Search Results - subject_exact:"Election"

Fifty-four thousand deaths, zero electoral impact

Demirdogen, Alper; Olhan, Emine - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015592609

The causal effects of Trump's reelection on business expectations of German firms

Dovern, Jonas; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2025

This paper studies the causal effects of the 2024 US presidential election on business expectations of German manufacturing firms. It exploits the variation in the timing of survey responses to identify shifts in expectations around the election. The probability of reporting negative...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015549810

Using big data to study small places : small-town voting patterns in the 2020 U.S. presidential election

Mapes, Jennifer - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014543947

Bangladesh's political realignment after the parliamentary elections : hope for stability, concerns about democratic pluralism

Scholz, Tobias; Wigger, Leo - 2026

The parliamentary elections held in Bangladesh on 12 February 2026 marked a turning point in the country’s recent history. In August 2024, Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who had served for a total of 20 years, with one interruption, was removed from office. An interim government led by Nobel...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618375

Elections and political polarisation : challenges for environmental agreements

Spycher, Sarah - 2026 - This version: May 2026

This paper examines how domestic elections and political polarisation shape international environmental agreements. Using a four-stage game to model a bilateral treaty, I analyse how incumbents strategically balance policy preferences with re-election prospects. Results reveal asymmetric...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654870

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Elections and political polarisation : challenges for environmental agreements

Spycher, Sarah - 2024 - This version: November 2024

Edition: This version: November 2024

Book / Working Paper

Electing the pope : elections by repeated ballots

Ponsatí, Clara; Zápal, Jan - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015610399

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Electing the pope : elections by repeated ballots

Ponsatí, Clara; Zápal, Jan - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Populism in the Italian municipal elections : the M5S experience

Bordignon, Massimo; Colussii, Tommaso - 2026

This paper reviews a growing body of theoretical and empirical research on Italian populism through a detailed examination of the Five Star Movement (Movimento 5 Stelle, M5S), focusing on its experience in municipal elections. Using a wide range of administrative and survey data, as well as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015614864

Political stressors and birth outcomes : evidence from the 2016 U.S. presidential election

Golberstein, Ezra; Guth, Daniel; Slusky, David - 2026

We study political shocks as potential birth outcomes stressors, specifically the unexpected result of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. We investigate this two-sided shock using an innovative data linkage: Colorado voter registrations and birth certificates, matched by sex, birth year, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615413

Exploring political budget cycles in the EU-27

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Leal, Frederico Silva - 2026

Using quarterly data for the period Q1:2000–Q4:2024, the study examines whether elections in EU‑27 member states shape the composition and timing of fiscal policy strategies, and how political, fiscal and institutional constraints condition these dynamics. Employing a two‑way...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015593132

Reclaiming Iraqi agency : post-election dynamics and challenges

Azizi, Hamidreza; Werenfels, Isabelle - 2026

The higher turnout in Iraq’s recent parliamentary elections reflects advances over the past four years, notably in infrastructure development, security, and political stability. The election’s outcome and ensuing coalition-building dynamics underscore trends and challenges that will shape...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015585403

Social media vs. democracy : evidence from the January 6th insurrection

Mueller, Karsten; Schwarz, Carlo; Shen, Zekai - 2026

Social media platforms are often credited with empowering grassroots movements in the pursuit of political freedoms. In this paper, we show how social media can also be exploited by political elites to undermine democratic institutions, using the January 6th, 2021 Capitol insurrection as a case...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015603832

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Social media vs. democracy : evidence from the january 6th insurrection

Mueller, Karsten; Schwarz, Carlo; Shen, Zekai - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Social media vs. democracy : evidence from the january 6th insurrection

Mueller, Karsten; Schwarz, Carlo; Shen, Zekai - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Sham elections amid the war in Myanmar : prospects for national stability and international cooperation

Heiduk, Felix - 2026

Five years after the bloody military coup and amid a civil war, elections have taken place in Myanmar. They were neither free nor fair, nor was any attempt made to keep up an appearance of even minimum democratic standards. From the outset, the main purpose of the elections was not political...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015607351

Votes for work? : job patronage and electoral mobilization in Albania

Uberti, Luca J.; Imami, Drini; Mendola, Mariapia - 2026

We study the impact of an election campaign on the labor market outcomes of incumbent party supporters. Using unique data on voters' political preferences during a pre-election period in Albania and a DiD design that compares the evolution of outcomes among close neighbours, we show that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625041

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Votes for work? : job patronage and electoral mobilization in Albania

Uberti, Luca J.; Imami, Drini; Mendola, Mariapia - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Candidate exit and voter loyalty during early democratization

Dewan, Torun A.; Kam, Christopher; Meriläinen, Jaakko; … - 2026

Hirschman's Exit, Voice, and Loyalty (1970) proposed that organizations persist when loyalty tempers incentives to exit after adverse shocks. We test this argument using newly digitized individual-level voting records from 28 English constituencies (1832-1868), covering 134,000 real votes....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625472

Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026 - This Version: March 17, 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015639675

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Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Do elections moderate or polarize political rhetoric?

