreciations
Kappler, Marcus - 2011
In this paper we study the macroeconomic effects of large exchange rate appreciations. Using a sample of 128 countries from 1960-2008, we identify large nominal and real appreciations shocks and study their macroeconomic effects in a dummy-augmented panel autoregressive model. Our results show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128677
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Global and Local Currency Effects on Euro Area Investment in Emerging Market Bonds
Adriaan Boermans, Martijn - 2020
We analyze how global and local factors affect portfolio allocation by euro area investors in emerging markets at the bond-level. First, cross-sectional analysis reveals a strong preference for home (Euro) currency bonds. Second, panel regressions, whether at the bond or aggregate flows level,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839247
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International Sanctions and Dollar Dominance
Bianchi, Javier; Sosa Padilla, César - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This paper investigates the implications of international financial sanctions for the reserve currency status of the US dollar. We propose a simple model of a reserve currency, demonstrate how the anticipation of financial sanctions can weaken the dollar's status, and evaluate the welfare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247945
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Effective exchange rates, current accounts and global imbalances
Beckmann, Joscha; Czudaj, Robert - 2016
This study analyzes the dynamics between real effective exchange rates and current accounts from a novel perspective. We start by dissecting long-run and time-varying short-run dynamics as well as causalities between both variables. Following this, we extend our framework by including short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011440876
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International portfolio flows and exchange rate volatility for emerging markets
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Ali, Faek Menla; Spagnolo, Fabio - 2015
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio in.ows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly bilateral data for the US vis-a-vis eight Asian developing and emerging countries (India, Indonesia, South Korea, Pakistan, Hong Kong, Thailand, the Philippines, and Taiwan) over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011387464
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Are exchange rates less important for trade in a more globalized world? : evidence for the new EU members
Fisera, Boris; Horváth, Roman - 2020
We evaluate the effect of exchange rate misalignments on the balance of trade and the role that global value chain participation plays in this effect for 11 new European Union member states. Using heterogeneous panel cointegration methods, we first estimate the real equilibrium exchange rate and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012242810