This Technical Report documents the construction and coverage of the IWH European Real Estate Index (EREI). Since 2018, we have used machine-learning methods to collect monthly listings of residential real estate available for sale or rent in up to 20 European countries. The Technical Report...

This study investigates the role of housing prices in the Moroccan economy and their response to monetary policy shocks. Using a Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model, we explore the transmission mechanisms of monetary policy through various channels, including interest rates, credit...

How do different monetary policy tools influence residential housing markets, and how do these effects vary between owner-occupied and rental segments? To answer this question, we assemble a new monthly regional dataset from 35 million real estate listings over the period 2007- 2023 and exploit...

The Chilean real estate sector has recently undergone adjustments which have increased the risks for the financial sector, but the system remains overall resilient. In the baseline, the real estate market is expected to modestly recover, and several factors mitigate credit risk. The buffers in...

We examine the evolution of spatial house price dispersion during Germany's recent housing boom. Using a dataset of sales listings, we find that house price dispersion has significantly increased, which is driven entirely by rising price variation across postal codes. We show that both price...

The outbreak of the Covid-19 epidemic has caused some disruption to the real estate market in Vietnam. To survive the Covid-19 pandemic, real estate businesses have rushed to find alternative solutions, proactively approach support packages, and change business strategies. Moreover, the real...

We study whether and how EU banks comply with tighter macroprudential policy (MPP). Observing contractual details for more than one million securitized loans, we document an elusive risk-shifting response by EU banks in reaction to tighter loan-to-value (LTV) restrictions between 2009 and 2022....

This study explores the relationship between income growth and housing prices in Poland's seven largest cities from 2013 to 2024. Through statistical analysis, the research reveals a strong correlation between average gross wages, and both offer and transaction prices in the real estate market,...

Institutional investors, such as investment funds, are playing an increasingly important role in residential real estate markets. This raises the possibility that their actions might drive aggregate market outcomes and may change how and which macrofinancial shocks transmit to house prices. In a...

This paper studies how dynamic changes in the search environment affect consumer search and purchase behavior. We develop a dynamic model that incorporates a non-stationary search environment and propose a feasible estimation procedure to estimate its parameters. We apply our model and...

We use rich microdata from Denmark to study the effects of increased remote working on housing demand and property prices during the pandemic. We find that the rise in remote working exerted upward pressure on housing demand, and consequently, property prices. The analysis shows that people who...

We empirically document deviations of residential real estate prices from fundamental values at the micro level and investigate their relationship with local bank lending growth during a period of unconventional monetary policy. Our findings indicate a positive relationship between credit growth...

Using around 1 million repeat sales, we show idiosyncratic risk in real house price appreciation is time-varying, depends negatively on the initial house price, varies across locations, and decreases with the holding period. These systematic movements in idiosyncratic risk can be explained by...

Housing markets are affected by a large variety of factors. Among them, governmental regulations play an important role. Besides desired effects, all these policies exert a number of side effects, some of which can even offset the desired effects. In addition, different policies can cancel out...

The study examines housing affordability in Germany from 2017 to 2023 in light of rising real estate prices and challenges in the housing market. It uses the Housing Affordability Index to identify trends and patterns and propose policy measures to tackle the problems. The results show regional...

The European financial system faces significant risks from excessive bank lending to the real estate sector. Historical trends show a strong link between real estate credit booms and banking crises. Current data indicate that real estate loans constitute a substantial share of banks' corporate...

We develop a statistical-methodological framework for a set of core commercial real estate market indicators, which consists of a market price index, a gross rent index, and a net rental yield index as well a vacancy rate. We argue that the indicators should be (macro-)consistent, meaning that...

This paper shows that not all housing price cycles are alike. The nature of the housing expansion phase-especially whether a housing price boom characterized by rapid and persistent house price growth is present-plays a key role in shaping the severity of the subsequent contraction, and the net...

The value of the Danish commercial real estate market is large and developments within this market can have widespread implications for the financial system and the real economy. This memo provides an overview of the Danish commercial real estate market. It maps the stock of Danish commercial...

Seit Beginn des vergangenen Jahres expandiert die Weltwirtschaft in moderatem Tempo. Allerdings gerät in den USA das Inflationsziel von 2% zusehends außer Reichweite, und die US-Zentralbank wird ihren Leitzins, anders als an den Finanzmärkten noch zu Jahresbeginn erwartet, im Sommer wohl...

Zu Beginn des Jahres 2024 zeigen Stimmungsindikatoren etwas aufgehellte Aussichten für die internationale Konjunktur. Dabei war die weltweite Produktionsdynamik noch bis Ende 2023 zurückgegangen. Ursachen waren hohe Inflation, restriktive Geldpolitik und in Europa der russische Krieg gegen die...

Die deutsche Wirtschaft kommt nicht in die Gänge. Die vorsichtigen Erholungssignale, die vor einigen Monaten auszumachen waren, haben sich nicht verfestigt. Mittlerweile zeichnet sich ab, dass die Wirtschaftsleistung vorerst weiter stagnieren wird. Das Verarbeitende Gewerbe befindet sich in der...

We study whether the low interest rate environment paired with booming housing markets affected banks' foreign activities in terms of commercial and residential real estate backed lending. Using a unique dataset covering systemically relevant banks in the euro area over the period 2015-2022, we...

We study the credit risk of banks in Germany from lending to non-financial firms. We model changes in Expected Credit Loss, which is derived from the guidelines in the IFRS 9 accounting standard. We map the accounting model to a dataset with individual loans as the unit of observation...