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  • Search: subject_exact:"Consumer confidence index"
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Year of publication
Subjects
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Consumer confidence index 168 Verbrauchervertrauensindex 166 USA 59 United States 58 Leading indicator 52 Frühindikator 51 Forecasting model 40 Prognoseverfahren 40 Private consumption 37 Privater Konsum 37 Consumer behaviour 30 Konsumentenverhalten 30 Estimation 24 Schätzung 24 Theorie 18 Theory 18 Deutschland 17 EU countries 17 EU-Staaten 17 Germany 17 Advertising 13 Business cycle 13 Konjunktur 13 Werbung 13 Confidence 10 Netherlands 10 Niederlande 10 Vertrauen 10 Großbritannien 9 Index 9 Index number 9 Italien 9 Italy 9 United Kingdom 9 Causality analysis 8 Economic indicator 8 Erwartungsbildung 8 Expectation formation 8 Kausalanalyse 8 Wirtschaftsindikator 8
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Online availability
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Free 40 Undetermined 6
Type of publication
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Article 114 Book / Working Paper 60 Journal 1
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 82 Aufsatz in Zeitschriften 82 Graue Literatur 56 Non-commercial literature 56 Arbeitspapier 46 Working Paper 46 Article in book 25 Aufsatz im Buch 25 Dissertation 6 Hochschulschrift 6 Thesis 6 Collection of articles written by one author 3 Sammlung 3 Amtsdruckschrift 2 Government document 2 Collection of articles of several authors 1 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 1 Market information 1 Marktinformation 1 Sammelwerk 1 Statistics 1 Statistik 1
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Language
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English 138 German 23 Undetermined 7 Italian 2 French 1 Croatian 1 Kazakh 1 Polish 1 Russian 1
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Persons
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Alsem, Karel J. 4 Brakman, Steven 4 Hoogduin, Lex H. 4 Kuper, Gerard H. 4 Parigi, Giuseppe 4 Cholodilin, Konstantin A. 3 Comin, Diego 3 Cotsomitis, John A. 3 Croushore, Dean Darrell 3 Golinelli, Roberto 3 Kwan, Andy Cheuk-chiu 3 Lux, Thomas 3 Ronning, Gerd 3 Schmidt, Torsten 3 Souleles, Nicholas S. 3 Vosen, Simeon 3 Al-Eyd, Ali 2 Barrell, Ray 2 Barsky, Robert B. 2 Batchelor, Roy A. 2 Beckmann, Joscha 2 Belke, Ansgar 2 Chen, Wei-ling 2 Chua, Chew Lian 2 Croux, Christophe 2 Davis, E. P. 2 Dominitz, Jeff 2 Doms, Mark E. 2 Dreger, Christian 2 Dunn, Lucia F. 2 Easaw, Joshy Z. 2 Franses, Philip Hans 2 Gelper, Sarah 2 Ghonghadze, Jaba 2 Henry, S. G. B. 2 Hori, Masahiro 2 Ivanova, Detelina 2 Jansen, Willem Jos 2 Kaplan, Greg 2 Kawagoe, Masaaki 2
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Institutions
All
Barnard College / Economics Department 1 Centre for International Macroeconomics 1 EconWPA 1 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen 1 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 1 Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research 1 Sonderforschungsbereich Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse 1 Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden GmbH 1 University of Leicester / Department of Economics 1
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Published in...
