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Year of publication
Subject
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Konjunktur 36,456 Business cycle 36,373 Theorie 7,595 Theory 7,567 USA 5,488 United States 5,376 Schätzung 4,275 Estimation 4,238 Schock 3,407 Shock 3,393 Finanzkrise 3,341 Financial crisis 3,331 Wirtschaftskrise 3,295 Economic crisis 3,234 Deutschland 2,978 Welt 2,913 World 2,901 Geldpolitik 2,883 Monetary policy 2,883 Germany 2,811 Wirtschaftswachstum 2,229 Economic growth 2,223 business cycle 2,087 EU-Staaten 1,899 EU countries 1,886 Wirkungsanalyse 1,824 Impact assessment 1,822 Unemployment 1,772 Zeitreihenanalyse 1,768 Time series analysis 1,748 Arbeitslosigkeit 1,744 Konjunkturtheorie 1,710 Business cycle theory 1,630 Volatility 1,624 Volatilität 1,618 Leading indicator 1,609 Frühindikator 1,608 Finanzpolitik 1,470 Fiscal policy 1,459 Wirtschaftspolitik 1,253
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Online availability
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Free 15,543 Undetermined 5,668
Type of publication
All
Book / Working Paper 21,868 Article 16,407 Journal 481 Other 24
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 14,236 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 14,236 Graue Literatur 10,249 Non-commercial literature 10,249 Working Paper 9,230 Arbeitspapier 8,797 Aufsatz im Buch 1,732 Book section 1,732 Hochschulschrift 662 Collection of articles of several authors 622 Sammelwerk 622 Thesis 467 Country report 388 Länderbericht 388 Konferenzschrift 339 Amtsdruckschrift 332 Government document 332 Statistik 276 Conference proceedings 213 Collection of articles written by one author 201 Sammlung 201 Aufsatzsammlung 186 No longer published / No longer aquired 154 Conference paper 151 Konferenzbeitrag 151 Statistics 142 Bibliografie enthalten 141 Bibliography included 141 Rezension 123 Advisory report 84 Commentary 84 Gutachten 84 Kommentar 84 Article 75 Systematic review 49 Übersichtsarbeit 49 Market information 40 Marktinformation 40 Case study 32 Fallstudie 32
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Language
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English 31,931 German 3,788 Undetermined 1,288 French 520 Spanish 501 Italian 140 Polish 125 Russian 92 Portuguese 83 Dutch 80 Hungarian 57 Croatian 53 Czech 52 Swedish 44 Danish 21 Slovak 15 Bulgarian 14 Norwegian 14 Slovenian 12 Romanian 10 Finnish 5 Serbian 4 Turkish 4 Ukrainian 4 Lithuanian 3 Arabic 1 Valencian 1 Estonian 1 Galician 1 Kazakh 1 Latvian 1 Albanian 1 Chinese 1
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Author
All
Scheide, Joachim 190 Kose, M. Ayhan 156 Gern, Klaus-Jürgen 117 Boss, Alfred 102 Kuntze, Oscar-Erich 99 Beaudry, Paul 91 Meier, Carsten-Patrick 90 Döpke, Jörg 86 Christiano, Lawrence J. 85 Portier, Franck 85 Taylor, Alan M. 83 Castelnuovo, Efrem 78 Nierhaus, Wolfgang 78 Bordo, Michael D. 76 Caballero, Ricardo J. 69 Gertler, Mark 68 Jordà, Òscar 68 Jannsen, Nils 67 Diebold, Francis X. 65 Langfeldt, Enno 64 Canova, Fabio 63 Kehoe, Patrick J. 63 Terrones, Marco E. 63 Marterbauer, Markus 61 Caggiano, Giovanni 60 Schularick, Moritz 60 Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens 59 Schatz, Klaus-Werner 59 Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel 58 Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús 57 Gupta, Rangan 57 Hinze, Jörg 57 Abberger, Klaus 56 Hart, Robert A. 56 Weinert, Günter 55 Camacho, Maximo 54 Flaschel, Peter 54 Galí, Jordi 54 Watson, Mark W. 54 Zarnowitz, Victor 54
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 991 Institut für Weltwirtschaft 150 International Monetary Fund (IMF) 119 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 107 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 74 World Bank Group 65 World Bank 60 Arbeitsgemeinschaft Deutscher Wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute 51 Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 51 Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose 46 EconWPA 33 Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH 31 Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 31 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 30 Ifo-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 29 International Monetary Fund 29 European Central Bank 28 Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der Gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 26 Europäische Kommission / Statistisches Amt 24 Banca d'Italia 23 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung / Arbeitskreis Konjunktur 23 Internationaler Währungsfonds 23 Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle 22 OECD 20 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen 18 Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) 18 Konjunkturforschungsstelle <Zürich> 18 University of Michigan / Department of Economics 18 European University Institute / Department of Economics 16 Hamburgisches Welt-Wirtschafts-Archiv 15 Institut für Weltwirtschaft / Abteilung Konjunktur 15 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 14 Banco de España 13 Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research <Manchester> 13 Ifo Institut 13 Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung 13 Credit Suisse 12 Banque de France 11 CESifo 11
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Published in...
