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Year of publication
Subject
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Konjunktur 25,400 Business cycle 25,381 USA 9,443 United States 9,375 Theorie 7,244 Theory 7,219 Deutschland 2,622 Schätzung 2,592 Estimation 2,554 Germany 2,484 Welt 2,067 World 2,055 Wirtschaftskrise 2,015 Economic crisis 1,967 Finanzkrise 1,879 Financial crisis 1,875 Schock 1,874 business cycle 1,869 Shock 1,860 Monetary policy 1,758 Geldpolitik 1,751 Economic growth 1,509 Wirtschaftswachstum 1,496 EU-Staaten 1,307 Konjunkturtheorie 1,300 EU countries 1,294 Frühindikator 1,291 Leading indicator 1,291 Business cycle theory 1,234 Zeitreihenanalyse 1,139 Time series analysis 1,119 Unemployment 1,087 Arbeitslosigkeit 1,062 Volatility 1,007 Volatilität 1,004 Finanzpolitik 964 Fiscal policy 957 Wirkungsanalyse 952 Impact assessment 950 Arbeitsmarkt 869
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Online availability
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Free 7,670 Undetermined 3,704
Type of publication
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Article 13,649 Book / Working Paper 13,615 Journal 488 Other 6
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 11,601 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 11,601 Graue Literatur 8,588 Non-commercial literature 8,588 Working Paper 7,708 Arbeitspapier 7,322 Aufsatz im Buch 1,564 Book section 1,564 Collection of articles of several authors 621 Sammelwerk 621 Hochschulschrift 572 Thesis 457 Country report 384 Länderbericht 384 Konferenzschrift 334 Amtsdruckschrift 302 Government document 302 Statistik 267 Conference proceedings 217 Collection of articles written by one author 190 Sammlung 190 No longer published / No longer aquired 155 Statistics 144 Bibliografie enthalten 134 Bibliography included 134 Aufsatzsammlung 111 Conference paper 98 Konferenzbeitrag 98 Advisory report 84 Gutachten 84 Commentary 73 Kommentar 73 Rezension 66 Article 60 Systematic review 47 Übersichtsarbeit 47 Market information 38 Marktinformation 38 Mehrbändiges Werk 35 Multi-volume publication 35
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Language
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English 21,049 German 3,677 Undetermined 1,297 French 507 Spanish 488 Italian 137 Polish 122 Russian 90 Portuguese 80 Dutch 79 Hungarian 56 Czech 52 Croatian 52 Swedish 42 Danish 19 Slovak 15 Bulgarian 14 Slovenian 12 Norwegian 11 Romanian 10 Finnish 5 Serbian 4 Turkish 4 Ukrainian 4 Lithuanian 3 Arabic 1 Valencian 1 Estonian 1 Galician 1 Kazakh 1 Latvian 1 Albanian 1 Chinese 1
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Author
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Scheide, Joachim 187 Gern, Klaus-Jürgen 109 Kuntze, Oscar-Erich 99 Boss, Alfred 98 Kose, M. Ayhan 89 Meier, Carsten-Patrick 89 Döpke, Jörg 80 Nierhaus, Wolfgang 75 Christiano, Lawrence J. 61 Langfeldt, Enno 61 Marterbauer, Markus 61 Schatz, Klaus-Werner 59 Portier, Franck 57 Weinert, Günter 56 Hinze, Jörg 55 Beaudry, Paul 53 Canova, Fabio 51 Jannsen, Nils 51 Kehoe, Patrick J. 51 Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel 51 Abberger, Klaus 50 Taylor, Alan M. 50 Flaschel, Peter 49 Ludwig, Udo 49 Reichlin, Lucrezia 49 Abrahamsen, Yngve 48 Kamps, Christophe 48 Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens 47 Artis, Michael J. 46 Berg, Gerard J. van den 46 Galí, Jordi 46 Clemens, Reinhard 45 Jordà, Òscar 45 Walterskirchen, Ewald 45 Diebold, Francis X. 44 Terrones, Marco E. 44 Bordo, Michael D. 43 Gallegati, Mauro 43 Sturm, Jan-Egbert 43 Trapp, Peter 43
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Institution
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Institut für Weltwirtschaft 145 International Monetary Fund (IMF) 119 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 107 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 74 Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 51 Arbeitsgemeinschaft Deutscher Wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute 50 Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose 45 EconWPA 33 Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH 31 Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 30 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 29 International Monetary Fund 29 European Central Bank 28 Ifo-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 28 Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der Gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 26 Banca d'Italia 24 Europäische Kommission / Statistisches Amt 24 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung / Arbeitskreis Konjunktur 23 Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle 21 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19 Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research <Manchester> 18 Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) 18 Konjunkturforschungsstelle <Zürich> 18 University of Michigan / Department of Economics 18 European University Institute / Department of Economics 17 Hamburgisches Welt-Wirtschafts-Archiv 15 Internationaler Währungsfonds 15 Sonderforschungsbereich Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse 14 Banco de España 13 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 13 Ifo Institut 13 Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung 13 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 13 Credit Suisse 12 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen 12 Banque de France 11 CESifo 11 Econometric Society 11 National Bureau of Economic Research 11 Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät 11
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Published in...
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Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 873 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 432 Ifo-Schnelldienst 328 Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 259 Discussion paper series / IZA 229 Monatsberichte / WIFO, Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 219 DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 208 CESifo working papers 187 Journal of monetary economics 187 Economics letters 174 Journal of economic dynamics & control 167 Economic modelling 166 The American economic review 158 Die Weltwirtschaft : Vierteljahresschrift des Instituts für Weltwirtschaft an der Universität Kiel 156 Applied economics 143 Journal of macroeconomics 141 PlanEcon report : developments in the economies of central Europe and Russia 140 Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge 136 Working paper 129 Working paper series / European Central Bank 124 Macroeconomic dynamics 120 IMF working paper 119 IZA Discussion Papers 118 IMF working papers 117 Wirtschaft im Wandel 107 MPRA Paper 106 European economic review : EER 100 Finance and economics discussion series 98 Review of economic dynamics 97 IMF Working Papers 96 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 96 Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria 94 Applied economics letters 91 Monatsbericht / Deutsche Bundesbank 78 Staff working paper / Bank of Canada 77 CEPR Discussion Papers 74 Intereconomics : review of European economic policy 73 Discussion papers / CEPR 69 Ifo-Wirtschaftskonjunktur : Monatsberichte des Ifo-Instituts für Wirtschaftsforschung 69 Bank of Finland research discussion papers 68
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 25,362 RePEc 1,669 EconStor 454 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 215 BASE 37 USB Cologne (business full texts) 16 ArchiDok 5
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Showing 1 - 50 of 27,758
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Different no more : country spreads in advanced and emerging economies
Born, Benjamin; Müller, Gernot J.; Pfeifer, Johannes; … - 2020
Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...
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Opening the red budget box : nonlinear effects of a tax shock in the UK
Colombo, Valentina - 2020
This paper studies the real effects of an exogenous UK tax change in recessions and expansions. The tax shock is identified via the measure proposed by Cloyne (2013). Combining local projection techniques (Jordà, 2005) with smooth transition regressions (Granger and Teräsvirta, 1994), tax...
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Inequality over the business cycle : the role of distributive shocks
Clemens, Marius; Eydam, Ulrich; Heinemann, Maik - 2020
This paper examines the dynamics of wealth and income inequality along the business cycle and assesses how they are related to fluctuations in the functional income distribution. In a panel estimation for OECD countries between 1970 and 2016 we find that on average income inequality - measured...
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Caught in the cycle : economic conditions at enrollment and labor market outcomes of college graduates
Bičáková, Alena; Cortes, Guido Matias; Mazza, Jacopo - 2020
We find robust evidence that cohorts of graduates who enter college during worse economic times earn higher average wages than those who enter during better times. This difference is not explained by differences in economic conditions at the time of college graduation, changes in field of study...
