In the cointegrated vector autoregression (CVAR) literature, deterministic terms have until now been analyzed on a case-by-case, or as-needed basis. We give a comprehensive unified treatment of deterministic terms in the additive model X_{t}= gamma Z_{t}+Y_{t}, where Z_{t} belongs to a large...

In dieser Arbeit wird eine algorithmische Anlagestrategie untersucht, die auf paarweise kointegrierten Assets basiert. Das Kernstück solcher Strategien bildet das Auffinden von handelbaren Linearkombinationen aus mindestens zwei Assets. Ein intuitiver Ansatz, um solche Linearkombinationen...

This paper proposes new, simple, and more accurate statistical tests in a cointegrated system that allows for endogenous regressors and serially dependent errors. The approach involves first transforming the time series using some orthonormal basis functions in L2[0,1], which has energy...

This paper studies the importance of price and cost competitiveness for intra- and extra-euro area trade flows of euro area countries. A standard error correction framework shows that price competitiveness is a relatively more important driver of trade flows outside the euro area as compared to...

This paper investigates the existence of long-run relationship between exports and imports in Qatar’s economy using Johansen cointegration approach. Qatar is a small open economy that depends on the outside world for exporting its oil, natural gas and its hydrocarbons and to import consumer...

Financial sector development has been identified by financial economists as a veritable way of empowering the poor thereby paving the way for enabling them to become employed and possibly serve as economic agents of change. This study empirically investigates the relationship between financial...

Alternative fiscal consolidation strategies are examined in the context of a medium-scale econometric model estimated on Slovak data. The multipliers associated with adjustment on the spending side are generally larger than on the revenue side, which is not uncommon for this class of models. In...

The relationship between farm production costs, producer prices and retail food prices is frequently the subject of research. This study examines the existence of cointegrating relationships between the above variables and their direction of causality. Data used refer to price indices of farm...

This study re-considers the empirical investigation of the link between domestic private investment and economic growth in Nigeria, using the Cob-Douglas model framework. The model is estimated using Error Correction Modeling (ECM) approach and annual data covering 1970 to 2012 was used. The...

Merchandise imports in Saudi Arabia is growing steadily and very rapidly, at an average growth rate of 10.04 percent/year during 1975-2011. So, this study is very important to know the merchandise imports determinants in Saudi Arabian economy. This study empirically estimates the critical...

We analyse the dynamics of the pass - through of banks’ marginal cost to bank lending rates over the 2008 crisis and the euro area sovereign debt crisis in France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain . We measure banks’ marginal cost by their rate on new deposits, contrary to the...

The national total expenditure of a country is precipitated on several factors of which revenue generated could be one and very significant. This paper therefore examines the contribution of some selected sources of Nigerian government revenue to total national expenditure. Statistical and...

In this study, the relationship between financial development and economic growth has been handled in the light of causality linkage through the concerning variables in Turkey during the period 1984-2013. Four major variables for financial development have been used to evaluate this...

We analyse the dynamics of the pass-through of banks’ marginal cost to bank lending rates over the 2008 crisis and the euro area sovereign debt crisis in France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain. We measure banks’ marginal cost by their rate on new deposits, contrary to the...

Forecasting the nominal exchange rate has been one of the most difficult exercises in economics. This study employs the Frankel (1979) monetary model of exchange rate to examine the long run behavior of Pakistan rupee per unit of US dollar over the period 1982:Q1 to 2012:Q2. Johansen and...

In this paper, an econometric model of consumption in Bulgaria for the period 1997-2005 is constructed. The Error-Correction Model (ECM) approach is employed and long-run relationship between household consumption and income was found. The primary purpose of this empirical paper is to get a...