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Grow East : Wachstumsstrategien in CEE ; von Beiersdorf bis Henkel, von Hipp bis Erste Bank 13 Working paper 8 Applied economics 7 Discussion papers 4 Journal of forecasting 4 Economic inquiry : journal of the Western Economic Association International 3 Journal of economic psychology : research in economic psychology and behavioral economics 3 Ruhr economic papers 3 Australian journal of management 2 Business cycles and economic growth : an analysis using leading indicators 2 Eastern economic journal 2 IAW-Diskussionspapiere 2 Indian economic review : biannual journal of the Delhi School of Economics, University of Delhi 2 International journal of forecasting 2 Journal of business cycle measurement and analysis : a joint publication of OECD and CIRET 2 Macroeconomic dynamics 2 Markt- und Absatzprognosen : Modelle, Methoden, Anwendung 2 Selected papers submitted to the 23rd Ciret Conference 1997 in Helsinki 2 Southern economic journal 2 Temi di discussione del Servizio Studi / Banca d'Italia 2 The American economic review 2 The Manchester School 2 The journal of economic perspectives : EP : a journal of the American Economic Association 2 Working papers 2 American journal of agricultural economics 1 Applied econometrics and international development 1 Applied economics quarterly 1 Brookings papers on economic activity : BPEA 1 Business and Economics Research Journal 1 Business review / Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia 1 CCSO working papers : working paper series of the CCSO Center for Economic Research 1 CESifo working papers 1 CIS discussion paper series 1 Croatian economic survey 1 DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 1 DNB working paper 1 Discussion paper 1 Discussion paper / Central Bureau voor de Statistiek 1 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 1 Discussion paper series / Economic and Social Research Institute 1
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Sources
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ECONIS (ZBW) 168 RePEc 6 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 1
Showing 1 - 50 of 175
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Identifying ambiguity shocks in business cycle models using survey data
Bhandari, Anmol; Borovička, Jaroslav; Ho, Paul - 2016
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Consumer Confidence Index and economic growth : an empirical analysis of EU countries
Ul Islam, Tanweer; Mumtaz, Muhammad Naeem - In: EuroEconomica 35 (2016) 2, pp. 17-22
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Replacing judgment by statistics : constructing consumer confidence indicators on the basis of data-driven techniques
Gayer, Christian; Girardi, Alessandro; Reuter, Andreas - 2016
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Consumer confidence and household spending : evidence from Brazil
Lopes, Thiago Henrique Carneiro Rios; Jesus, Cleiton … - In: The empirical economics letters : a monthly … 15 (2016) 12, pp. 1227-1233
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A novel aproach to measuring consumer confidence
Bruijn, Bert de; Segers, Rene; Franses, Philip Hans - 2015
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A mean-variance approach to forecasting with the consumer confidence index
Bruestle, Stephen; Crain, William Mark - In: Applied economics 47 (2015) 22/24, pp. 2430-2444
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La dynamique de la dette et du déficit publics en périodes de récession et d'expansion
Largent, Yannis Maël - In: Revue économique : revue bimestrielle 68 (2017) 4, pp. 571-594
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Intraday industry-specific spillover effect in European equity markets
Mateus, Cesario; Chinthalapati, Raju; Mateus, Irina … - In: The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal … 63 (2017), pp. 278-298
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Does Investor Sentiment Matter in Post-Communist East European Stock Markets?
Oprea, Dragos Stefan - In: International Journal of Academic Research in Business … 4 (2014) 8, pp. 356-366
This study examines the relation between the sentiment of noise traders and stock prices in ten Post-Communist East European stock markets: Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovak Republic and Slovenia over the period April 2004 to March 2014. The...
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Validation of the Merton Distance to the Default Model under Ambiguity
Chen, Wei-ling; So, Leh-chyan - In: Journal of Risk and Financial Management 7 (2014) 1, pp. 13-27
Bharath and Shumway (2008) provide evidence that shows that it is the functional form of Merton’s (1974) distance to default (DD) model that makes it useful and important for predicting defaults. In this paper, we investigate whether the default predictability of the Merton DD model would be...
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An Empirical Analysis of the Relations among Consumer Expenditures, Consumption Credits and Consumer Confidence in Turkish Economy
Arısoy, İbrahim; Aytun, Cengiz - In: Business and Economics Research Journal 5 (2014) 2, pp. 33-45
This paper investigates the relationship among consumer credits, interest rates, consumer confidence and consumption expenditures in Turkey by using the Toda-Yamamoto (1992) Granger-causality approach and regression analysis over the period 2005:1-2012:8. The empirical results based on the...
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Validation of the Merton distance to the default model under ambiguity
Chen, Wei-ling; So, Leh-chyan - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 7 (2014) 1, pp. 13-27
Bharath and Shumway (2008) provide evidence that shows that it is the functional form of Merton’s (1974) distance to default (DD) model that makes it useful and important for predicting defaults. In this paper, we investigate whether the default predictability of the Merton DD model would be...
