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  • Search: subject_exact:"Bayes-Statistik"
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Year of publication
Subject
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Bayes-Statistik 11,388 Bayesian inference 11,133 Theorie 5,128 Theory 5,018 Schätzung 2,216 Estimation 2,168 Prognoseverfahren 1,856 Forecasting model 1,804 VAR-Modell 1,575 VAR model 1,541 Schätztheorie 1,486 Estimation theory 1,464 Markov-Kette 1,083 Markov chain 1,077 Zeitreihenanalyse 1,064 Time series analysis 1,034 Monte-Carlo-Simulation 916 Monte Carlo simulation 911 Dynamisches Gleichgewicht 826 Dynamic equilibrium 791 USA 746 Schock 725 Shock 715 Geldpolitik 708 United States 690 Monetary policy 685 Volatilität 650 Stochastischer Prozess 637 Volatility 637 Bayesian estimation 625 Stochastic process 623 Spieltheorie 585 Regressionsanalyse 580 Game theory 577 Regression analysis 577 DSGE model 559 DSGE-Modell 555 Konjunktur 533 Business cycle 517 Risiko 491
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Online availability
All
Free 5,426 Undetermined 2,907 CC license 277
Type of publication
All
Book / Working Paper 6,022 Article 5,465 Journal 2
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 5,084 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 5,084 Working Paper 3,573 Graue Literatur 3,353 Non-commercial literature 3,353 Arbeitspapier 3,319 Aufsatz im Buch 281 Book section 281 Hochschulschrift 191 Thesis 128 Collection of articles written by one author 46 Sammlung 46 Collection of articles of several authors 45 Sammelwerk 45 Conference paper 35 Konferenzbeitrag 35 Aufsatzsammlung 26 Konferenzschrift 18 Lehrbuch 18 Textbook 14 Amtsdruckschrift 13 Government document 13 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 12 Forschungsbericht 12 Systematic review 11 Übersichtsarbeit 11 Festschrift 9 Bibliografie enthalten 7 Bibliography included 7 Case study 7 Fallstudie 7 Bibliografie 5 Article 4 Reprint 4 Conference proceedings 3 Handbook 3 Handbuch 3 Amtliche Publikation 2 Einführung 2 Rezension 2
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Language
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English 11,348 German 82 French 19 Undetermined 13 Spanish 12 Polish 6 Portuguese 3 Czech 2 Italian 2 Russian 2 Danish 1 Dutch 1 Romanian 1 Turkish 1
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Author
All
Dijk, Herman K. van 178 Koop, Gary 166 Ravazzolo, Francesco 127 Schorfheide, Frank 122 Casarin, Roberto 103 Tsionas, Efthymios G. 93 Marcellino, Massimiliano 81 Chan, Joshua 76 Strachan, Rodney W. 71 Hoogerheide, Lennart 70 Korobilis, Dimitris 69 Carriero, Andrea 61 Huber, Florian 61 Billio, Monica 55 Clark, Todd E. 55 Havránek, Tomáš 50 Del Negro, Marco 46 Paap, Richard 46 Bauwens, Luc 45 Österholm, Pär 45 Allenby, Greg M. 43 Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús 43 Gupta, Rangan 43 Grassi, Stefano 42 Geweke, John 41 Kitagawa, Toru 40 Kohn, Robert 40 Steel, Mark F. J. 40 Doppelhofer, Gernot 39 Lang, Stefan 38 Canova, Fabio 37 Martin, Gael M. 37 Hoogerheide, Lennart F. 36 Kaufmann, Sylvia 36 Ardia, David 35 Leon-Gonzalez, Roberto 35 Pettenuzzo, Davide 35 Rubio-Ramírez, Juan Francisco 35 Tobias, Justin L. 35 Giacomini, Raffaella 34
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Institution
All
National Bureau of Economic Research 67 University of British Columbia / Finance Division 12 Econometrisch Instituut <Rotterdam> 10 University of Strathclyde / Department of Economics 8 University of Warwick / Department of Economics 5 European University Institute / Department of Law 4 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 4 Johns Hopkins University / Department of Economics 4 University of Cambridge / Department of Applied Economics 4 University of Chicago / Graduate School of Business 4 University of New England / Department of Econometrics 4 European Central Bank 3 Federal Reserve Bank of New York 3 Iowa State University / Department of Economics 3 Sonderforschungsbereich Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse 3 Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası 3 University of Canterbury / Dept. of Economics and Finance 3 University of Sheffield / Department of Economics 3 Université de Montréal / Département de sciences économiques 3 Brown University / Department of Economics 2 Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel 2 Ekonomiska forskningsinstitutet <Stockholm> 2 Erasmus Research Institute of Management 2 INSEAD 2 Institute