We document a substantial reduction in the wage responsiveness to regional unemployment (the wage curve) in Sweden during the past 25 years. The period is characterized by large changes in the composition of the labor force arising from refugee migration and active labor supply policies...

Long-term unemployment among older workers is particularly difficult to overcome. We study the impacts of a large-scale job guarantee program that offered up to two years of fully subsidized employment to long-term unemployed individuals aged 50 and above. Using a sharp age-based discontinuity...

We exploit cross-sectional variation in the response of US states to a monetary policy shock to study how the impact of monetary policy varies with the share of married women who work. We find that the economy's response is more muted the lower the share of married women employed before the...

Unlike past high-inflation episodes, the euro area labour market remained surprisingly resilient during the inflation surge of the early 2020s. This paper investigates the drivers of this resilience by combining long-span euro area macroeconomic data (1970-2025) with a structural VAR analysis...

Der Arbeitsmarkt in Deutschland ist weiterhin durch Stagnation gekennzeichnet. Bundesweit bleiben Beschäftigung und Arbeitslosigkeit 2026 im Vergleich zu 2025 nahezu unverändert. Auf Ebene der Bundesländer und der Agenturbezirke zeigen sich teilweise positive Entwicklungen, die jedoch bisher...

Im vorliegenden Forschungsbericht wird analysiert, wie sich die Migration aus den neuen EU-Mitgliedsstaaten auf den Bezug von SGB-II-Leistungen durch die einheimische Bevölkerung auswirkt. Dabei liegt der Schwerpunkt auf erwerbsfähigen Leistungsberechtigten, da diese Gruppe davon potenziell am...

Die vorliegende Studie fragt nach Herkunft, Bedeutung und Auswirkung der Bezeichnung "Totalverweigerer", die ursprünglich von Bundesarbeitsminister Hubertus Heil für Grundsicherungsbeziehende, die mehrfach die Aufnahme einer Erwerbsarbeit verweigern, verwendet wurde. Ende März 2024 wurde dann...

This paper incorporates labor market inactivity and long-term unemployment into the framework of optimal redistributive taxation. We examine how a combination of education policy, public employment programs, unemployment benefits, and optimal income taxation can effectively address both...

As artificial intelligence (AI) and automation continue to reshape industries, concerns about technological unemployment are intensifying. This study employs a Systematic Literature Review (SLR) guided by the PRISMA framework to examine peer-reviewed literature from the Scopus database...

In "Immigration, search and redistribution: A quantitative assessment of native welfare," a paper by Battisti et al. published in the August 2018 issue of the Journal of the European Economic Association, the authors inquire about how migration to 20 Organization for Economic Cooperation and...

This study examines the impact of economic conditions at college entry on post-graduation labor market outcomes, focusing on behavioral responses related to job market preparation and career advancement. Exploiting variation in regional unemployment rates within college entry cohorts, we utilize...

This study considers the nonlinear relationship between GDP growth and unemployment in France (1975-2024) using a logistic smooth transition regression (LSTR) model. Findings reveal a threshold unemployment rate of 7.93%, above which the traditional Okun's law holds (GDP growth reduces...

The price of institutional long-term care is a key determinant of the demand for both formal and informal long-term care. In this paper, we examine how the regional unemployment rate as a proxy for macroeconomic conditions influences these prices. Our analysis draws on administrative data that...

We suggest a core set of indicators for evaluating the position of the labor market relative to maximum employment. The unemployment rate remains the key indicator of the cyclical position of the labor market, as it is time-tested, is highly correlated with other indicators, and has practical...

This paper explores a development strategy for peripheral economies by advocating for a paradigm shift from traditional economic models that rely on accumulating foreign reserves. It proposes the job guarantee policy, an automatic stabilizer based on a reserve pool of employed individuals, as a...

This paper examines the relationship between economic growth and rural unemployment in Brazil and Mexico, incorporating the effects of climate variability and spatial interactions. Okun's Law serves as the theoretical framework, and a dynamic spatial panel model is applied to estimate short-term...

The paper investigates the economic, social, and environmental determinants of Vietnam’s Human Development Index (HDI) for the years 1990-2023. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing method, short-run and long-run relationships between HDI and GDP per capita growth,...

This study addresses the critical challenge of designing retirement savings systems that effectively balance liquidity needs and long-term accumulation in contexts characterized by high unemployment and labor market instability, with a focus on South Africa. Traditional pension schemes often...

This paper develops a Keynesian stochastic framework to reassess the natural rate hypothesis in the context of the Sri Lankan economy. By embedding fractional Brownian motion to capture persistent inflationary shocks and incorporating nonlinear interactions between unemployment dynamics and...

Adverse economic shocks are known to reshape voter behavior - the demand side of politics. Much less is known about their consequences for the supply side: how such shocks affect who becomes a politician. This paper examines how job losses influence individuals' decisions to enter politics and...

No empirical evidence has ever been reported that the large inflow of accession immigrants - following the 2004 expansion of the European Union - led to a fall in wages or employment, or a rise in unemployment in the UK between 2004 and 2006. Given its unprecedented scale and pace - one of the...

Long-term unemployment among older workers is particularly difficult to overcome. We study the impacts of a large-scale job guarantee program that offered up to two years of fully subsidized employment to long-term unemployed individuals aged 50 and above. Using a sharp age-based discontinuity...