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Economic news, sentiment, and behavior : how economic and business news affects the economy
Lischka, Juliane A. - 2016
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Shopping externalities and self-fulfilling unemployment fluctuations
Kaplan, Greg; Menzio, Guido - In: Journal of political economy 124 (2016) 3, pp. 771-825
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Consumer confidence and economic activity : a factor augmented VAR approach
Kilic, Erdem; Cankaya, S. - In: Applied economics 48 (2016) 31/33, pp. 3062-3080
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Investor Sentiment Proxies: An Example of Closed end Fund Discount and Consumer Confidence Index
KANDIR, Serkan Yilmaz; CERCI, Gozde; UZKARALAR, Onder - In: Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets 7 (2013) 2, pp. 55-75
Aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between two investor sentiment proxies, namely closed end fund discount and consumer confidence index. Monthly closed end fund discount and consumer confidence index data have been derived for the time period between 2005 and 2012. The...
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The consumer confidence index and short-term private consumption forecasting in Peru
Cuenca Pino, Leonidas; Flores Salvatierra, Julio; … - 2013
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A link between mergers and consumer confidence
Leong, Kelly M.; Leong, Kenneth; Zaima, Janis K. - In: International journal of financial services management … 6 (2013) 4, pp. 321-333
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Europa-Konsumbarometer
München - Nachgewiesen 7.2009; 2010 -2015
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Wie gut prognostizieren Loyalitätsindikatoren zukünftiges Kundenverhalten? : Ergebnisse einer Längsschnittstudie
Slodowy, Sven; Klemm, Heiko - In: Markt- und Absatzprognosen : Modelle, Methoden, Anwendung, (pp. 245-262). 2015
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Der GfK-Konsumklimaindex als Instrument zur Prognose der monatlichen privaten Konsumausgaben
Bürkl, Rolf - In: Markt- und Absatzprognosen : Modelle, Methoden, Anwendung, (pp. 171-184). 2015
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Bayesian variable selection for nowcasting economic time series
Scott, Steven L.; Varian, Hal R. - In: Economic analysis of the digital economy, (pp. 119-135). 2015
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Government economic policy, sentiments, and consumption
Mian, Atif; Sufi, Amir; Khoshkhou, Nasim - 2015
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Essays on forecasting and latent values
Bruijn, Lambert Pieter de - 2015
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Do Swedish consumer confidence indicators do what they are intended to do?
Assarsson, Bengt; Österholm, Pär - 2015
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Inflation expectations of Japanese households : micro evidence from a consumer confidence survey
Hori, Masahiro; Kawagoe, Masaaki - 2011
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Inflation expectations of Japanese households : micro evidence from a consumer confidence survey
Hori, Masahiro; Kawagoe, Masaaki - 2011
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Binary logistic regression analysis for the performance of Shanghai Composite Index
Wen, Lei; Hao, Qian - In: Journal of international business and economics : JIBE 14 (2014) 1, pp. 41-50
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Global integration of central and Eastern European financial markets : the role of economic sentiments
Belke, Ansgar; Beckmann, Joscha; Kühl, Michael - 2010
Das Papier untersucht die Rolle von wirtschaftlichen Stimmungen bei der Transformation der mittel- und osteuropäischen Länder, z.B. im Hinblick auf die Finanzmärkte, sowie den Zusammenhang zwischen globalen wirtschaftlichen Stimmungen, Einkommen und Aktienkursen. Das zentrale Ergebnis:...
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Boosting confidence : Is there a role for fiscal policy?
Konstantinou, Panagiotis T.; Tagkalakis, Athanasios - 2010
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Forecasting private consumption by consumer surveys
Dreger, Christian; Cholodilin, Konstantin A. - 2010
Survey-based indicators such as the consumer confidence are widely seen as leading indicators for economic activity, especially for the future path of private consumption. Although they receive high attention in the media, their forecasting power appears to be very limited. Therefore, this paper...
