This paper examines the circumstances under which firms facilitate occupational transitions, complementing prior work that focuses on workers' decisions. We link unemployment insurance records with application diaries and clickstream data from a recruitment platform to causally assess how...

Die Bundesregierung plant für 2026 eine umfassende Sozialstaatsreform, aufbauend auf den Ergebnissen der Sozialstaatskommission. Damit soll die deutsche Wirtschaft gestärkt und der Bundeshaushalt entlastet werden. Ob das gelingen kann, analysieren wir in diesem Papier: Wir quantifizieren die...

Using high-resolution administrative, census, and satellite data, this paper shows that South African cities are characterized by spatial mismatches between where people live and where jobs are located, relative to 20 global peers. Areas within 5 kilometers of commercial centers have 9,300 fewer...

This paper presents a conceptual framework to guide the development of labor market delivery systems suitable for low- and middle income countries. Case studies show that in most countries labor market programs are characterized by high fragmentation (in financing, delivery agencies), poor or...

Indonesia’s services sector has emerged as a key driver of economic growth and employment. Services have also been the driving force of global trade and investment. Advances in technology are expected to further improve the tradability of services, creating new opportunities for Indonesia....

This study provides an assessment of Ukraine’s transport workforce and skills landscape during a period of profound change. As maritime and air routes remain suspended, road freight, road passenger, and urban public transport have become the backbone of domestic and international mobility, and...

This report offers fresh insights into Saudi Arabia’s labor market transformation over the past decade, highlighting some of the accomplishments in reshaping employment outcomes achieved after implementation of Vision 2030 and the National Labor Market Strategy. Leveraging a rich dataset...

We examine the impact of generative AI on the youth labor market in Finland by replicating the key analyses of Brynjolfsson et al. (2025) with comprehensive population-level data. Contrary to the US findings, we find no systematic displacement effects linked to AI exposure among youth in...

Die Bundesregierung plant für 2026 eine umfassende Sozialstaatsreform, aufbauend auf den Ergebnissen der Sozialstaatskommission. Damit soll die deutsche Wirtschaft gestärkt und der Bundeshaushalt entlastet werden. Ob das gelingen kann, analysieren wir in diesem Papier: Wir quantifizieren die...

The private sector offers reliable labor market data that policymakers, investors, and the public can use to guide their decisions. Revelio Labs provides monthly labor stats from billions of work records, tracking employment, openings, turnover, and pay. Alternative data is created beyond the...

We analyze how value added taxes (VATs) affect labor market outcomes (firms' employee costs, wages, hours worked, employment). While VATs are designed to tax consumption, they are levied at the firm level, which creates potential spillovers to labor markets. We hypothesize that VATs affect wages...

We analyze how value added taxes (VATs) affect labor market outcomes (firms' employee costs, wages, hours worked, employment). While VATs are designed to tax consumption, they are levied at the firm level, which creates potential spillovers to labor markets. We hypothesize that VATs affect wages...

This paper documents the labour market position of artists across Europe and examines how it co-varies with public cultural spending. Using EU-LFS micro-data for 2009-2023, we compare artists to non-artists using harmonised measures of wage rank, employment, and non-standard work. Using...

This paper analyzes heterogeneity in post-pandemic labor market adjustment across industries, contrasting healthcare and social assistance with leisure and hospitality. Using CPS monthly microdata (2015-2023), JOLTS separations, and LEHD Jobto-Job flows, we estimate sector-specific...

Wars disrupt labor markets, yet systematic evidence on how markets for labor services operate during conflicts is almost entirely absent. Ukraine is a rare exception: despite the full-scale Russian invasion, timely data on workers and vacancies, in both stocks and flows, remain available. We use...

What are the returns to firms of paying more? We study a Fortune 500 firm's voluntary firm-wide $15/hour minimum wage, which affected some warehouses more than others. Using a continuous difference-in-differences design, we find that a $1/hour pay increase (5.5 percent) halves worker departures,...

This study examines the effects of the russia's full-scale invasion on the Ukrainian corporate labor market. We use the DID technique to analyze a panel data set of over 100,000 firms linked to geolocation and industry data spanning 2021-2024 and show how war harms the corporate labor market in...

This study introduces a novel machine learning-based methodology for detecting and forecasting the strength of weak signals in the labor market, using Greece as a case study and utilizing Eurostat time series data (2000-2023). Weak signals, conceptualized as subtle anomalies within otherwise...

Auf dem Arbeitsmarkt bestehen Unterschiede zwischen Männern und Frauen, die in zahlreichen Aspekten zulasten von Frauen gehen: Indikatoren wie der Gender Pay Gap, der Gender Earnings Gap, der Gender Employment Gap oder der Gender Pension Gap weisen etwa darauf hin, dass Verdienste zuungunsten...

Workforce adjustments, such as mass layoffs, are significant corporate events that can influence stock returns and volatility, yet their broader asset-pricing implications remain underexplored. We examine the impact of such workforce shocks on stock performance from an asset-pricing perspective....

Unlike past high-inflation episodes, the euro area labour market remained surprisingly resilient during the inflation surge of the early 2020s. This paper investigates the drivers of this resilience by combining long-span euro area macroeconomic data (1970-2025) with a structural VAR analysis...

The current monetary policy framework of the Fed intends to be more 'inclusive' by running the economy hot for longer during expansions. The logic of this strategy rests on Okun's (1973) hypothesis that sustaining a 'high-pressure economy' persistently improves labor market outcomes of low-wage...

Bangladesh is currently navigating a complex economic transition marked by high inflation, declining foreign exchange reserves, vulnerabilities in the financial sector and the impending graduation from Least Developed Country status in 2026. The labour market also faces persistent and...

How effective are cash transfers at improving labour market outcomes in settings characterized by severe job scarcity and constraints to self-employment? This paper provides evidence of the labour market effects of South Africa's Social Relief of Distress (SRD) grant, a low-value, unconditional...

Australia’s labor market has remained resilient despite slower growth, with strong employment gains and low unemployment but limited wage pressure. This paper argues that recent dynamics reflect both cyclical and structural forces. First, headline indicators such as vacancies and unemployment...

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is rapidly evolving and has the potential to reshape the job landscape across a broad range of skills and sectors. While most Finns will benefit from AI adoption, one-fifth of the workforce is at risk of job displacement. Women, highly educated workers, and...

Wars disrupt labor markets, yet systematic evidence on how markets for labor services operate during conflicts is almost entirely absent. Ukraine is a rare exception: despite the full-scale Russian invasion, timely data on workers and vacancies, in both stocks and flows, remain available. We use...

In this paper, we investigate the relationship between language background and labour market outcomes in the bilingual labour market of the Spanish region of Catalonia. The empirical analysis draws on repeated cross-sectional data that allow us to construct a quantitative measure of linguistic...

We estimate the long-run effects of marginal admission to elite public high schools on students' labor supply in the context of Mexico City's centralized high school admission system. Using a regression discontinuity approach, we compare students whose placement exam scores are just above and...

Despite rising educational attainment, women's employment rates have declined in Egypt, falling to just 15% as of 2023. This chapter explores the determinants of declining female employment rates in Egypt. The research considers demand side factors, including potential discrimination and the...