Boeri, Tito; Nikiforova, Nina; Tabellini, Guido Enrico - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Voter Switching and Policy Preferences: Evidence from Japan's 2025-2026 elections

Yamamura, Eiji; Todō, Yasuyuki - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015644890

The strategic use of microtargeting : the case of the German Federal Elections of 2025

Repp, Stefan - 2026

Political microtargeting (PMT) is often associated with data-intensive voter profiling and the Cambridge Analytica scandal. This paper argues that such a framing is increasingly outdated, particularly in tightly regulated contexts. Drawing on expert interviews, social media content analysis and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652099

Ökonomische Folgen autoritären Regierens am Beispiel Ungarn : zur Parlamentswahl 2026 : ungarische Standortentwicklung im regionalen Vergleich

Radunz, Alexander - 2026 - Stand: April 2026

Viktor Orbáns FIDESZ hat nach 16 Regierungsjahren zum ersten Mal eine Wahlniederlage eingefahren. Vor allem wirtschaftliche Probleme als Folge eines autoritären und interventionistischen Regierungsstils haben den Ausschlag zum rasanten Aufstieg und Erdrutschsieg einer oppositionellen...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632042

Goodbye, Montesquieu : executive spillovers in judicial elections

Fontana, Nicola; Nannicini, Tommaso; Snyder, James M. Jr. - 2026

We study whether the partisan affiliation of U.S. state governors affects the outcome of partisan judicial elections. Exploiting close gubernatorial races from 1946 to 2023, we find that electing a Democratic (Republican) governor significantly increases the subsequent vote share of Democratic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632214

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Goodbye, montesquieu : executive spillovers in judicial elections

Fontana, Nicola; Nannicini, Tommaso; Snyder, James M. - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Anchoring inflation expectations : a teaching treatment and its persistence through the 2025 German federal election

Gockel, Christine; Strohsal, Till - 2026

We study how inflation expectations can be anchored through different forms of communication and whether such anchoring survives political change. Using a two-wave panel RCT around the 2025 German federal election, we show that providing the ECB's target and projections lowers expectations by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015635198

Mobility-based gerrymandering : theory and evidence

Mongrain, Steeve; Revelli, Federico; Van Ypersele, Tanguy; … - 2026

This paper models theoretically and tests empirically the hypothesis that the decision about the location of a public bad within a multi-tiered structure of government (a facility providing benefits throughout the federation but inflicting damage to the region hosting it) can be driven by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015635462

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Mobility-based gerrymandering : theory and evidence

Mongrain, Steeve; Revelli, Federico; Van Ypersele, Tanguy; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Candidate vote prediction in open-list systems : forecasting the results of the 2023 Finnish parliamentary election

Vepsäläinen, Tapio - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668681

Do elections reduce partisan misperceptions? : evidence from a democratic transition in Bangladesh

Takashi, Ryo; Higashida, Keisaku; Higuchi, Yuki; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668517

Forecasting electoral violence

Leis, Maxine Ria; Gåsste, Tim; Fjelde, Hanne; Hegre, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668320

The global incumbency advantage

Descamps, Raphaël; Marx, Benjamin M.; Pons, Vincent; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665384

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The global incumbency advantage

Descamps, Raphael; Marx, Benjamin M.; Pons, Vincent; … - 2026

Book / Working Paper

The political legacy of displacement : evidence from the Spanish republican exile

Aranzana, Cristina; Paluskiewicz, Luc - 2026 - Version April 8th, 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665428

Citizen forecasting in a mixed electoral system : the 2021 German federal election as a test case

Leininger, Arndt; Murr, Andreas E.; Stötzer, Lukas Frederik - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668063

From votes to megawatts : policy outcomes of local elections

Bierl, Konrad; Eisenack, Klaus; Dulong, Angelika von; … - 2026

Do democratic elections affect policy outcomes, and how do these effects evolve over time? Existing evidence is mixed, focusing on federal elections in twoparty systems using RDDs. We study municipal elections in Germany's multiparty system, examining how electoral support for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665363

Local political uncertainty and branch banking : evidence from deposit rate setting

Cotter, John; Gam, Yong Kyu; Hu, Yi - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015665666

The impact of disinformation generated by AI on democracy case studies : the US presidential elections in 2016 & 2024

Ibrahim, Nourhan Tosson; Attia, Nada Adel - 2026

The paper studies the impact of disinformation generated by AI on democracy and it takes the US presidential elections in 2016 and 2024 as case studies.The paper depended on analyzing three concepts in order to formulate a theoretical framework, which are "Democracy", "Artificial Intelligence"...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015655434

Electoral democracy, corruption, and tax evasion

Merkaj, Elvina; Imami, Drini - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671348

