This paper investigates the causal effect of the term length of political executives on economic policy outcomes. To establish causality, we exploit the staggered adoption of four-year terms for governors across US states, using data for the period 1937-2008. We find that increasing governors'...

The price of institutional long-term care is a key determinant of the demand for both formal and informal long-term care. In this paper, we examine how the regional unemployment rate as a proxy for macroeconomic conditions influences these prices. Our analysis draws on administrative data that...

A prominent explanation for the motherhood wage penalty is human capital loss during career interruptions around childbirth. This study provides first direct evidence on this mechanism by examining whether longer parenting leave reduces mothers' work-relevant skills. Using a newly constructed...

This study aims to improve the accuracy of transportation delay prediction in supply chains by developing a machine learning-based model. The proposed approach addresses the challenges of parameter tuning and feature selection by integrating the Firefly Algorithm with decision tree regression,...

We study the effect of prison sentences on recidivism using a unique feature of sentencing for drunk driving in the Swedish court system. Below the blood alcohol concentration (BAC) of 1.0‰, individuals are never sentenced to prison and above 1.0‰, the average number of days sentenced to...

While extensive research on unemployment insurance (UI) has examined how benefits affect workers' job search, little is known about how eligibility conditions shape firms' hiring decisions. These conditions, often requiring a minimum work history, affect the value workers place on contracts...

Im Auftrag des SECO haben wir die Beschwerdeverfahren in Kartellsachen vor dem Bundesverwaltungsgericht (BVGer) umfassend analysiert - erstmals unter Einsatz künstlicher Intelligenz. Unsere Auswertung aller seit 2013 publizierten Urteile zeigt: Die Verfahren dauern im Schnitt über fünf Jahre,...

Using daily retail prices gathered through web scraping in Mexico, we analyse time- and state-dependent price setting rules as determinants of the duration of price spells, or the probability of price changes. Through the lens of a duration model, we find some evidence of state-dependent...

Survival analysis is a popular research tool in medicine and demography. It has been used for many years to study the duration of socio-economic phenomena. The aim of this article is to evaluate the relationship between the coefficients of the proportional hazards model (PH) and the accelerated...

We exploit policy discontinuities in Poland’s unemployment insurance to examine the causal effect of changes to both benefit durations and levels. Using a regression discontinuity approach, we uncover three findings: (1) Higher benefit levels distort employment more than benefit extensions....

We quantify micro and macro effects of changes in the potential benefit duration (PBD) in unemployment insurance. In Poland, the PBD is 12 months for the newly unemployed if the previous year's county unemployment rate is more than 150% of the national average, and 6 months otherwise. We exploit...

How do firms adjust their labor demand when a female employee takes temporary leave after childbirth? Using Austrian administrative data, we compare firms with and without a birth event and exploit policy reforms that significantly altered leave durations. We find that (i) firms adjust hiring,...

The job finding rate declines with the duration of unemployment, but the relative importance of workers' search behavior and employers' recruitment behavior remains unclear. We use monthly search diaries from Swiss public employment offices to shed new light on this issue. Search diaries record...

How do firms adjust their labor demand when a female employee takes temporary leave after childbirth? Using Austrian administrative data, we compare firms with and without a birth event and exploit policy reforms that significantly altered leave durations. We find that (i) firms adjust hiring,...

Introduction The annual increase in emergency department (ED) visits in Taiwan has led to overcrowding in major hospitals and extended patient stays in the ED. International studies suggest that prolonged ED stays may influence healthcare costs and clinical outcomes for hospitalized patients....

This article introduces new counterfactual standardization techniques for comparing duration distributions subject to random censoring through counterfactual decompositions. The counterfactual distribution of one population relative to another is computed after estimating the conditional...

This paper provides a structural analysis of the role of job vacancy referrals (VRs) by public employment agencies in the job search behavior of unemployed individuals, incorporating institutional features of the monitoring of search behavior by the agencies. Notably, rejections of VRs may lead...

The common intuition is that unemployment duration is shorter for workers with higher education. However, there is no theoretical support for this intuition, and empirically, there is no systematic review of the findings to date. We conducted a literature review of empirical articles that report...

Spikes in exits at unemployment insurance (UI) benefit exhaustion into other benefit schemes such as sickness insurance (SI) are well-documented. These spikes could be driven by relatively healthy workers maximizing their total duration of benefit receipt, or workers in ill health who remain on...

It is well known that German and Spanish labour markets are quite different from a macro point of view. In this paper, we look at these markets through the lenses of individual unstable spells. These include all forms of atypical employment (such as temporary contracts and mini-jobs) as well as...

We utilize micro-level data on corporate liquidation bankruptcies in Slovenia to conduct the first systematic quantitative investigation of the impact of creditors' committees (CCs) on liquidation bankruptcy outcomes. Slovenian law permits, but does not mandate, the establishment of a CC in...

We examine whether the effects of the introduction of a minimum wage on low-pay employment duration in Germany in 2015 are heterogeneous by gender. In order to disentangle the effects on women and men, we estimate a duration model with unobserved heterogeneity in which we allow gender...