This paper investigates tail-risk transmission and asymmetric dependence in commodity markets using an asymmetric fuzzy vine copula framework applied to gold, crude oil, natural gas, and silver from 1 January 2015 to 1 January 2025, extracted from Yahoo Finance. Bootstrap-based trapezoidal fuzzy...

The financial crisis of 2007-2008 highlighted the risks that liquidity spirals pose to financial stability. We introduce a novel method for studying liquidity spirals and use this method to identify spirals before stock prices plummet and funding markets lock up. We show that liquidity spirals...

During World War II, French Moroccan troops performed numerous acts of (sexual) violence against the Italian population, known in Italy as the Marocchinate. We demonstrate that these events led to contagion in prejudice: They triggered a pronounced shift to the far right following the recent...

Using who-to-whom data for the last quarter of 2024, I build networks of financial interconnections in the euro area countries. After representing them in chord diagrams, I consider centrality metrics and find that banks dominate, with four exceptions: Cyprus, Ireland, Luxembourg and Malta. In...

Regional financial integration in East Africa remains shallow, yet contagion risks persist due to market fragility and illiquidity. Using daily data from 2014 to 2025 from the Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE), Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange (DSE), Rwanda Stock Exchange (RSE), and Uganda...

The objective of this study is to explore the time-varying shock transmission mechanism between aggregated financial stress indices (FSIs) of developed economies (the U.S., the U.K., the European Union (EU) and Japan) and the emerging economy of China. We employ a novel Time-Varying Parameter...

Modern financial systems do not exist in isolation but form part of a complex global network of interconnected financial systems. This globalization of financial systems significantly increases the risk of contagion in financial markets, impacting asset prices and other important economic...

Systemic risk in banking systems arises from losses transmitted through networks of contractual exposures. Yet, most widely used measures rely on market-implied volatility and equity prices rather than structural balance sheet fragilities. This paper develops a flow network framework that models...

This paper examines the presence of a contagion effect between Chinese and G20 stock markets as well as its intensity over a recent period from 1st January 2013 to 7 April 2022. The empirical study is conducted using the time-varying copula approach. The obtained results show strong evidence of...

The evidence of financial globalization and the rapid and uniform contagion that it entails among the different international financial markets, have been exposed after the 2008 crisis outbreak, as well as the different chapters of financial stress that have been experienced since then, such as...

This study investigates contagion across oil markets in 22 countries during eight crisis episodes from 2007 to 2023 using linear, asymmetric, and extremal dependence tests alongside network analysis. The combination of these methods provides a comprehensive approach to understanding the...

In this paper, we explore the relationship between node nestedness contribution and network stability in financial networks. We rely on data from the Brazilian interbank market. For each bank in the network, we computed the individual nestedness contribution (INC), along with two measures of...

This paper proposes a new framework for measuring systemic financial risk, which combines the Diebold and Yilmaz spillover index model, complex network, and dimensionality reduction method. This framework simulates the process of risk contagion through network dynamics, accounting for the...

This paper uses a statistical test based on entropy theory to propose a new way to distinguish between interdependence, contagion, and the decoupling hypotheses in the context of shock transmission and spillover. Applying the proposed approach, the three hypotheses are examined when measuring...

We estimate network spillovers across East Asian equity markets based on data on index returns to locate markets where equity shocks arise and where they impact. Focussed upon the context of the 1997 East Asian market crisis, our analysis explains why some markets were affected more than others....

In the context of an ever-evolving global economy, ASEAN companies face dynamic systemic risk that reshapes their financial interrelationships. This study examines the transmission of these risks using advanced graph theory techniques, particularly the measurement of eigenvector centrality based...

Traditional exposure measures focus on direct exposures to evaluate the losses an institution is exposed to upon the default of a counterparty. Since the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2008, the importance of indirect exposures via common asset holdings is increasingly recognized. Yet direct...

The cryptocurrency market is very attractive for investors, but it has experienced several major crises in recent years due to its inadequacies with regard to transparency and auditing. The FTX cryptocurrency exchange's crash was one of the most crucial events for the cryptocurrency market....