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NBER working paper series 976 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 865 NBER Working Paper 790 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 440 Ifo-Schnelldienst 336 Discussion paper series / IZA 280 Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 273 CESifo working papers 245 Economics letters 231 Journal of monetary economics 230 Economic modelling 229 Monatsberichte / WIFO, Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 221 Journal of economic dynamics & control 212 DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 209 Working paper 197 Discussion papers / CEPR 195 Applied economics 191 Journal of macroeconomics 185 Working paper series / European Central Bank 177 IZA Discussion Paper 169 The American economic review 160 ECB Working Paper 157 Die Weltwirtschaft : Vierteljahresschrift des Instituts für Weltwirtschaft an der Universität Kiel 156 Macroeconomic dynamics 151 IMF working papers 149 PlanEcon report : developments in the economies of central Europe and Russia 145 Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge 144 Applied economics letters 141 European economic review : EER 135 IZA Discussion Papers 126 Review of economic dynamics 125 Finance and economics discussion series 124 IMF Working Papers 121 IMF working paper 120 IMF Working Paper 115 Intereconomics : review of European economic policy 114 CESifo Working Paper Series 111 Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria 111 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 111 MPRA Paper 107
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Source
All
ECONIS (ZBW) 36,300 RePEc 1,669 EconStor 520 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 215 BASE 55 USB Cologne (business full texts) 16 ArchiDok 5
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Showing 1 - 50 of 38,780
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Immigrating into a recession : evidence from family migrants to the U.S.
Barsbai, Toman; Steinmayr, Andreas; Winter, Christoph - 2022
We analyze how economic conditions at the time of arrival affect the economic integration of family-sponsored migrants in the U.S. Our identification strategy exploits long waiting times for family-sponsored immigration visas that decouple the migration decision from economic conditions at the...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012794327
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Turbulent business cycles
Ding, Dong; Liu, Zheng; Wang, Pengfei - 2022
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Real-time real economic activity : entering and exiting the pandemic recession of 2020
Diebold, Francis X. - 2022
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RGAP: output gap estimation in R
Streicher, Sina - 2022
Assessing potential output and the output gap is essential for policy-making and fiscal surveillance. The European Commission proposes a production function methodology that involves the estimation of two classes of Gaussian state space models. This paper presents the R package RGAP which...
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Blateral remittance inflows to Asia and the Pacific : countercyclicality and motivations to remit
Kim, Kijin; Ardaniel, Zemma; Kikkawa, Aiko; Endriga, … - 2022
This paper examines the countercyclicality of remittance inflows to the countries in Asia and the Pacific. It also aims to identify major determinants of remittances using gravity models of bilateral remittances. We find that bilateral remittance inflows are countercyclical against the business...
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Durable consumption, limited VAT pass-through and stabilization effects of temporary VAT changes
Clemens, Marius; Röger, Werner - 2022
This paper revives the question of whether a temporary VAT change is an adequate instrument for crisis stabilization. In empirical assessments, we find that durable goods consumption fluctuates strongly over the business cycle and that VAT rate changes affect durable goods in particular....
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Downward revision of investment decisions after corporate tax hikes
Link, Sebastian; Menkhoff, Manuel; Peichl, Andreas; … - 2022
This paper estimates the causal effect of corporate tax hikes on firm investment based on more than 1,400 local tax changes. By observing planned and realized investment volumes in a representative sample of German manufacturing firms, we can study how tax hikes induce firms to revise their...
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The inexorable recoveries of unemployment
Hall, Robert Ernest; Kudlyak, Marianna - 2022
Unemployment recoveries in the US have been inexorable. Between 1948 and 2019, the annual reduction in the unemployment rate during cyclical recoveries was fairly tightly distributed around 0.1 log points per year. The economy seems to have an irresistible force toward restoring full employment....
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013168884
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The unemployed with jobs and without jobs
Hall, Robert Ernest; Kudlyak, Marianna - 2022
Potential workers are classified as unemployed if they seek work but are not working. The unemployed population contains two groups - those with jobs and those without jobs. Those with jobs are on furlough or temporary layoff. This group expanded tremendously in April 2020, at the trough of the...
