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Unveiling the forces shaping natural gas demand in the European Union

Obadi, Saleh Mothana; Korček, Matej - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015617023

Biomethane in Europe : why scaling up is harder than it looks

Olczak, Maria - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015618108

The dynamic relationship between natural gas and commodity prices through the Russian-Ukrainian crisis framework

Amamou, Souhir Amri; Bargaoui, Saoussen Aguir; Ifa, Adel - 2026

This paper aims to investigate the sensitivity of the gas market: Russian Natural Gas and Liquefied Gas, to other commodity categories. It sheds light on the Russian-Ukrainian crisis by using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag model on daily prices of Russian Natural Gas, Liquefied Natural Gas,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015603758

Estimation of the price of natural gas in Mexico using a decision tree model

García-Pérez, Luis Enrique; Venegas-Martínez, Francisco - 2026

Mexico liberalized natural gas prices in 2017 by establishing the National Wholesale Natural Gas Price Index (IPGN). This institutional change created observable conditions where prices could deviate from efficiency. We classified these deviations into three regimes: stability, overestimation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015603946

Energy market connectedness : a tale of two crises

Charteris, Ailie; Obojska, Lidia; Szczygielski, Jan Jakub; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620604

Speculation or fundamentals? : European natural gas price swings post 2020

Citera, Emanuele; Dolar, Veronika - 2026

We investigate the role of speculation in the European natural gas market over the period 2020- 2024, a period marked by extreme price volatility driven by the energy crisis following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Replicating the framework of Knittel and Pindyck (2016), we disentangle the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015625473

Gas market shocks : tracing the effect on euro area inflation expectations

Adolfsen, Jakob Feveile; Lappe, Marie-Sophie; Manu, … - 2026

This paper examines the impact of natural gas market shocks on gas market dynamics, inflation expectations and realized inflation in the Euro Area using a BVAR model. Our contribution lies in a novel identification strategy that distinguishes between various types of shocks of unprecedented...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015641394

Flaring from oil and gas upstream operations : is it a lost cause?

Stern, Jonathan P. - 2026

In 2024, globally flared gas volumes rose to the highest level since 2007, while associated gas flared per barrel of oil produced remained largely unchanged for the previous fifteen years. This was, to say the least, very disappointing given that every publication on flaring for the past two...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015643990

Are gas turbines "bankable" in transitioning energy-only markets?

Simshauser, Paul - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651485

Will hydrogen prolong the price coupling between gas and electricity?

Densing, Martin; Wan, Yi; Panos, Evangelos; Kober, Tom; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015632643

The EU's CBAM trinity in LNG supply : modeling global trade flows, supply risks and upstream emissions

Zwickl-Bernhard, Sebastian; Creti, Anna; Neumann, Anne - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015635019

Co-movement between stock markets, energy markets and geopolitical risk : evidence from the Russo-Ukrainian conflict period

Hassene, Ben Mbarek; Ben Mbarek, Kais - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015664269

Das Dilemma der Speicherverpflichtung im Gasmarkt: Ursachen und Optionen für ein optimiertes Marktdesign

Ockenfels, Axel; Bothe, David; Janssen, Matthias - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015395883

Das Dilemma der Speicherverpflichtung im Gasmarkt: Optimiertes Marktdesign erforderlich

Ockenfels, Axel; Bothe, David; Janssen, Matthias - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015415443

Natural gas prices, inflation expectations, and the pass-through to euro area inflation

Boeck, Maximilian; Zörner, Thomas - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015546997

Natural gas downstream market in India : an overview

Alok Aditya; Krishna Raj - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015619052

The European gas market : emancipating from Russia

Astrov, Vasily; Hanzl-Weiss, Doris - 2025

Despite the formal absence of sanctions, gas trade between Russia and the EU has effectively collapsed over the past three and a half years. This has been the outcome of several factors: the EU strategy of reducing dependence on Russian gas, Russia's own supply cuts, physical damage to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015333308

Analyzing risk factors in ship-to-ship liquefied natural gas bunkering operations

Choi, Young-Seo; Listan Bernal, Maria; Krivoshapkina, … - 2025

This study evaluates the risk factors during ship-to-ship liquefied natural gas bunkering in South Korea using the consistent fuzzy preference relations method. The study showed that the detailed factor "The operator's inability to recognize the operational condition, system status, or measuring...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015357859

