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Vote Early and Vote Often? Detecting Electoral Fraud from the Timing of 19th Century Elections
Ferlenga, Francesco; Knight, Brian G. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
This paper develops a new approach to detecting electoral fraud. Our context involves repeaters, individuals voting in multiple states in the U.S. during 19th Century Congressional Elections. Given high travel times, and the associated difficulties of voting in multiple states on the same day,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362047
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The Electric Telegraph, News Coverage and Political Participation
Wang, Tianyi - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
Using newly digitized data on the growth of the telegraph network in America during 1840-1852, the paper studies the impacts of the electric telegraph on national elections. I use proximity to daily newspapers with telegraphic connections to Washington to generate plausibly exogenous variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322855
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Information Aggregation in Stratified Societies
Agranov, Marina; Eilat, Ran; Sonin, Konstantin - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We analyze a model of political competition in which the elite forms endogenously to aggregate information and advise the uninformed median voter which candidate to choose. The median voter knows whether or not the endorsed candidate is biased toward the elites, but might still prefer the biased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322896
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Civil Rights Protests and Election Outcomes : Exploring the Effects of the Poor People's Campaign
Anderson, D. Mark; Charles, Kerwin Kofi; Karbownik, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
estimate the effects of these protests on congressional election outcomes. In the South, we find that PPC protests led to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447294
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Coordination and Incumbency Advantage in Multi-Party Systems - Evidence from French Elections
Dano, Kevin; Ferlenga, Francesco; Galasso, Vincenzo; Le … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022
practice, incumbency advantage and coordination issues may lead to the (re)election of bad politicians. We ask whether these … elections, we find that winning an election increases candidates' chances to win the next election by 25.1 percentage points … conclude that party coordination and voters rallying candidates who won or gained visibility in an election both contribute to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435103
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Partisan Impacts on the Economy : Evidence from Prediction Markets and Close Elections
Snowberg, Erik - 2006
Analyses of the effects of election outcomes on the economy have been hampered by the problem that economic outcomes … exogenous changes in expectations about the likely winner during Election Day. Analyzing high frequency financial fluctuations … following the release of flawed exit poll data on Election Day 2004, and then during the vote count, we find that markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466596
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Happiness Dynamics, Reference Dependence, and Motivated Beliefs in U.S. Presidential Elections
Kimball, Miles S.; Raymond, Collin; Zhou, Jiannan; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
Collecting and analyzing panel data over the last four U.S. presidential elections, we study the drivers of self-reported happiness. We relate our empirical findings to existing models of elation, reference dependence, and belief formation. In addition to corroborating previous findings in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468278
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Does Anger Drive Populism?
Ali, Omer; Desmet, Klaus; Wacziarg, Romain - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We study whether anger fuels the rise of populism. Anger as an emotion tends to act as a call to action against individuals or groups that are blamed for negative situations, making it conducive to voting for populist politicians. Using a unique dataset tracking emotions for a large sample of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322771
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Black Empowerment and White Mobilization : The Effects of the Voting Rights Act
Bernini, Andrea; Facchini, Giovanni; Tabellini, Marco; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
empowerment is more tangible and salient due to the election of African Americans in county commissions. Additional analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322812
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Human Capital and Climate Change
Angrist, Noam; Winseck, Kevin; Patrinos, Harry Anthony; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
Addressing climate change requires individual behavior change and voter support for pro-climate policies, yet surprisingly little is known about how to achieve these outcomes. In this paper, we estimate causal effects of additional education on pro-climate outcomes using new compulsory schooling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247920