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Economic and socio-cultural drivers of necessity and opportunity entrepreneurship depending on the business cycle phase
Martínez Rodríguez, Isabel; Callejas-Albiñana, … - In: Journal of business economics and management 21 (2020) 2, pp. 373-394
This paper offers an in-depth examination of the behavior of necessity- and opportunitydriven entrepreneurship. First, it considers their relevance to total entrepreneurial activity. It then seeks to determine which socio-cultural and economic factors affect the two types of entrepreneurship, as...
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Financial variables as predictors of real growth vulnerability
Reichlin, Lucrezia; Ricco, Giovanni; Hasenzagl, Thomas - 2020 - This version: 30th October 2019
We evaluate the role of financial conditions as predictors of macroeconomic risk first in the quantile regression framework of Adrian et al. (2019b), which allows for non-linearities, and then in a novel linear semi-structural model as proposed by Hasenzagl et al. (2018). We distinguish between...
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Risk pooling, leverage, and the business cycle
Dindo, Pietro; Modena, Andrea; Pelizzon, Loriana - 2020 - This version: 25th February 2020
This paper studies the impact of financial sector size and leverage on business cycles and risk-free rates dynamics. We model a general equilibrium productive economy where financial intermediaries provide costly risk mitigation to households by pooling the idiosyncratic risks of their...
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Higher-order income risk over the business cycle
Busch, Christopher; Ludwig, Alexander - 2020
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higherorder risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household data from the United States. We find countercyclical...
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Unemployment and endogenous reallocation over the business cycle
Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos; Visschers, Ludo - 2020
This paper studies the extent to which the cyclicality of gross and net occupational mobility shapes that of aggregate unemployment and its duration distribution. Using the SIPP, we document the relation between workers' (gross and net) occupational mobility and unemployment duration over the...
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An endogenous approach to the cyclicality of R&D investment under credit constraints : firms’ cash flow matters!
Laborda, Juan; Salas-Fumás, Vicente; Suárez, Cristina - In: Journal of open innovation : technology, market, and … 6 (2020) 2/33, pp. 1-23
This paper examines the sensitivity of firms´ R&D expenditures to being externally financial constrained to undertake innovation projects, considering that being constrained is endogenous. It focuses on devising a model that enable us to explore the combined impact of liquidity constraints,...
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Wage growth distribution and changes over time: 2001-2018
Kalb, Guyonne; Meekes, Jordy - 2020
This paper investigates how wage growth varies among Australian employees with different individual characteristics and job characteristics, and how the role of these characteristics has changed over the 2001-2018 period. The results show that after increasing between 2002 and 2007, wage growth...
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Financial variables as predictors of real growth vulnerability
Reichlin, Lucrezia; Ricco, Giovanni; Hasenzagl, Thomas - 2020
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The demand for trade protection over the business cycle
Auray, Stéphane; Devereux, Michel B.; Eyquem, Aurélien - 2020 - This version: January 2020
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When the art of macroeconomic management confronts the evolution of business cycles : zooming into the Egyptian case
Hussein, Nouran; Fouad, Jasmin - In: International journal of business & management : IJoBM 8 (2020) 1, pp. 11-34
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Global and domestic financial cycles : variations on a theme
Aldasoro, Iñaki; Avdjiev, Stefan; Borio, Claudio E. V.; … - 2020
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Determinants of the credit cycle : a flow analysis of the extensive margin
Cuciniello, Vincenzo; Di Iasio, Nicola - 2020
We use monthly data on individual loans from the Italian Credit Register over the period from 1997 to 2019 and show that bank credit expansions in the non-financial private sector are mostly explained by variations in the extensive margin calculated either in credit ows or headcount of new...
