We address the problem of regulating the size of banks' macroprudential capital buffers by using market-based estimates of systemic risk and by developing a modeling mechanism through which capital buffers can be allocated efficiently across systemic banks. First, a Distance-to-Default type...

The authors investigate whether the effects of stock buyback announcements on credit default swap (CDS) spread changes for US firms depend on macroeconomic conditions. The authors find that abnormal CDS spreads increase for small-sized firms announced to repurchase a higher share ratio during...

We study whether climate transition risk is reflected in the credit default swap (CDS) spreads of firms. Using information on the vulnerability of a firm's value to the transition to a low carbon economy, we construct a climate transition risk (CTR) factor, and document how this factor shifts...

This study investigates the tail dependence structures of sovereign credit default swaps (CDSs) and three global risk factors in BRICS countries using a copula approach, which is popular for capturing the “true” tail dependence based on the “distribution-adjusted” joint marginals. The...

Our goal in this paper is to examine the time-varying optimal hedging ratios for the Dow Jones Islamic and conventional emerging stock market indices, hedged with oil, gold, and the VSTOXX as well as four emerging-country sectoral CDS indices (raw materials, industry, health care, and...

We propose a credit portfolio approach for evaluating systemic risk and attributing it across institutions. We construct a model that can be estimated from high-frequency CDS data. This captures risks from privately held institutions and cooperative banks, extending approaches that rely on...

The CDS premium is considered to be an important criterion in the risk premiums of countries with emerging markets and it also provides important information about the credibility of these countries for investors. Decreasing the level of CDS for developing countries helps investors to work with...

We study the response of bond spreads to a liquidity supply shock in the credit default swap (CDS) market. Our identification strategy exploits the exogenous exit of a large dealer from the single-name CDS market as well as granular data on CDS transactions and bond portfolio holdings of German...

This paper investigates the impact of Covid-19 pandemic and monetary policy measures adopted by the European Central Bank (ECB) on the sovereign risk for the European Monetary Union (EMU) countries for the period between March-2020 and November-2020 using daily data. The impact of Covid-19 and...

Using Credit Default Swap spreads, we construct a forward-looking, market-implied carbon risk factor and show that carbon risk affects firms' credit spread. The effect is larger for European than North American firms and varies substantially across industries, suggesting the market recognises...

Considered among of the main causes of the 2007 financial crisis, the credit risk transfer activities deserve nowadays particular attention. This study discusses the continuous effectiveness of the credit risk transfer activities by investigating their effects on the bank risk, liquidity and...

A credit default swap (CDS) is a derivative financial instrument that provides insurance against credit risk. CDSs on subprime Asset Backed Securities (ABSs) paved the way for securitizers to hedge the credit risk of the underlying subprime loans during the onset of the Global Financial Crisis...

This paper empirically analyses whether post-global financial crisis regulatory reforms have created appropriate incentives to voluntarily centrally clear the over-the-counter (OTC) derivative contracts. We use confidential European trade repository data on single-name sovereign credit default...

The estimate of the probability of default plays a central role for any financial entity that wants to have an overview of the risks of insolvency it may incur by having economic relations with counterparties. This study aims to analyze the calculation of such measure in the context of...

Relying on a perspective borrowed from monetary policy announcements and introducing an econometric twist in the traditional event study analysis, we document the existence of an "event risk transfer", namely a significant credit risk transmission from the sovereign to the corporate sector after...

We examine how firms’ carbon risk management practices influence market assessment of their credit risk. Using two quasi-exogenous events involving the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement and the staggered implementation of US state climate adaptation plans, we find that stronger carbon risk...

We examine the effect of voluntary climate risk disclosure on Credit Default Swap (CDS) premiums. We develop a structural credit risk model, in which climate-related disclosures serve as an information source reducing uncertainty about climate risks. The model predicts a negative relation...

Recent studies suggested that financial markets correlations and volatilities change during crisis periods. This paper presents a practical framework to test the volatility of sovereign credit default market and sovereign bond market indexes during the sovereign crisis period. Furthermore, our...

As one of the most important financial innovations in the last two decades, credit default swap (CDS) contracts have been initiated and actively traded in the market to hedge against credit risks. However, little is known about how these financial innovations affect an underlying firm’s...

This paper examines the cross-section of CDS returns by forming CDS portfolios based on the implied volatility curves of equity options. We document that CDS protection seller positions earn higher average returns for: (i) firms with higher at-the-money implied volatility and (ii) firms with...

Collateral-based monetary policy tools have been used extensively by major central banks. Lack of proper policy counterfactuals, however, makes it difficult to empirically identify their causal effects on the financial market and the real economy. We exploit a quasi-natural experiment in China,...

We investigate default clusters and reveal credit risk contagion in a data set with over four million German auto loans. First, we show that default clusters cannot be attributed to loan-specific, borrower-specific, asset-specific and macroeconomic effects alone. In a second step, we model...

We study the response of bond spreads to a liquidity supply shock in the credit default swap (CDS) market. Our identification strategy exploits the exogenous exit of a large dealer from the single-name CDS market as well as granular data on CDS transactions and bond portfolio holdings of German...

We measure the systemic importance of all banks that issue publicly traded CDS contracts among the world’s biggest 150. Systemic importance is captured by the intensity of spillovers of daily CDS movements. Our new empirical tool uses Bayesian VAR to address the dimensionality problem and...

We use data on granular holdings of debt and Credit Default Swaps (CDS) referencing non-financial corporations across financial investors, to investigate how CDS reallocate credit risk and whether this increases investor-level riskiness. To guide our investigation, we propose a methodology to...

Manipulation of the co-catalyst plays an important role in charge separation and reactant activation to enhance the activity of CdS based photocatalysts. Transition-metal phosphides have aroused widespread interest in catalysis owing to their special structure and catalytic behavior. Herein,...

In this article we introduce a new framework for counterparty risk model backtesting based on Bayesian methods. This provides a conceptually sound approach for analyzing model performance which is also straightforward to implement. We show that our methodology provides important advantages over...

In this paper, we examine the effect of shareholder governance mechanisms on the firms' credit risk through credit default swap spreads. Our results suggest that higher antitakeover provisions decrease the price of debt. We find that on average, addition of one antitakeover provision lowers the...

Credit default swaps (CDS) are the most common type of credit derivative. This paper provides a brief history of the CDS market and discusses its main characteristics. After describing the basic mechanics of a CDS, I present a simple valuation framework that focuses on the relationship between...

We study the links between sovereign credit risk and the currency forward bias. In a setting of defaultable sovereign bonds, we show that the forward bias can be linked negatively to sovereign credit risk. We confirm empirically that the forward bias is negatively associated to sovereign CDS...