We employ a cross-quantilogram approach to assess relationships between quantiles of stock returns and sovereign yields, in the U.S. and Germany, in the period 1990-2024. Specifically, we focus on the lowest 5% quantile of stock returns and the highest 5% quantile of bond returns, providing...

This paper provides a model to interpret the relative behavior of expected returns of high- and low-resilience assets from the time of the COVID-19 pandemic, including a novel definition of disaster based on COVID-19 intensity. The setup allows us to disentangle the probability of disaster and...

This study examines the out-of-sample predictability of expected skewness of oil price returns, which serves as a metric for global future risks, as we show statistically through the association with crises of different nature, for stock returns of 10 (8 advanced plus two emerging) countries...

Purpose - This study examines the impact of firm-level climate risk exposure (FCRE) on firm stock liquidity by using a sample of Indian-listed firms from the financial years 2003-2004 to 2022-2023. Further, it endeavors to investigate the moderating role of environmental, social and governance...

Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...

This study evaluates Indian mutual funds using a variety of criteria, demonstrating a historical tendency of lower monthly returns and volatility when compared to benchmark indexes. This positive risk profile implies that it will appeal to investors who want stability. Despite COVID-19-induced...

I conduct an exploratory study about the feasibility of factor timing in the Chinese stock market, covering 24 representative and well-identified risk factors in 10 categories from the literature. The long-short portfolio of short-term reversal exhibits strong out-of-sample predictability, which...

Purpose - Motivated by the significant role of uncertainty in affecting investment decisions and China's economic leadership in Asia, this paper investigates the predictive role of exposure to Chinese economic policy uncertainty at the individual stock level in large Asian markets....

This study quantifies the shock transmission mechanism between the trade policy uncertainty (TPU) index and Sharia-compliant stock sectoral conditional volatility in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. We employ a comprehensive analysis that includes the time-domain extended joint and...

Using unbalanced panel data on 3326 Chinese listed companies from 2014 to 2021, this study investigates the impact of corporate environmental performance on China's excess stock returns. The results show that stocks of companies with better environmental performance earn signifcantly higher...

Forecasting changes in stock prices is extremely challenging given that numerous factors cause these prices to fuctuate. The random walk hypothesis and efcient market hypothesis essentially state that it is not possible to systematically, reliably predict future stock prices or forecast changes...