for Research in the Behavioral, Economic, and Management Sciences 2 Institutet för Internationell Ekonomi <Stockholm> 2 International Monetary Fund 2 Krannert Graduate School of Management 2 Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle 2 Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München / Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät 2 Rijksuniversiteit Gent / Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfskunde 2 Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies 2 Social Systems Research Institute 2 Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) 2 University of Chicago / Graduate School of Business / Department of Economics 2 Universität Konstanz 2 World Bank 2 Business Information Centre <Toronto> 1 Center for Economic Research <Tilburg> 1 Centre Européen d'Education Permanente <Fontainebleau> 1
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Published in...
All
Journal of econometrics 189 Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute 141 Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association 133 Working paper 125 International journal of forecasting 113 Economic modelling 94 Journal of the American Statistical Association : JASA 94 Discussion papers / CEPR 93 European journal of operational research : EJOR 87 Journal of applied econometrics 86 Economics letters 77 Working paper series / European Central Bank 77 Econometric reviews 74 CAMA working paper series 72 CESifo working papers 71 Journal of economic dynamics & control 70 Journal of economic theory 66 Working papers 65 Discussion paper 64 Working paper / Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University 64 Journal of forecasting 63 NBER working paper series 60 Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 59 ECB Working Paper 58 Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria 58 Games and economic behavior 58 Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences 58 Marketing science 57 IMF working papers 54 Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; quarterly publ. electronically on the internet 53 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 52 Applied economics 51 International journal of production research 50 NBER Working Paper 48 Journal of macroeconomics 47 Econometrics : open access journal 46 Insurance / Mathematics & economics 44 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 44 Computational economics 42 Working paper series 41
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 11,185 EconStor 258 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 42 OLC EcoSci 3 ArchiDok 1
Showing 1 - 50 of 11,489
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Germany's macroeconomic drivers during the pandemic and inflation surge
Hohberger, Stefan - In: International economics and economic policy 22 (2025) 1, pp. 1-49
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Estimating macroeconomic models of financial crises : an endogenous regime-switching approach
Benigno, Gianluca; Foerster, Andrew; Otrok, Christopher M. - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 16 (2025) 1, pp. 1-47
We develop a new model of cycles and crises in emerging markets, featuring an occasionally binding borrowing constraint and stochastic volatility, and estimate it with quarterly data for Mexico since 1981. We propose an endogenous regime‐switching formulation of the occasionally binding...
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Soft landing and inflation scares
Bullard, James B.; Grimaud, Alex; Salle, Isabelle; … - 2025
We discuss the timing and strength of the Fed's reaction to the recent inflation surge within an estimated macroeconomic model where long-run inflation expectations are heterogeneous and can lose their anchoring to the target. The resulting inflation scare worsens the real cost of disinflation....
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A spatial one-sided error model to identify where unarrested criminals live
Puerta-Cuartas, Alejandro; Ramírez Hassan, Andrés - In: Economic modelling 142 (2025), pp. 1-12
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Measuring natural rate of interest in Uzbekistan
Inkhomiddinov, Islomjon - 2025
The natural rate of interest, often interpreted as the equilibrium real interest rate, serves as a critical benchmark for evaluating the stance of monetary policy. This paper investigates the natural rate of interest in Uzbekistan using three econometric approaches: the HLW-type model1 , a...