Electoral corruption cycles : separating perceptions and experiences across households and experts

Crombach, Lamar - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671003

Re-election incentives and the adoption of early childhood development programmes : the case of the "Happy Child" Programme in Brazil

Tebaldi, Raquel; Gassmann, Franziska; Martorano, Bruno - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671012

Reprint of : political budget cycles in federal systems : the case of India

Das, Sourav; Hufschmidt, Patrick; Mankat, Fabian; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671017

Political budget cycles in federal systems : the case of India

Das, Sourav; Hufschmidt, Patrick; Mankat, Fabian; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015671577

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Political budget cycles in federal systems : the case of India

Das, Sourav; Hufschmidt, Patrick; Mankat, Fabian; … - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Partisan abortions

González, Libertad; Guirola, Luis; Zapater, Blanca - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015674989

Personality traits and cognitive ability in political selection

Jokela, Markus; Meriläinen, Jaakko; Tukiainen, Janne; … - 2023 - February 2023 (first version July 2022, second version August 2022)

We present the first comprehensive evidence on the role of cognitive ability and personality traits in the selection of electoral candidates and election of politicians. Using unique data that combine population registers and election statistics from local government elections in Finland with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10013280142

Elections, economic development and debt servicing in Africa

Quaicoe, Serebour - 2023

Despite the growing public debate on fiscal surprise during election periods in jurisdictions where the democratic dispensation is young, comprehensive empirical works to this effect in the case of Africa are hard to find. This study, therefore, sought to contribute to the debate on two counts....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014500527

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Elections, economic development and debt servicing in Africa

Quaicoe, Serebour - 2023

Article

The electric telegraph, news coverage, and political participation

Wang, Tianyi - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015453427

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The Electric Telegraph, News Coverage and Political Participation

Wang, Tianyi - 2023

Book / Working Paper

The electric telegraph, news coverage and political participation

Wang, Tianyi - 2023

Book / Working Paper

The Electric Telegraph, News Coverage and Political Participation

Wang, Tianyi - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Do elections make you sick? : evidence from first-time voters

Chang, Hung-hao; Meyerhoefer, Chad D. - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014278029

The political consequences of vaccines: quasi-experimental evidence from eligibility rules

Depetris-Chauvin, Emilio; González, Felipe - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014313657

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The political consequences of vaccines : quasi-experimental evidence from eligibility rules

Depetris-Chauvin, Emilio; González, Felipe - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Unveiling or concealing aspirations : how candidate gender influences voter response to political ambition

Endo, Yuya; Ono, Yoshikuni - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014429939

The Causal Effects of Trump's Reelection on Business Expectations of German Firms

Dovern, Jonas; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015562730

Information revelation in constant-sum games : elections and beyond

Kartik, Navin; Squintani, Francesco; Tinn, Katrin - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015616756

Public debt levels and real interest rates : causal evidence from parliamentary elections

Ehrlich, Gabriel; Kay, Owen; Thapar, Aditi - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015546349

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Public Debt Levels and Real Interest Rates : Causal Evidence from Parliamentary Elections

Ehrlich, Gabriel - 2020

Book / Working Paper

Administrative failure, state capacity, and democratic exclusion : evidence from Berlin's 2021 election breakdown

Kröper, Marius - 2025

This paper studies the long-run effects of non-strategic administrative failures on voter participation. I exploit a natural experiment from Berlin’s 2021 elections, in which hundreds of precincts experienced ballot shortages, multi-hour queues, and unlawful polling closures. Using...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015547467

Efficiency of poll-based multi-period forecasting systems for German state elections

Fritsch, Markus; Haupt, Harry; Schnurbus, Joachim - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015440636

Polarization and exposure to cross-partisan media in an electoral autocracy

Bowles, Jeremy; Larreguy, Horacio; Liu, Shelley; … - 2025

Political polarization is an increasing global concern. Although recent research suggests that media exposure can mitigate polarization through persuasion, it is unclear whether polarized individuals are willing to engage with diverse news sources, especially in electoral autocracies where...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015548894

Political cycles of media repression

Schulze, Günther G.; Zakharov, Nikita - 2025

In this paper, we unveil targeted repression against journalists as an elaborate strategy used by modern autocrats to mitigate the risk of mass protests during autocratic elections-a common threat to their rule. Repression is deployed to discipline the media before elections to secure favorable...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015211482

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Political cycles of media repression

Schulze, Günther G.; Zakharov, Nikita - 2025

Book / Working Paper

Political cycles of media repression

Schulze, Günther G.; Zakharov, Nikita - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Drought declarations and voting outcomes : evidence from Tunisia

Hashish, Nourhan - 2025

Using a novel dataset in a difference-in-differences framework, I study the political implications of the change in policies protecting drought-impacted communities in Tunisia in 3088 districts. In 2016, the Tunisian government had drastically reduced support to farmers affected by droughts. I...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015372550