Search Results - subject_exact:"Aggregate output"

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Wealth inequality, entrepreneurship, and aggregate output : a tale of two centuries in the UK

Yang, Xiaoliang; Zhou, Peng; Dong, Xue - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015619583

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Wealth inequality, entrepreneurship and aggregate output : a tale of two centuries in the UK

Yang, Xiaoliang; Zhou, Peng; Dong, Xue - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Sectoral and aggregate effects of supply chain disruptions in a small open economy

Friesenbichler, Klaus S.; Glocker, Christian; Hölzl, Werner - 2026

We present a country-specific measure of supply chain disruptions and compare it with a global counterpart. We identify each measure's macroeconomic role and consider a sectoral extension using the two-digit NACE level of disaggregation and a multi-sector general equilibrium model to assess the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015628646

Financial shocks, productivity, and prices

Lenzu, Simone; Rivers, David A.; Tielens, Joris; Hu, Shi - 2026

We study the interconnection between the productivity and pricing effects of financial shocks. Combining administrative records on firm-level output prices and quantities with quasi-experimental variation in credit supply, we show that a tightening of credit conditions has a persistent, yet...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633710

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Financial shocks, productivity, and prices

Lenzu, Simone; Rivers, David A.; Tielens, Joris; Hu, Shi - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Financial shocks, productivity, and prices

Lenzu, Simone; Rivers, David A.; Tielens, Joris; Hu, Shi - 2025

Book / Working Paper

A measure of care : how countries strive to move beyond GDP and capture the value of invisible work

Bizikova, Livia; Atiq, Hajra; D'Alessandre, Vanessa; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015613980

Using subjective well-being as a headline indicator in dashboards to track human progress

Burger, Martijn J.; Courchesne, Sarah; Greyling, Talita; … - 2026

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has long been used as a proxy for human progress, despite growing recognition of its limitations. Recently, numerous "beyond GDP" initiatives have emerged, promoting multidimensional dashboards to assess quality of life. However, these often lack a clear headline...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615393

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Using subjective well-being as a headline indicator in dashboards to track human progress

Burger, Martijn J.; Courchesne, Sarah; Greyling, Talita; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

The survey-based output gap and input gap

Kamada, Koichiro - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616966

A simple method for estimating multiple natural rates simultaneously : estimation of Japan's potential output and natural foreign exchange rate

Kamada, Koichiro - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616967

The impact of greenhouse gas emissions on GDP per capita : a multi-scale analysis using the wavelet approach

Ouattara, Kifory; Gniza, Daniel Innocent - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015617058

International comparison program : 2021 cycle in Latin America and the Caribbean : methodological document and main results

De Camino, Claudia; Infante, Lady Viviana - 2026

Comparison of economies is essential for public policymaking but considerably hindered by the fact that statistics expressed in local currencies are not directly comparable. Market exchange rates give a distorted view, as they do not reflect the differences in price levels between countries.To...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015617258

Oligopolistic output markets

Aspremont, Claude d'; Dos Santos Ferreira, Rodolphe - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015605533

Forecasting Kazakhstan's GDP based on a dynamic factor model with regularization

Akhmet, Alisher - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015609234

Monetary policy and the output gap in DSGE models for small open economies : insights from the Czech Republic

Šestořád, Tomáš; Vlček, Jan; Musil, Karel - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015610401

Nowcasting GDP Growth for Kenya

Danov, Nikolay - 2026

This paper develops a nowcasting model to produce timely estimates of quarterly GDP growth for Kenya. Nowcasting combines official monthly indicators with digital transaction data. Exploiting strong comovement of macroeconomic time series, a few latent factors summarize aggregate dynamics and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015612596

Is British Columbia headed towards another lost decade?

Di Matteo, Livio - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015613526

Understanding the inflation-output relationship across business cycle phases

Cardamone, Dario; De Santis, Roberto A. - 2026

We examine the state dependence of monetary policy transmission and the parameters of the Phillips curve, dynamic IS equation, and Taylor rule across four regimes defined by joint deviations of inflation from the Federal Reserve's target and output from potential. The analysis uncovers important...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015592690

The output convergence debate revisited : lessons from recent developments in the analysis of panel data models

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2026

This paper provides a critical examination of the empirical basis of the output convergence debate in the light of recent developments in the analysis of dynamic heterogeneous panels with interactive effects. It shows that popular tools such as Barro's cross-country regressions and two-way fixed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015597151

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The output convergence debate revisited : lessons from recent developments in the analysis of panel data models