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Weitzman meets Taylor : EU allowance price drivers and carbon cap rules
Benmir, Ghassane; Roman, Josselin; Taschini, Luca - 2025
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Immigration (from Ukraine) and labour market in Poland : evidence from Bayesian VAR models
Postek, Łukasz; Walerych, Małgorzata - 2025
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The new Keynesian climate model
Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume; Smets, Frank; Vermandel, Gauthier - 2025
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Estimating discrete choice demand models with sparse market-product shocks
Lu, Zhentong; Shimizu, Kenichi - 2025
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Persuading while learning
Arieli, Itai; Babichenko, Yakov; Shaiderman, Dima; Shi, … - 2025
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Portfolio optimization beyond utility maximization : the case of driftless markets
Večeř, Jan; Richard, Mark; Taylor, Stephen - In: The European journal of finance 31 (2025) 3, pp. 318-347
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Output gap measurement after Covid for Colombia: lessons from a permanent-transitory approach
Granados, Camilo; Parra-Amado, Daniel - 2025
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Tail sensitivity of US bank net interest margins : a Bayesian penalized quantile regression approach
Fritsch, Nicholas - 2025
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A Bayesian stochastic discount factor for the cross-section of individual equity options
Käfer, Niclas; Mörke, Mathis; Weigert, Florian; … - 2025 - This version: April 23, 2024
We utilize Bayesian model averaging to estimate a stochastic discount factor (SDF) for single-stock options. A Bayesian model averaging SDF outperforms reduced-form benchmark models in-sample and out-of-sample in pricing option return anomalies and portfolios. We document that the SDF is dense...
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Retain, reactivate or acquire : can nonprofits reliably use community profiles as an alternative to past donation data?
Sinha, Shameek; Malik, Sumit; Mahajan, Vijay; Hofstede, … - In: Journal of business research : JBR 186 (2025), pp. 1-18
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Regularized Bayesian best response learning in finite games
Mukherjee, Sayan; Roy, Souvik - In: Games and economic behavior 149 (2025), pp. 1-31
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Development of the near-term forecast of inflation for Uzbekistan : application of FAVAR and BVAR models
Boymirzaev, Temurbek - 2025
This study investigates the application of Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression (FAVAR) and Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) models for inflation forecasting. FAVAR models deal with high-dimensional data by extracting latent factors from extensive macroeconomic indicators, while BVAR...
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Robust parameter design for constrained randomization lifetime improvement experiments
Lv, Shanshan; Zhao, Yichen; Li, Sen; Wang, Guodong; … - In: Journal of management science and engineering 10 (2025) 1, pp. 126-141
Several process parameters affect product reliability. Traditional reliability improvement methods primarily focus on maximizing product lifetime, often overlooking the variation in product lifetime. Manufacturers, however, aim to produce products with minimal variations in their performance....
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Are accelerators akin to breweries or wineries? : a Bayesian variance decomposition of accelerator and cohort effects
Avnimelech, Gil; Dushnitsky, Gary; Ellsaesser, Florian; … - In: Strategic management journal 46 (2025) 2, pp. 534-579
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The network of injustice : a novel approach to inequality of opportunity
Colcerasa, Francesco; Giammei, Lorenzo; Subioli, Francesca - 2025
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Distributional dynamics
Bayer, Christian; Calderon, Luis; Kuhn, Moritz - 2025
We develop a new method for deriving high-frequency synthetic distributions of consumption, income, and wealth. Modern theories of macroeconomic dynamics identify the joint distribution of consumption, income, and wealth as a key determinant of aggregate dynamics. Our novel method allows us to...
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Differentiable, filter free Bayesian estimation of DSGE models using mixture density networks
Naubert, Christopher - 2025 - Last updated: January 16, 2025
I develop a methodology for Bayesian estimation of globally solved, non-linear macroeconomic models. A novel feature of my method is the use of a mixture density network to approximate the distribution of initial states. I use the methodology to estimate a medium-scale, two-agent New Keynesian...
