We derive new tests for proper calibration of multivariate density forecasts based on Rosenblatt probability integral transforms. These tests have the advantage that they i) do not depend on the ordering of variables in the forecasting model, ii) are applicable to densities of arbitrary...

We propose a new three-step model-selection framework for size distributions in empirical data. It generalizes a recent frequentist plausibility-of-fit analysis (Step 1) and combines it with a relative ranking based on the Bayesian Akaike Information Criterion (Step 2). We enhance these...

The paper asks how state of the art DSGE models that account for the conditional response of hours following a positive neutral technology shock compare in a marginal likelihood race. To that end we construct and estimate several competing small-scale DSGE models that extend the standard real...

The authors apply a class of Markov switching models (independent spike models) to six European electricity markets and two European gas markets. This paper extends the current framework by introducing Gamma distributed spikes, which improves the fit for most energy markets. The models are quite...

We consider a problem of characterization of continuous distributions for which linearity of regression of overlapping order statistics, <InlineEquation ID="IEq1"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$\mathbb {E}(X_{i:m}|X_{j:n})=aX_{j:n}+b$$</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"> <math xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="double-struck">E</mi> <mrow> <mo stretchy="false">(</mo> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>i</mi> <mo>:</mo> <mi>m</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo stretchy="false">|</mo> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>j</mi> <mo>:</mo> <mi>n</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo stretchy="false">)</mo> </mrow> <mo>=</mo> <mi>a</mi> <msub> <mi>X</mi> <mrow> <mi>j</mi> <mo>:</mo> <mi>n</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mo>+</mo> <mi>b</mi> </mrow> </math> </EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, <InlineEquation ID="IEq2"> <EquationSource Format="TEX">$$m\le n$$</EquationSource> <EquationSource Format="MATHML"> <math xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <mrow> <mi>m</mi> <mo>≤</mo> <mi>n</mi> </mrow> </math> </EquationSource> </InlineEquation>, holds. Due to a new...</equationsource></equationsource></inlineequation></equationsource></equationsource></inlineequation>