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Smith, Ron - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Impact of capping emissions on macroeconomic volatility : the case of Saudi Arabia

Galeottib, Marzio; Manzanoc, Baltasar; Pierru, Axel - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637816

Beyond GDP : the case for a real-time barometer of economic activity in South Africa

Fourie, Helanya; Fourie, Johan - 2026

This paper makes the case for measuring economic activity in real time in a middle-income setting using indicators alternative to the standard System of National Accounts measure of gross domestic product (GDP). GDP remains indispensable, yet its limits as a welfare proxy are amplified where...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015580310

Real-time nowcasting of Kyiv's regional GRP using Google trends and mixed-frequency data

Drin, Svitlana; Zhuravlova, Anastasiia - 2026

imely assessment of regional economic activity in Ukraine is severely constrained by institutional and data-related limitations. Official regional gross regional product (GRP) statistics are available only at low frequency, are published with substantial delays, and, in the post-2022 period, are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015589819

Estimating the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Vietnam

Hung, Trinh Phuc; Vasilev, Aleksandar - 2026

This research aimed to identify existence of a New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Vietnam. The examined period was 2012Q2 - 2025Q2, using secondary macroeconomics data and the Generalised Moments Method at 95% level of confidence. The dependent variables were price inflation and wage inflation,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015604707

Asymmetric effect of oil price on the inflation rate in MENA countries

Djamal, Dekkiche; Brahim, Laila Ouled; Zouaouid, Lazhari - 2026

This paper examines the asymmetric effects of oil price variations on MENA inflation from 1990 to 2021. Short- and long-term impacts were estimated by using Panel-NARDL models. To account for asymmetric effects, the price of oil was separated into positive and negative changes (oil+ and oil-),...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015636820

India's 20 Years of GDP misestimation : new evidence

Anand, Abhishek; Felman, Josh; Subramanian, Arvind - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637002

Empirical assessment of budget multipliers for current and capital expenditures in Kazakhstan

Bukenov, Аmantay - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015638644

Monetary policy transmission mechanism in post-communist economies : evidence from Uzbekistan

Davlatov, Elyor; Sági, Judit - 2026

This study aims to evaluate the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy in a post-communist economy using structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model. We constructed two SVAR models employing both recursive and non-recursive approaches to identify monetary policy shocks and analyze how...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015639750

Inadequacy of revenues and endogenous economic cycles in a monetary economy of production

Cottin-Euziol, Edouard; Piluso, Nicolas - 2026

The recurring cycles of economic activity in a capitalist economy have prompted a variety of explanations. Some of these focus on the excessive indebtedness of economic agents during a growth phase, which may result from overly optimistic behavior or excessive risk-taking. From a post-Keynesian...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015650708

Unraveling the time-series dynamics between aggregate earnings and GDP

Gallo, Lindsey A.; Jin, Hengda; Sridharan, Suhas A. - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651783

Konjunkturprognose Deutschland, Sommer 2026

Berlemann, Michael; Hinze, Jörg - 2026

Nach gutem Start der deutschen Wirtschaft in dieses Jahr hinein haben sich seit Ende Februar durch den Irankrieg, insbesondere durch die Sperrung der Straße von Hormus und der damit verbundenen Energieverteuerung, die Perspektiven für Wachstum und Inflation deutlich verschlechtert. Die...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652574

Interpolation and prewar-postwar output volatility and shock-persistence debate : a closer look and new results

Dezhbakhsh, Hashem; Levy, Daniel C. - 2026

It is well established that the U.S. prewar output was more volatile and less shock persistent than the postwar output. This is often attributed to the data interpolation employed to construct the prewar series. Our analytical results, however, indicate that commonly used linear interpolation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633699

A method for the gender disaggregation of Okun's law

Boďa, Martin; Tichá, Michaela - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654391

Economic output under a warming climate : non-linear damage effects and adaptive capacity in OECD countries

Erkişi, Kemal; Sarıtaş, Başak - 2026

This study examines the long-run effects of temperature anomalies on economic output in OECD countries, with a focus on non-linear damage patterns and the mitigating role of adaptive capacity. Using annual data for 38 OECD economies over 1995-2024, the analysis estimates panel models with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015653672

Causal relationships between oil prices and key macroeconomic variables in India

Upadhyaya, Kamal Prasad; Nag, Raja; Mixon, Franklin G. - 2023

India is among the largest and fastest-growing economies in the world. To continue its growth, energy is and will continue to be one of its most important considerations. With a population of over one billion, India is the third largest consumer of petroleum on the globe. To maintain this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014485347