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A comparison of Bayesian and frequentist variable selection methods for estimating average treatment effects in logistic regression
Martinez, Alex H.; Christensen, Brian; Sutton, Elizabeth F. - 2025
In many manuscripts, researchers use multivariable logistic regression to adjust for potential confounding variables when estimating a direct relationship of a treatment or exposure on a binary outcome. After choosing how variables are entered into that model, researchers can calculate an...
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World GDP, anthropogenic emissions, and global temperatures, sea level, and ice cover
Benati, Luca - 2025
I use Bayesian VARs with stochastic volatility to forecast global temperatures and sea level and ice cover in the Northerin emisphere until 2010, by exploiting (i) their long-run equilibrium relationship with climate change drivers (CCDs) and (ii) the relationship between world GDP and...
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Predicting wholesale edible oil prices through Gaussian process regressions tuned with Bayesian optimization and cross-validation
Jin, Bingzi; Xu, Xiaojie - In: Asian journal of economics and banking : AJEB 9 (2025) 1, pp. 64-82
Purpose - Developing price forecasts for various agricultural commodities has long been a significant undertaking for a variety of agricultural market players. The weekly wholesale price of edible oil in the Chinese market over a ten-year period, from January 1, 2010 to January 3, 2020, is the...
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On survival estimation of Lomax distribution under adaptive progressive type-II censoring
Sharma, Hemani; Kumar, Parmil - In: Statistics in transition : an international journal of … 26 (2025) 1, pp. 51-67
The main objective of the research described in the article is to study the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation and the Bayesian approach for parameter estimation of the Lomax distribution. Additionally, the study aims to determine the approximate intervals for the parameters and the survival...
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Unlocking university efficiency : a Bayesian stochastic frontier analysis
García-Tórtola, Zaira; Conesa, David; Crespo, Joan; … - In: International transactions in operational research : a … 32 (2025) 5, pp. 2620-2644
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On the time-varying causal relationships that drive bitcoin returns
Stengos, Thanasēs; Panagiōtidēs, Theodōros; … - 2025
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Inflation forecasting in turbulent times
Ertl, Martin; Fortin, Ines; Hlouskova, Jaroslava; Koch, … - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 52 (2025) 1, pp. 5-37
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A comment on "A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Transdiagnostic Cognitive Behavioural Therapies for Emotional Disorders"
Bartoš, František; Godmann, Henrik R. - 2025
Schaeuffele et al. (2024) examined the effect of Transdiagnostic Cognitive Behavioural Psychotherapy (TD-CBT) on emotional disorders through a meta-analysis of 53 studies involving 6,705 participants. Their main findings indicated that TD-CBT has larger treatment effects on depression, g = 0.74,...
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Forecasts of residential real estate price indices for ten major Chinese cities through Gaussian process regressions
Jin, Bingzi; Xu, Xiaojie - In: International journal of empirical economics 4 (2025) 1, pp. 1-24
Due to the rapid growth of the Chinese housing market over the past ten years, forecasting home prices has become a crucial issue for investors and authorities alike. In this research, utilising Bayesian optimisations and cross validation, we investigate Gaussian process regressions across...
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Moment matching for Bayesian inference in the baseline New-Keynesian model
Jang, Tae-Seok; Sacht, Stephen - 2025
Contrary to claims in studies on financial economics, a sparse database often obscures the identification of parameters in macroeconomic models. These identification problems originate from the poorly defined mapping between a structural model and reduced-form parameters. Hence, researchers rely...
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Bayesian nonparametric inference in bank business models with transient and persistent cost inefficiency
Korobilis, Dimitris; Mamatzakis, Emmanuel C.; Pappas, … - 2025
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Auctions with signaling bidders : optimal design and information disclosure
Bos, Olivier; Pollrich, Martin - 2025
We study optimal auctions in a symmetric private values setting, where bidders have signaling concerns: they care about winning the object and a receivers inference about their type. Signaling concerns arise in various economic situations such as takeover bidding, charity auctions, procurement...
