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We investigate the importance of a global financial cycle for gross capital inflows based on monthly balance sheet data for Norwegian banks. The VIX index has been interpreted as an "investor fear gauge" and associated with a global financial cycle. This index has also been found to impact real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926821
cyclical pattern. Over that cycle, world asset prices, leverage, and capital flows move in concert with global growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247924
In this paper, I construct a dataset, which measures the external liability composition of emerging market economies in different instruments and currencies. Thus, the dataset shows, with reasonable precision, the original sin dissipation in emerging markets since the early-2000s and accordingly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293990
We propose a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility to analyze the relationship between global factors and country-specific capital flow dynamics. Studying a global sample of 43 countries from 1994 until 2015, we show that global co-movement of macroeconomic,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929696
This chapter surveys recent research on international financial crises. A financial crisis is characterized by a sudden, dramatic outflow of financial resources from an economy with an open capital account. This outflow may be primarily driven by the expectation of a large nominal devaluation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025374
the world. By tightening financial conditions globally, these shocks affect the left tail of the conditional output growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
This paper examines the impact of foreign currency hedging demand on the foreign exchange market. First, the paper documents deviations from covered interest parity (CIP) for Mexico after the global financial crisis (GFC), and then it evaluates the effect of two variables in a regression-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012166177
This paper provides a quantitative assessment of the relative importance of global structural shocks for changes in financial conditions across a sample of emerging market economies. We disentangle four key drivers of global financial markets (oil supply shocks, global economic news shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009181
In the postglobal financial crisis period, the central banks of the advanced economies pursued unconventional monetary policies, such as the United States (US) Federal Reserve's quantitative easing (QE). Those policies and their unwinding may significantly affect cross-border capital flows and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346243
This paper exploits a novel bank-level monthly dataset to assess the effects of global liquidity on the global flows of euro area banks. The period associated with the European sovereign debt crisis has witnessed increased growth in euro area bank claims on extra-euro area residents, against a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446311