Cyclicality of international reserves, exchange rate flexibility, and output volatility

Fujii, Eiji; Qian, Xingwang - 2025

This paper investigates the cyclicality of international reserves and their role in macroeconomic stabilization. We challenge two widely held assumptions: (1) central banks typically manage IR counter-cyclically—accumulating reserves during booms and drawing them down during downturns; and (2)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015371901

Monetary versus capital-based macroprudential transmission : efficiency and effectiveness : evidence from Central and South-Eastern European banking sectors

Eliskovski, Milan; Popovska-Kamnar, Neda - 2025

This study has a twofold objective. The first one is an assessment of the efficiency of monetary and capital-based macroprudential policy, defined as imposing less interest costs to loan borrowers (nonfinancial corporations and households). The second objective of this paper is the assessment of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015372105

Tracking economic activity with alternative high-frequency data

Eckert, Florian; Kronenberg, Philipp; Mikosch, Heiner; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015372760

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Tracking economic activity with alternative high-frequency data

Eckert, Florian; Kronenberg, Philipp; Mikosch, Heiner; … - 2020

Book / Working Paper

Estimating the impacts on GDP of natural disasters in Canada

Dahlhaus, Tatjana; Duprey, Thibaut; Johnston, Craig - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015373045

Analysis of the impact of SMEs' production output on Kazakhstan's economic growth using the ARDL method

Syzdykova, Aziza; Azretbergenova, G. Ž. - 2025

Small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs) are an essential subject of economic activity in any country because, without their participation, the development and formation of the very structure of the economy are almost impossible. The role of SMEs is significant since these businesses allow for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015210309

How reliable are national accounts estimates of agricultural output?

Jones, Sam; Mucocana, Marcelo - 2025

Measurement errors in macroeconomic aggregates such as GDP have been widely lamented, particularly in low-income contexts. This study investigates the reliability of one component of national accounts, agricultural sector output. Focusing first on the case of Mozambique, we use a series of 12...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015273028

Assessing the impact of demographic composition on productivity

Guénette, Justin-Damien; Shao, Lin - 2025

We examine how demographic factors influence potential output, focusing on how the age distribution of the working-age population and the old-age dependency ratio affect aggregate productivity. Following Feyrer (2007), we emphasize that the contribution to aggregate productivity varies by age...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015323684

Pro-cyclical emissions, real externalities, and optimal monetary policy

Giovanardi, Francesco; Kaldorf, Matthias - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015583437

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Pro-cyclical emissions, real externalities, and optimal monetary policy

Giovanardi, Francesco; Kaldorf, Matthias - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Output gap measurement after Covid for Colombia: lessons from a permanent-transitory approach

Granados, Camilo; Parra-Amado, Daniel - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015326087

World GDP, anthropogenic emissions, and global temperatures, sea level, and ice cover

Benati, Luca - 2025

I use Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility to forecast global temperatures and sea level and ice cover in the Northerin emisphere until 2010, by exploiting (i) their long-run equilibrium relationship with climate change drivers (CCDs) and (ii) the relationship between world GDP and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015329682

The impact of oil prices on Kazakhstan's business cycles : an empirical approach considering asymmetry

Akhmet, Alisher; Mussa, Aidynbek - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015330419

Short-run and long-run consequences of unconventional monetary policy in Japan

Fukuda, Shin'ichi - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015202488

Macroeconomic determinants of anti-dumping filings : analyzing the role of GDP, growth rate, and merchandise trade balance in reporting and targeted countries

Pistikou, Victoria; Ketsetsidis, Anastasios; … - 2025

This study aims to explore the relationship between macroeconomic factors and the decision to file an anti-dumping (AD) initiation, focusing on the post-WTO period from 1995 to 2022 for both reporting and targeted countries. We analyze the 20 most frequent users of the AD mechanism and the 20...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015338653

Adaptive risk preferences : unraveling the impact of monetary policy on output

Berndt, Antje; Helwege, Jean - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015339167

Identifying useful indicators for nowcasting GDP in Sweden

Karlsson, Sune; Mazur, Stepan; Raftab, Mariya - 2025

This paper focuses on identifying useful indicators for nowcasting GDP in Sweden. We analyze 35 monthly indicators spanning the period from 1993 to 2023. Additionally, we evaluate the group-wise performance of these indicators. The analysis is conducted using mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015207182