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Updating climate beliefs based on latest IPCC report points to increased willingness to act
Freeman, Mark; Groom, Benjamin; Nesje, Frikk; Wagner, Gernot - 2025
We assess how changes in the scientific consensus around equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), as captured by the IPCC’s Fifth (AR5) and Sixth (AR6) Assessment Reports, impact policymakers’ willingness to take climate action. Taking the IPCC’s reports at face value, the ECS estimates in...
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Agreed and disagreed uncertainty
Gambetti, Luca; Korobilis, Dimitris; Tsoukalas, John D.; … - 2025
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Bayesian nonparametric inference in bank business models with transient and persistent cost inefficiency
Korobilis, Dimitris; Mamatzakis, Emmanuel C.; Pappas, … - 2025
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Monetary and fiscal policies in Brazil and the behavioral approach
Freitas, Raphael José Pereira - In: Economia : revista da ANPEC 26 (2025) 1, pp. 108-126
Purpose This study aims to elucidate the dynamics of monetary and fiscal policy interactions in Brazil, focusing on the impacts of positive shocks in government consumption and interest rates. By comparing rational and behavioral agent responses, it clarifies how these frameworks influence gross...
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Model averaging for time-varying vector autoregressions
Sun, Yuying; Chen, Feng; Gao, Jiti - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015375020
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Fiscal and monetary policy interactions : impacts and economic implications
Bozagiu, Andreea-Mădălina; Mihai, Dănuț-Georgian; … - In: Financial studies 29 (2025) 1, pp. 52-65
This paper analyses the impact of various macroeconomic shocks - including aggregate demand, supply, monetary policy, real exchange rate, and budget deficit deviation shocks - on Romania's economy using a VAR model with Bayesian inference. The study captures the period following the adoption of...
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Endogenous business cycles with small and large firms
Haque, Qazi; Pavlov, Oscar; Weder, Mark - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015405884
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A large Bayesian vector autoregression of the yield curve and macroeconomic variables with no-arbitrage restriction
Lee, Sunho; Kang, Kyu Ho - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015401970
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The pass-through to inflation of gas price shocks
López Rubio, Lucía; Odendahl, Florens; Párraga … - 2025
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Fast posterior sampling in tightly identifed SVARs using 'soft' sign restrictions
Read, Matthew; Zhu, Dan - 2025
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CardSim : a Bayesian simulator for payment card fraud detection research
Allen, Jeffrey S. - 2025
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Forecasting half-hourly electricity prices using a mixed-frequency structural VAR framework
Kapoor, Gaurav; Wichitaksorn, Nuttanan; Li, Mengheng; … - In: Econometrics : open access journal 13 (2025) 1, pp. 1-26
Electricity price forecasting has been a topic of significant interest since the deregulation of electricity markets worldwide. The New Zealand electricity market is run primarily on renewable fuels, and so weather metrics have a significant impact on electricity price and volatility. In this...
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Double robust Bayesian inference on average treatment effects
Breunig, Christoph; Liu, Ruixuan; Yu, Zhengfei - In: Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society, an … 93 (2025) 2, pp. 539-568
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Predictive distributions and the market return : the role of market illiquidity
Ellington, Michael; Kalli, Maria - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 323 (2025) 1, pp. 309-322
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Bayesian analysis for functional coefficient conditional autoregressive range model with applications
Wang, Bin; Qian, Yixin; Yu, Enping - In: Economic modelling 144 (2025), pp. 1-12
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Prioritizing factors influencing global network readiness index with bayesian belief networks
Qazi, Abroon - In: Journal of open innovation : technology, market, and … 11 (2025) 2, pp. 1-11
The rapid evolution of digital transformation necessitates a comprehensive understanding of national digital readiness. The Network Readiness Index (NRI) serves as a key benchmark for assessing a country's preparedness to leverage digital technologies for economic and societal development. This...
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