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World shocks and commodity price fluctuations: evidence from resource-rich economies
Arigoni, Filippo - 2020
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International information flows, sentiments and cross-country business cycle fluctuations
Brzoza-Brzezina, Michał; Kotłowski, Jacek; … - 2020
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A mathematical model for the study of the effects of the economic cycle on the real GDP growth rate through the expectations-adjusted Phillips Curve
Ferrentino, Rosa; Vota, Luca - In: International journal of economics and financial issues … 10 (2020) 2, pp. 222-234
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Higher-order income risk over the business cycle
Busch, Christopher; Ludwig, Alexander - 2020
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higher-order risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household data from the United States. We find countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012215285
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Unemployment and endogenous reallocation over the business cycle
Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos; Visschers, Ludo - 2020
This paper studies the extent to which the cyclicality of gross and net occupational mobility shapes that of aggregate unemployment and its duration distribution. Using the SIPP, we document the relation between workers' (gross and net) occupational mobility and unemployment duration over the...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012219107
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Financial factors and the business cycle
Berger, Tino; Richter, Julia; Wong, Benjamin - 2020
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Monetary policy with non-separable government spending
Troug, Haytem - In: Journal of applied economics 23 (2020) 1, pp. 426-449
The significant role of government consumption in affecting economic conditions raises the necessity for monetary policy to take into account the behaviour of fiscal policy and to also take into account how the presence of the fiscal sector might affect the transmission mechanism of monetary...
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Caught in the cycle: economic conditions at enrollment and labor market outcomes of college graduates
Bičáková, Alena; Cortes, Guido Matias; Mazza, Jacopo - 2020
We find robust evidence that cohorts of male graduates who start college during worse economic times earn higher average wages than those who start during better times. This gap is not explained by differences in selection into employment, in economic conditions at the time of college...
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This time it's different: the role of women's employment in a pandemic recession
Alon, Titan; Doepke, Matthias; Olmstead-Rumsey, Jane; … - 2020
In recent US recessions, employment losses have been much larger for men than for women. Yet, in the current recession caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, the opposite is true: unemployment is higher among women. In this paper, we analyze the causes and consequences of this phenomenon. We argue...
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Higher-order income risk over the business cycle
Busch, Christopher; Ludwig, Alexander - 2020
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Determinants of the credit cycle : a flow analysis of the extensive margin
Cuciniello, Vincenzo; Di Iasio, Nicola - 2020
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Government deficit shocks and Okun's coefficient volatility : new insights on the austerity versus growth debate
Binh Thai Pham; Sala, Hector - 2019
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
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Entrepreneurship over the business cycle in the United States: a decomposition
Fossen, Frank M. - 2019
Entry rates into self-employment increase during recessions and decrease during economic upswings. I show that this is mostly explained by the higher unemployment rate during a recession, together with the fact that at all times, unemployed persons have a relatively high propensity to become...
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Statistical analysis of the asymmetrical unemployement in Albania
Shalari, Ornela; Gumeni, Anita; Mulla, Pranvera - In: EuroEconomica 38 (2019) 1, pp. 67-72
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Debt and depth of recessions
Park, Donghyun; Shin, Kwanho; Tian, Shu - 2019
This paper empirically investigates the relationship between the speed of buildup of private debt (household and corporate) and the depth of recessions. To do this, we differentiate between financial recessions and normal recessions on the basis of how quickly their private debt builds up. In...
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Is there a business cycle effect on the incidence of dual job holding?
Choe, Chung; Oaxaca, Ronald L.; Renna, Francesco - 2019
This paper examines the extent to which the incidence of dual job holding is cyclically sensitive in the context of hours constraints on labor supply. Linear probability models of the incidence of dual job holding are estimated separately for each hours constraint regime. Selection effects are...
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Risk pooling, leverage, and the business cycle
Dindo, Pietro; Modena, Andrea; Pelizzon, Loriana - 2019 - This version: 10th July 2019
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Global shocks alert and monetary policy responses
Shobande, Olatunji Abdul; Shodipe, Oladimeji Tomiwa; … - 2019
The study examines the role of global predictors on national monetary policy formation for Kenya and Ghana within the New Keynesian DSGE framework. We developed and automatically calibrated our DSGE model using the Bayesian estimator, which made our model robust to rigorous stochastic number of...