OIES paper

2025

Geopolitics is an overarching characteristic of much of this outlook for the key themes in the global energy economy in 2025. The start of Donald Trump’s second term in the White House will herald new pressures to multiple layers of the global economy, from trade to labour, monetary policy to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015193834

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OIES paper

2024

Book / Working Paper

Das Dilemma der Speicherverpflichtung im Gasmarkt : Ursachen und Optionen für ein optimiertes Marktdesign

Ockenfels, Axel; Bothe, David; Janssen, Matthias - 2025

Gasspeicher sind ein zentraler Baustein für eine sichere Energieversorgung und damit für eine funktionierende Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft. Derzeit bietet der Markt jedoch kaum Anreize, die Gasspeicher zu nutzen oder in deren Erhalt zu investieren. Im Gegenteil: Seit November letzten Jahres...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015326720

Forecasting the LNG manufacturing price index from a supply and demand perspective : the case of Peoples Republic of China

Pan, Kai; Xie, Xiang; Zhang, Tian; Sun, Renjin; Li, Huihui - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015468109

Analysis of the European LNG market developments : 2025 monitoring report

2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015470615

UK gas : demand volatility requires supply flexibility

Sharples, Jack - 2025

Natural gas is a crucial element of energy supply in Great Britain (GB). The vast majority of GB gas consumption occurs in three main sectors: industry, Local Distribution Zone (residential, commercial, and services), and power generation. While there are strong seasonal patterns of demand...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015472525

The global outlook for gas demand in a $ 6 world

Fulwood, Mike; Honoré, Anouk; Meidan, Michal; Bakshi, Parul - 2025

The long-expected wave of LNG supply is now almost upon us, and is expected to outstrip the rise in demand for LNG. Spot prices, in European and Asian markets, may respond to the overhang of supply by moving to more short-run pricing – as was seen in 2019 and 2020 – and, as a result, prices...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015472529

A complementary perspective on legitimation in regional development : the crisis of acceptance of liquefied natural gas (LNG) on the touristic island of Rügen

Buika, Ihar; Schiller, Daniel - 2025

As the substance of public interest in spatial planning and development remains permanently challenged, the relationship between legitimacy and acceptance is constantly in the focus of discussion. After the wave of interest in participation-intensive communicative legitimation approaches from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015453879

The pass-through to inflation of gas price shocks

López Rubio, Lucía; Odendahl, Florens; Párraga … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015407053

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The pass-through to inflation of gas price shocks

López Rubio, Lucía; Odendahl, Florens; Párraga … - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Understanding gas price shocks : elasticities, volatilities, and macroeconomic transmission

Colombo, Daniele; Toni, Francesco - 2025

We identify supply and demand shocks to the real price of natural gas in the Euro Area and the United States. Demand shocks are identified using exogenous temperature variations, while supply shocks are identified through a high-frequency strategy based on an extensive collection of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015408158

Key developments in European electricity and gas markets : 2025 monitoring report

2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015409952

European traded gas hubs : TTF now a global gas benchmark

Heather, Patrick - 2025

This Paper analyses the results of the trading data in 2024 for the European traded gas hubs, to give a fuller picture of the recovery after the very turbulent period from 2020 to 2022, where the various hubs now stand and, more importantly, to establish whether the Dutch TTF can now credibly be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015410670

GAS or GARCH : a comparison of density and VaR forecasts in Turkish FX and stock markets

Özgül, Ali - 2025

This paper compares the renowned GARCH model with a novel one, the Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) model in terms of forecasting performance. Considering the gap in the literature, this study focuses on the Turkish stock and FX markets. The analysis covers 25 years (1999-2023), of which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015411633

Is Russian gas still needed in the European Union? : Model-based analysis of long-term scenarios

Barner, Lukas; Holz, Franziska; Hirschhausen, Christian … - 2025

Aligned with the war in Ukraine, Russia has significantly withheld natural gas exports to Europe since 2021. As there are no EU-wide sanctions on imports of Russian natural gas, the Ukraine transit as well as imports via Turkey and LNG have remained active during 2022-24. However, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015435558

Linking futures and options pricing in the natural gas market

Rotondi, Francesco - 2025

A robust model for natural gas prices should simultaneously capture the observed prices of both futures and options. While incorporating a seasonal factor in the convenience yield of the spot price effectively replicates forward curves, it proves insufficient for accurately modelling the options...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015436556