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Beyond the business climate : regular and supplementary questions in the ifo Business survey
Demmelhuber, Katrin; Sauer, Stefan; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2022
In the monthly ifo Business Survey around 9,000 German companies answer questions about their current business situation, expectations and plans for the near future as well as on other business variables. This paper provides an overview of all regular questions (monthly, quarterly, bi-annually,...
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The euro area government spending multiplier in demand- and supply-driven recessions
Di Serio, Mario; Fragetta, Matteo; Gasteiger, Emanuel; … - 2022
We estimate government spending multipliers in demand- and supply-driven recessions for the Euro Area. Multipliers in a moderately demand-driven recession are 2-3 times larger than in a moderately supply-driven recession, with the difference between multipliers being non-zero with very high...
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Characterizing the schooling cycle
Sadaba, Barbara; Vujić, Sunčica; Maier, Sofia - 2022
This paper develops a novel and tractable empirical approach to estimate the cycle in schooling participation decisions, which we denominate the schooling cycle. The estimation procedure is based on unobserved components time series models that decompose higher education enrollment rates into a...
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The theory of efficient growth
Van, Germinal G. - 2022
The objective of this paper is to propose an analytical framework to examine the foundations of the theory of efficient growth. The theory of efficient growth is a newly developed theory based on the principles of the neoclassical framework. It argues that an economy grows efficiently under two...
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The chronology of Brexit and UK monetary policy
Geiger, Martin; Güntner, Jochen - 2022
The outcome of the referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union in June 2016 was largely unanticipated by politicians and pundits alike. Even after the "Leave" vote, the uncertainty surrounding the withdrawal process might have affected the UK economy. We draw on an official list of...
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The (heterogenous) economic effects of private equity buyouts
Davis, Steven J.; Haltiwanger, John C.; Handley, Kyle; … - 2022
The effects of private equity buyouts on employment, productivity, and job reallocation vary tremendously with macroeconomic and credit conditions, across private equity groups, and by type of buyout. We reach this conclusion by examining the most extensive database of U.S. buyouts ever...
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From epidemic to pandemic : effects of the COVID-19 outbreak on high school program choices in Sweden
Aalto, Aino-Maija; Müller, Dagmar; Tilley, J. Lucas - 2022
We study whether the onset of the COVID-19 crisis affected the program choices of high school applicants in Sweden. Our analysis exploits the fact that the admission process consists of two stages: a preliminary round in which applicants initially rank programs in order of preference and a final...
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State dependence of fiscal multipliers : the source of fluctuations matters$dMishel Ghassibe, Francesco Zanetti
Ghassibe, Mishel; Zanetti, Francesco - 2022
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Uncertainty before and during COVID-19 : a survey
Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2022
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Climate policies, macroprudential regulation, and the welfare cost of business cycles
Annicchiarico, Barbara; Carli, Marco; Diluiso, Francesca - 2022
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Cohort analysis of labor participation and sectoral composition of employment in Ecuador
Ontaneda Jiménez, Diego Danny; Mendieta Muñoz, Luis … - In: Romanian journal of economic forecasting 25 (2022) 3, pp. 67-87
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Cyclical earnings, career and employment transitions
Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos; Visschers, Ludo; Wiczer, David - 2022
This paper studies the cyclical behaviour of earnings risk and career changes. We document that the procyclical skewness of the earnings growth distribution arises mostly from the earnings changes of employer and occupation switchers. To uncover their relative importance in driving cyclical...
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Estimating financial integration in Europe : how to separate structural trends from cyclical fluctuations
Lake, Alfred; Maurin, Laurent; Minnella, Enrico - 2022
We construct a new indicator of de facto financial integration in the EU. The resulting indicator is pro-cyclical as it evolves along the cyclical pattern of economic activity in the European Union. It is then appended to a set of relevant financial and macroeconomic variables, within a FAVAR...
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Cyclical earnings, career and employment transitions
Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos; Visschers, Ludo; Wiczer, David - 2022
This paper studies the cyclical behaviour of earnings risk and career changes. We document that the procyclical skewness of the earnings growth distribution arises mostly from the earnings changes of employer and occupation switchers. To uncover their relative importance in driving cyclical...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013390926
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Firm expectations and news : micro v macro
Born, Benjamin; Enders, Zeno; Menkhoff, Manuel; … - 2022
In this study, we investigate how firm expectations about their own developments respond to different types of news. We classify news as either micro or macro, with micro news being information about firm-specific developments and macro news being information about the aggregate economy. Our...
