This article is our personal perspective on the IPS test and the subsequent developments of unit root and cointegration tests in dynamic panels with and without cross-section dependence. In this note, we discuss the main idea behind the test and the publication process that led to Im, Pesaran...

This study aims to test the causal relationship between Saudi stock market index (TASI) and sectoral indices throughout the period from 2016-2020. The study data were extracted through the main index of the Saudi market and the indices of the available data of 19 sectors out of 21 sectors. The...

Missing data or missing values are a common phenomenon in applied panel data research and of great interest for panel data unit root testing. The standard approach in the literature is to balance the panel by removing units and/or trimming a common time period for all units. However, this...

Evidence-based policy of global warming is best relying on a relevant sample of data. We choose a sample of annual data from 1959 to-date to provide some statistically robust stylized facts about the relationships between actual CO2 and temperature. Visually, there is a clear upward trend in...

We revisited the issue of return predictability in three major developed markets (USA, UK and Japan) using a unique dataset from the Wharton Research Data Services database and a comprehensive set of traditional and recent statistical methods. We specifically employed a variety of traditional...

In this paper, we study the estimation and inference of the threshold model with hybrid local stochastic unit root regressors. Our main contribution is to propose an estimator that generalizes the threshold model with various forms of nonstationary regressors and to obtain its limiting...

This study examines the factors affecting exchange rate fluctuations in Turkey by employing the quarterly data from 2008 to 2020. In this context, linear and nonlinear unit root tests were used to determine the stationarity levels of the variables. Then, symmetric and asymmetric causality...

Building upon the insight that M1 velocity is the permanent component of nominal interest rates - see Benati (2020) - I propose a novel, and straightforward approach to estimating the natural rate of interest, which is conceptually related to Cochrane's (1994a) proposal to estimate the permanent...

This paper analyses the stochastic properties of UK nominal and real wages over the period 1750-2015 using fractional integration techniques. Both the original series and logged ones are analysed. The results generally suggest that nominal wages exhibit a higher degree of persistence, which...

This article defines the Autoregressive Fractional Unit Root Integrated Moving Average (ARFURIMA) model for modelling ILM time series with fractional difference value in the interval of 1൏𝑑൏2. The performance of the ARFURIMA model is examined through a Monte Carlo simulation. Also, some...

The global COVID-19 pandemic brought many challenges for the world including the downfall in foreign direct investment inflows (FDI). Although there are many other factors which cause a decline in FDI inflows in Pakistan but present study mainly focuses on COVID-19 pandemic as this resulted in...

The log-linearized present value model (PVM) has been widely used in corporate finance to understand the long-run relationship between share price and dividends using panel data. However, the application of recently established panel econometric approaches that account for slope heterogeneity...

There was an unprecedented wave of foreclosures and evictions in Spain after the 2008 global financial crisis. The subsequent Great Recession had strong economic, social and environmental consequences. This paper explores the frequency of permanent shocks in foreclosure quarterly rates (defined...

The ``REtrieval from MIxed Sampling'' (REMIS) approach based on blocking developed in Anderson et al. (2016) is concerned with retrieving an underlying high frequency model from mixed frequency observations. In this paper we investigate parameter-identifiability in the Johansen (1995) vector...

Using the augmented Dickey-Fuller test to verify the existence of a unit root in an autoregressive process often requires the correctly specified intercept, since the test statistics can be distinctive under different model specifications and lead to contradictory results at times. In this...

Using five centuries of annual data from preindustrial England, Zivot-Andrews tests reject the null hypothesis of a unit root in real GDP. The tests identify structural breaks at the start of the Black Death (1348) and the Wars of the Roses (1457). The tests conclude that real GDP was otherwise...

Thanks to various Fourier DF unit root tests, time-varying fiscal reaction functions and threshold regressions, this study examines the stationarity and the sustainability of public finance for six industrial countries over the period spanning from 1870 to 2017. Longer-run debt sustainability is...

Over recent decades, various USA government regulations and incentives, at both federal and state levels, encourage the development of green energy sources and the reduction of CO 2 emissions. In this paper, we investigate the degree of persistency of shocks to CO 2 per capita series in 50...

This paper introduces the R package exuber for testing and date-stamping periods of mildly explosive dynamics (exuberance) in time series. The package computes test statistics for the supremum ADF test (SADF) of Phillips, Wu and Yu (2011), the generalized SADF (GSADF) of Phillips, Shi and Yu...

In this research note, we accomplish two objectives. First, we reexamine the reliability of unit root findings in the study by Said and Dickey (1984) and show that their results are internally consistent. Second, we provide new results from the reanalysis of the original data that were not...

We propose a new time series model where the threshold is specified as an empirical quantile of recent observations of a threshold variable. The resulting conditional threshold traces the fluctuation of the threshold variable, which can enhance the fit and interpretation of the model. In the...

Building upon the insight that M1 velocity is the permanent component of nominal interest rates - see Benati (2020) - I propose a novel, and straightforward approach to estimating the natural rate of interest, which is conceptually related to Cochrane's (1994) proposal to estimate the permanent...

This paper evaluates the first-differenced maximum likelihood (FDML) and the continuously updating system generalized method of moments (CU-GMM) estimators of dynamic panel models when the data is close to non-stationary. This case is far from trivial, as a high degree of persistence is the norm...

In the study we use the right-tail unit root test to analyse the presence of mild explosive dynamics (exuberance) in housing prices of the 17 largest Polish cities in the period 2006-2021 (for quarterly data). In terms of real prices from the secondary market, we were able to demonstrate the...