This paper presents a stochastic integrated model to forecast the German population and labour supply until 2060. Within a cohort-component approach, the population forecast applies principal components to birth, mortality, emigration and immigration rates. The labour force participation rates...

Economic policies rely on demographic projections. Yet in making these projections, researchers often ignore the aspect of household formation - despite sustained trends in many industrialized countries towards smaller household units with fewer members. Over the long term, this trend is likely...

Die Szenarien zur Bevölkerungsentwicklung der Schweiz 2015 -2045, die in dieser Publikation vorgestellt werden,bilden die siebte Serie von Bevölkerungsszenarien, die vom Bundesamt für Statistik berechnet wurden. Die Szenarien der Bevölkerung der Schweiz werden, wie in der vorangegangenen...

The latest long-term projection of Germany's population implies a clear trend: even though slight growth is expected over the next decade, a decline in the future is almost inevitable. Furthermore, an ageing society combined with a low fertility rate will lead to massive shrinkage of the...

This paper studies the effect of demographic transitions on the economy of Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). The paper builds a model of multi-regions of the world and derives the path of macroeconomic variables including aggregate output, capital, labor and the saving rate as economies...

Acknowledgments -- Lessons from demography -- Introduction -- "The wonderful, terrible, inscrutable economy" -- Historical change, economic behavior, and demographics -- The demographic portrait -- Generation X and the effects of population change -- What this portrait tells us -- Implications...

"North Carolina has been one of the nation's fastest growing states in the last fifty years, and during that time tremendous changes have come to the state's people, industries, jobs, places, environment, and government. Much of this change resulted from the information and technology...

According to recent UN projections more than 50 percent of the growth in world population over the next half century will be due to population growth in Africa. Given this, any policy that influences African demography will have a significant impact on the world distribution of income. In this...

Foreword -- Introductory considerations -- The earth as a privileged planet -- Mathematical descriptions of population trends -- World population growth: 1900-2010: the un data -- World economic expansion: 1945-1990 -- Energy, population and the environment -- Is the earth overpopulated? --...

Irgendwann wird Deutschland entvölkert sein. Nur in den Großstädten werden noch junge Menschen leben - alle mit Zuwanderungsgeschichte. Greise irren durch verwaiste Dörfer auf der Suche nach blühenden Landschaften. Das ist- überspitzt-das Untergangsszenario, das Medien und Meinungsmacher...