The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of P2P lending on bank credit in each type/segment of banking credit consisting of working capital credit, investment credit, and consumer credit in the period before and during the occurrence of the Covid-19 exogenous shock. Examining the...

We approximate the finite-sample distribution of impulse response function (IRF) estimators that are just-identified with a weak instrument using the conventional local-to-zero asymptotic framework. Since the distribution lacks a mean, we assess bias using the mode and conclude that researchers...

I study how the cognitive demands of financial planning shape household decisionmaking with respect to consumption out of windfall income shocks. I build a quantitative model of bounded rationality in which reoptimization is costly. Households respond to windfall income shocks by choosing a...

This paper studies the macroeconomic effects of global copper supply shocks. We identify exogenous disruptions to copper supply using a Bayesian structural VAR of the world copper market that combines sign and narrative restrictions. We then trace the international transmission of the identified...

Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) provide a transparent framework for encoding causal structures and identifying causal effects. This paper demonstrates how DAGs help specify local projections (LPs) for estimating causal impulse responses. Examples illustrate how graphical rules can be used to...

Purpose - Egypt could face total water depletion by 2050 due to the current waterscarcity of aboutseven billion cubic meters. Climatic shocks worsen this crisis, alongside Ethiopia's unilateral construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). This has caused a stalemate, raising...

Workforce adjustments, such as mass layoffs, are significant corporate events that can influence stock returns and volatility, yet their broader asset-pricing implications remain underexplored. We examine the impact of such workforce shocks on stock performance from an asset-pricing perspective....

This study, set against the backdrop of escalating trade tensions between China and the United States, examines the impact of soybean tariff adjustments on the abnormal asymmetric behavior in the futures market. By employing specialized analytical methods that capture market volatility asymmetry...

This paper uses firm-level data to investigate the resilience of the Portuguese wine sector's domestic market in the aftermath of the exogenous shock arising from Covid-19. To address this objective, this article applies a fractional response model. The results allow us to confirm that the...

This study investigates the asymmetric responses of AI and ESG Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) to geopolitical and financial uncertainty, with a focus on resilience across market regimes. The NASDAQ-100 and MSCI ESG Leaders indices are used as proxies for thematic ETFs, and their dynamic...

This study investigates the main drivers of inflation measured by CPI inflation and GDP deflator across 20 advanced and emerging economies over the yearly span from 2014 to 2023. Using Principal Component Analysis and Panel Vector Autoregression, the research examines the roles of supply-side...

Stability in the global equity market relies on the existence of a favorable macroeconomic environment. This study examines the dynamic responses of these markets to geopolitical risks and oil price shocks from 1979Q2 to 2023Q3 using the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) approach. We introduce...

This study examines the interconnectedness and idiosyncratic risks in sub-Saharan forex markets from 1999 to 2023. Using the TVP-VAR extended joint connectedness technique, we measure both the static and dynamic extended joint connectivity. Our analysis reveals that sub-Saharan forex markets are...

Congenital disorders are a principal cause of early mortality, long-term disabilities, impaired cognitive development and constitute a major challenge to families, communities, and health care systems. The origins of congenital disorders are, however, not yet well understood. Using a...

Motivated by the dominant role of the US dollar, we explore how monetary policy (MP) shocks in the United States can affect a small open economy through the expectation channel. We combine data from a panel survey of firms' expectations in Uruguay with granular information about firms' debt...

In this paper, we provide evidence on the impact of global seasonal temperature shocks on global food commodity prices. Utilizing monthly data from 1961 to 2023, we find an economically and statistically highly significant, longer-lasting positive impact of summer temperature shocks on global...

In this study, we employ the synthetic control method to evaluate the transmission of external shocks, taking COVID-19 as an example, on the stock market in the Chinese hospitality and tourism industry, specifically in the catering, hotel, cultural landscape, natural landscape, and travel agency...