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A monthly consumption indicator for Germany based on internet search query data
Schmidt, Torsten; Vosen, Simeon - 2010
In this study we introduce a new monthly indicator for private consumption in Germany based on search query time series provided by Google Trends. The indicator is based on unobserved factors extracted from a set of consumption-related search categories of the Google Trends application Insights...
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Modeling the dynamics of EU economic sentiment indicators : an interaction-based approach
Ghonghadze, Jaba (contributor); Lux, Thomas (contributor) - 2009
This paper estimates a simple univariate model of expectation or opinion formation in continuous time adapting a 'canonical' stochastic model of collective opinion dynamics (Weidlich and Haag, 1983; Lux, 1995, 2007). This framework is applied to a selected data set on survey-based expectations from...
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A monthly workers labourmarket sentimentindicator : doing more with the Consumer Survey
Ruth, Floris van; Wekker, Roberto - 2009
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Information, animal spirits, and the meaning of innovations in consumer confidence
Barsky, Robert B.; Sims, Eric R. - 2009
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Google searches as a means of improving the nowcasts of key macroeconomic variables
Cholodilin, Konstantin A. (contributor);  … - 2009
The Google Insights data are a collection of recorded Internet searches for a huge number of the keywords, which are available since January 2004. These searches represent a kind of revealed perceptions of Internet users, which are a (possibly not entirely representative) sample of the general...
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Forecasting private consumption : survey-based indicators vs. Google trends
Schmidt, Torsten; Vosen, Simeon - 2009
In this study we introduce a new indicator for private consumption based on search query time series provided by Google Trends. The indicator is based on factors extracted from consumption-related search categories of the Google Trends application Insights for Search. The forecasting performance...
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Global integration of Central and Eastern European financial markets : the role of economic sentiments
Belke, Ansgar; Beckmann, Joscha; Kühl, Michael - 2009
This paper examines the importance of different economic sentiments, e.g. consumer moods, for the Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs) during the transition process. We first analyze the importance of economic confidence with respect to the CEEC's financial markets. Since the...
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Bayesian variable selection for nowcasting economic time series
Scott, Steven L.; Varian, Hal R. - 2013
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Predicting the directional change in consumer sentiment
Yao, Juan; Partington, Graham H.; Stevenson, Maxwell John - In: Australian journal of management 38 (2013) 1, pp. 67-80
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Essays on the impact of sentiment on real estate investments
Mathieu, Anna - 2013
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Shopping externalities and self-fulfilling unemployment fluctuations
Kaplan, Greg; Menzio, Guido - 2013
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Forecasting private consumption by consumer surveys
Dreger, Christian; Cholodilin, Konstantin A. - In: Journal of forecasting 32 (2013) 1, pp. 10-18
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Consumption, financial wealth and labor income in Korea
Lee, Jiho - In: Japan and the world economy : international journal of … 25/26 (2013), pp. 59-67
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Conclusions regarding cross-group differences in happiness depend on difficulty of reaching respondents
Heffetz, Ori; Rabin, Matthew - In: The American economic review 103 (2013) 7, pp. 3001-3021
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Can consumer confidence data predict real variables? : evidence from Croatia
Kuzmanovic, Marija; Sanfey, Peter - In: Croatian economic survey 15 (2013) 1, pp. 5-24
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Ķazaķstan Respublikasy ėkonomikasynyņ köņíl küj indeksín äzírleu
Rasulov, Ž. Š - In: Ėkonomika i statistika : ežekvartalʹnyj … (2013) 1, pp. 4-8
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Can consumer sentiment and its components forecast Australian GDP and consumption?
Chua, Chew Lian; Tsiaplias, Sarantis - 2008
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An exploration of the Japanese slowdown during the 1990s
Comin, Diego (contributor) - 2008
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Investor sentiment and stock returns : some international evidence
Schmeling, Maik (contributor) - 2008
We examine whether consumer confidence - as a proxy for individual investor sentiment - affects expected stock returns internationally in 18 industrialized countries. In line with recent evidence for the U.S., we find that sentiment negatively forecasts aggregate stock market returns on average...
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