Leng, Yan; Liu, Ernest; Ren, Yifei; Tsyvinski, Aleh - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2025
We develop a theory of sectoral fluctuations driven by the propagation of demand shocks along supply chains with heterogeneous time-to-build production. We solve the model in closed form. Downstream producers respond directly to current demand. Upstream producers, due to time-to-build delays,...