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Fiscal policy experiments
Georgakopoulos, Ilias - 2019
This paper investigates the macroeconomic implications of alternative tax regimes. For this purpose, a one-sector general equilibrium model is constructed in which heterogeneous agents differ in productivity and holdings of capital in the sense of incurring transaction costs for participating in...
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The role of global and domestic shocks for inflation dynamics : evidence from Asia
Finck, David; Tillmann, Peter - 2019
This paper studies the determinants of business cycles in small open economies and adds to the discussion about the changing nature of inflation dynamics. We estimate a series of VAR models for a set of six Asian emerging market economies, in which we identify a battery of domestic and global...
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History dependence in wages and cyclical selection : evidence from Germany
Bauer, Anja; Lochner, Benjamin - 2019
Using administrative employer-employee data from Germany, we investigate the relationship between wages and past and present labor market conditions. Furthermore, we revisit recent findings of greater wage cyclicality of new hires. Overall, we find strong evidence for history dependent wages,...
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The evolution and heterogeneity of credit procyclicality in Central and Eastern Europe
Cuestas, Juan Carlos; Lucotte, Yannick; Reigl, Nicolas - 2019
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Labour force participation and the business cycle in Mexico
Puigvert, Jonathan; Juárez-Torres, Miriam - 2019
This paper studies the labour force participation in Mexico between 2005 and 2018 at the aggregate level. While the ageing of the labour force produced modest reductions in the participation rate, changes in the educational level countervailed these effects for the period of study. In...
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Populism-what next? : a first look at populist walking-stick economies
Ball, Christopher; Freytag, Andreas; Kautz, Miriam - 2019
The recent rise in populist governments has led to much work on the question "why now?". Our work takes the next logical step by asking "what next?". That is, given populists in power, what should we expect to be the economic consequences of populist regimes. To answer this, we characterize...
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Using credit variables to date business cycle and to estimate the probabilities of recession in real time
Aprigliano, Valentina; Liberati, Danilo - 2019
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Economic uncertainty and fertility
Gözgör, Giray; Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin; Rangazas, Peter C. - 2019
In this paper, we conduct an empirical study of the effect of uncertainty on fertility. The precautionary motive for saving predicts that an increase in uncertainty increases saving by reducing both consumption and fertility. We use a new measure of uncertainty, the World Uncertainty Index, and...
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Wage differentials and segmentation : the impact of institutions and changing economic conditions
Arranz, José María; Fernández-Macías, Enrique; … - 2019
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Evolution of private returns to schooling over the business cycle in a transition economy
Wincenciak, Leszek - 2019
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Credit, bankruptcy, and aggregate fluctuations
Nakajima, Makoto; Ríos-Rull, José-Víctor - 2019
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The empirics of granular origins : some challenges and solutions with an application to the UK
Dacic, Nikola; Melolinna, Marko - 2019
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Fearing the Fed : how Wall Street reads main street
Law, Tzuo Hann; Song, Dongho; Yaron, Amir - 2019
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Firm expectations and economic activity
Enders, Zeno; Hünnekes, Franziska; Müller, Gernot J. - 2019
We assess how survey expectations impact production and pricing decisions on the basis of a large panel of German firms. We identify the causal effect of expectations by matching firms with the same fundamentals but different views about the future. The probability to raise (lower) production is...
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Three essays about dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models with overlapping generations
Scharrer, Christian - 2019
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Fiscal activism in the euro area and in other advanced economies : new evidence
Attinasi, Maria Grazia; Palazzo, Alessandra Anna; … - 2019
We review the determinants of the discretionary fiscal policy action of governments in the euro area and in other advanced economies during the past 20 years. This is done by estimating fiscal reaction functions using dynamic panel techniques and country-by-country estimates. The results suggest...
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