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Frequency-band estimation of the number of factors detecting the main business cycle shocks
Avarucci, Marco; Cavicchiol, Maddalena; Forni, Mario; … - 2022
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Multipliers effects of social protection: a SVAR approach for Brazil
Sanches, Marina; Carvalho, Laura - 2022
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Tracking economic growth in real time during the pandemic : a rationale for a revision of €-coin
Aprigliano, Valentina; Emiliozzi, Simone; Lippi, Marco - 2022
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Recession forecasting with high-dimensional data
Nevasalmi, Lauri - In: Journal of forecasting 41 (2022) 4, pp. 752-764
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Productivity growth effects of structural reforms : evidence from developing countries
Gomado, Kwamivi - 2022
Which structural reforms affect labour productivity growth in developing countries? This paper answers this question by combining the local projections method and the inverse probability weighted regression adjustment (LP-IPWRA) method. We find that financial reforms, trade reforms, and product...
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Financial, institutional, and macroeconomic determinants of cross-country portfolio equity flows
Afonso, António; Alves, José; Beck, Krzysztof; … - 2022
We consider a new dataset that provides a description of the population of financial equity flows between developed countries from 2001 to 2018. We follow the standard practice of controlling for pull and push factors as well as gravity-style variables, while also accounting for the business...
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From addition to multiplication : the labour theory of value and the economic institutions of capitalism : part two: neither micro nor macro: understanding the evolution of aggrega...
Battistini, Alberto - 2022
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Only the fit survive recessions : estimating labor market penalties for the obese over the business cycle
Inafuku, Rachel - 2022
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Informality, development, and the business cycle in North Africa
Abdulkarim, Azhin; Alter, Adrian; Arzoumanian, Shant; … - 2022
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Multi-product establishments and product dynamics
Hamano, Masashige; Oikawa, Keita - 2022
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Michał Kalecki's scientific legacy as a model for understanding contemporary crisis
Pawlik, Andrzej - In: Baltic Journal of Economic Studies 8 (2022) 3, pp. 1-6
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Drivers and frictions of workplace accidents : an empirical investigation of cross-country European heterogeneity
Castaldo, Angelo; Germani, Anna Rita; Marrocco, Alessia; … - 2022
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Macroeconomic responses to uncertainty shocks : the perils of recursive orderings
Kilian, Lutz; Plante, Michael D.; Richter, Alexander W. - 2022
A common practice in empirical macroeconomics is to examine alternative recursive orderings of the variables in structural vector autogressive (VAR) models. When the implied impulse responses look similar, the estimates are considered trustworthy. When they do not, the estimates are used to...
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State dependence of fiscal multipliers : the source of fluctuations matters
Ghassibe, Mishel; Zanetti, Francesco - 2022
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10013361298
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Fiscal decentralization and structural versus cyclical unemployment levels
Akalbeo, Benard; Martinez-Vazquez, Jorge; Yedgenov, … - 2022
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A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors
Berger, Tino; Richter, Julia; Wong, Benjamin - 2021
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Public R&D investment in economic crises
Pellens, Maikel; Peters, Bettina; Hud, Martin; Rammer, … - 2021 - This version: November 2021
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Business cycles in the EU: a comprehensive comparison across methods
Celov, Dmitrij; Comunale, Mariarosaria - 2021
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Back to the future: intellectual challenges formonetary policy
Borio, Claudio E. V. - 2021
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Business cycle synchronization or business cycle transmission? : the effect of the German slowdown on the Italian economy
Mistretta, Alessandro - 2021
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Permanent versus transitory income shocks over the business cycle
Kovacs, Agnes; Rondinelli, Concetta; Trucchi, Serena - 2021
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Equilibrium job turnover and the business cycle
Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos; Clymo, Alex; Coles, Melvyn Glyn - 2021
This paper develops and estimates a fully microfounded equilibrium business cycle model of the US labor market with aggregate productivity shocks. Those microfoundations are consistent with evidence regarding the underlying distribution of firm growth rates across firms [by age and size] and,...
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Cyclical patterns of the Spanish economy in Europe
Álvarez, Luis J.; Gadea, María Dolores; Gómez-Loscos, Ana - 2021
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Income inequality in Germany temporarily sinks during crises
Dany-Knedlik, Geraldine; Kriwoluzky, Alexander - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 11 (2021) 46, pp. 349-355
This study is the first to investigate the interdependence of income inequality and business cycles in Germany over the past 40 years. These fluctuations in income inequality are important because they are decisive for designing effective and targeted structural redistributive and stabilization...
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Covid-19 pandemic lockdown vs. business cycle clock registration of new passenger cars in European countries
Kufel, Tadeusz - In: European research studies 24 (2021) 1, pp. 875-890
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012512826
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Timing the Maltese business cycle : a historical perspective
Ellul, Reuben - 2021
Despite data limitations, formal methods can still be applied to identify business cycle turning points and hence date appropriately the Maltese business cycle. An extension of the official quarterly GDP time series to the 1970s allows for a historical view on dating the business cycle, leading...
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