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The goal of this paper is to study the impact of the lockdown policy on voting behaviour, during the COVID-19 pandemic …. We focus on France, where a differential lockdown was implemented across departments, based on the local diffusion of the … disease. In particular, the country has been divided in two areas, red and green, subject to a “hard” and a “soft” lockdown …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014095017
according to the 1995 election law. We show that in the second and third weeks after the 2020 elections (held on October 9 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012589175
workers due to the economic lockdown introduced by the central government to deal with the Covid-19 pandemic. We show that … lockdown-induced economic insecurity positively affected the electoral performance of progressive and left-wing parties, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549766
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … states, and in states that Trump won in 2016. A simple counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391359
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315469
A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the … effect, our estimates imply Trump would been on the precipice of re-election by winning Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421123
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311095
across election dates. Our results show that a high concentration of particulate matter (PM10) on an election day …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012620918
In 2001, the state parliament of the German federal state of Hesse abolished a 5 percent legal electoral threshold for local elections. This reform had a stronger effect on municipalities with larger councils because implicit electoral thresholds decrease with council size. Exploiting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010213030
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799860