A novel stochastic copula model for the Texas energy market

Warunasinghe, Sudeesha; Sviščuk, Anatolij - 2025

The simulation of wind power, electricity load, and natural gas prices will allow commodity traders to see the future movement of prices in a more probabilistic manner. The ability to observe possible paths for wind power, electricity load, and natural gas prices enables traders to obtain...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015436710

Forecasting of natural gas based on a novel discrete grey seasonal prediction model with a time power term

Zhang, Jun; Shen, Chaofeng; Qin, Yanping; Chen, Jingyi - 2025

To effectively manage natural gas dispatchability, the energy industry needs to precisely analyze the seasonal trends of natural gas production and consumption. However, most predictive models demand data pretreatment and are labor-intensive. To address this, a novel seasonal discrete grey...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015437371

Are European and U.S. natural gas futures markets integrated? : insights from network-connectedness and cross-herding analysis

Amar, Amine Ben; Lmasrar, Boutaina; Bouattour, Mondher - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015437952

Environmental and health costs of Europeʼs shift from gas to coal amidst the energy crisis

Liebensteiner, Mario; Kimani, Alex Mburu - 2025

The gas price explosion during the 2021/22 European energy crisis prompted a shift from gas- to coal-fired electricity production. Empirical evidence on the environmental and health consequences of such a fuel-price shock - as opposed to policy reforms - is scarce. We fill this gap by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015438592

Global Natural gas market integration : the role of LNG trade and infrastructure constraints

Farag, Markos; Jeddi, Samir; Kopp, Jan Hendrik - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015438844

Market surveillance : small receptacles (cylinders) containing gas (gas cartridges) : final report : JACOP 2024

2025

This activity focused on metallic non-refillable gas cartridges for LPG (UN No. 2037) (gas cartridges) included in Directive 2010/35/EU on transportable pressure equipment (TPED). Gas cartridges were identified by the MSAs as a priority for a targeted compliance and safety investigation. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015440156

European natural gas through the 2020s : the decade of extremes, contradictions and continuing uncertainties

Melekh, Yaroslav; Dixon, James; Salmon, Katrina; Grubb, … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015405277

Canadian oil and gas production in the global clean energy transition : outlook and economic risks : technical report for Environmental Defence Canada and the International Institute for Sustainable Development

Muttitt, Greg - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015459293

A system dynamics approach for sustainability in the natural gas energy market

Ivgin, Mehmet; Demirel, Tufan - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015426644

Welche Auswirkungen hat leistbare Energie auf den Standort Oberösterreich : Endbericht

Berger, Johannes; Köppl-Turyna, Monika; Strohner, Ludwig - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015492718

Gas pipeline business : market power, sabotage, and sanctions

Konrad, Kai A.; Thum, Marcel - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015608980

Does natural gas matter for financial stability? : a SVAR-X analysis on the European financial system and financial intermediaries

Marzioni, Stefano; Murè, Pina; Paccione, Cosimo; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015592569

European gas market structure

Hudak, Milan - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015596267

Do price signals matter? : insights from households’ natural gas consumption in Iran

Jafari, Mohammad Mahdi; Haddad, GholamReza Keshavarz - 2025

This study investigates the price elasticity of residential natural gas demand in Iran, using a sample form nationwide database of administrative household billing records from 2013 to 2023. Our work contributes to the literature by analyzing household-level natural gas demand during Iran's...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015596658

Designing effective hydrogen Markets : policy recommendations from electricity and gas market reform

Hasan, Shahid; Fuentes, Rolando - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015552951

Macroeconomic and sectoral effects of natural gas price : policy insights from a macroeconometric model

Hasanov, Fakhri J.; Javid, Muhammad; Mikayilov, Jeyhun I.; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015555011

Geopolitical risk and uncertainty in energy markets : evidence from wavelet-based methods

Crescenzo, Ivan De; Mastroeni, Loretta; Quaresima, Greta; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015555550

Geopolitics and Europe's natural gas supply : aspects and consequences from a gas and electricity markets perspective

Heuck, Lukas; Kreysel, Mark-Alexander; Schiffer, … - 2025

The Russian invasion of Ukraine led to extreme disruptions on the international energy markets. Europe, the world's largest importing region for oil, natural gas and hard coal, was particularly affected. The loss of major supply routes for Russian natural gas created a bottleneck situation and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015557928