This study examines the determinants of gold returns over the period 2000-2025, a period marked by recurrent financial crises, geopolitical tensions, and major shifts in global monetary conditions. As gold represents both a strategic commodity and a key reserve asset, understanding the channels...

This paper develops a tractable consumption-based asset-pricing model in an i.i.d. economy that combines rare consumption disasters with ambiguity aversion implemented as a one-period entropic tilt under CRRA utility. Closed-form expressions for the risk-free rate, equity return moments, and the...

Despite the economic relevance of climate-transition risk, firm-level carbon exposure often fails to appear as a robustly priced factor when ESG measures and sustainability shocks are conflated. This study examines whether carbon exposure is conditionally priced in European equity returns using...

We propose a macro-finance model in which inflation, growth, and the policy rate are driven by unobservable long-run trends and transitory cycles that investors must infer from aggregate data. Their subjective estimates of these trends, and the uncertainty surrounding them, are priced into the...

Theories of limited attention predict that investors rely on typical patterns to navigate high-dimensional firm characteristics, making atypical firms hard to process. To quantify this difficulty, we propose a data-driven measure of firm atypicality using an autoencoder (ATYP). The model learns...

Workforce adjustments, such as mass layoffs, are significant corporate events that can influence stock returns and volatility, yet their broader asset-pricing implications remain underexplored. We examine the impact of such workforce shocks on stock performance from an asset-pricing perspective....

Standard optimal capital tax theory abstracts from modeling asset prices, making it unsuitable for thinking about capital gains and wealth taxation. We study optimal redistributive taxation in an environment with asset price movements, adopting the modern finance view that asset prices fluctuate...

This study quantifies Lithuania's Equity Risk Premium (ERP) by integrating Damodaran's country-risk premium (CRP) framework with a multiple regression on key market drivers. By using quarterly data from Q1 2015 to Q4 2024, the CRP model yields an implied cost of equity of 9.84%, corresponding to...

The article studies differential capital taxation - distinct rates on interest income and risky profits - in a continuous-time representative-agent general equilibrium model with complete markets. It derives closed-form expressions for the equilibrium risk-free rate and the market price of risk....

Climate change, trade wars, supply-chain disruptions, and geopolitical uncertainty - one may characterize the post-COVID era as such. The Circular Economy, with its focus on a circular production process, is a framework that addresses exactly these drivers of heightened uncertainty. We propose...

This paper investigates the presence and timing of explosive price dynamics in major listed real estate markets over the period 04 January 2011 - 11 February 2026. The analysis focuses on four benchmark indices: the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Europe Index, the FTSE Nareit All Equity REITs Index...

This study presents an exploratory methodological framework for examining structural changes in regulatory risk disclosure using sentence embeddings, multivariate anomaly detection, and explainable artificial intelligence. Prior research typically relies on dictionary-based word frequencies,...

Heterogeneous beliefs among market participants can lead to questionable speculative trading that goes beyond any risk-sharing motives. We demonstrate that such unwarranted betting behavior in market equilibrium can be mitigated by introducing nonlinear pricing for ambiguous contracts, without...

The debate surrounding the financial performance of Shariah compliance (SC) and socially-responsible (SR) investments versus traditional ones remains controversial. This study pioneers an examination of this issue within Indonesia, a country where SC Investments (SCIs) and SR Investments (SRIs)...

This paper investigates asset pricing anomalies in sharia-compliant (SC) stocks in the US market, focusing on whether dividend-oriented strategies can yield significant alphas. SC stocks adhere to Islamic principles, avoiding activities such as the production and sale of alcoholic beverages,...