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Year of publication
Subject
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Inflation expectations 4,313 Inflationserwartung 4,205 Theorie 1,931 Theory 1,925 Inflation 1,731 Monetary policy 1,456 Geldpolitik 1,437 USA 1,309 United States 1,299 Schätzung 732 Estimation 718 Inflation targeting 682 Inflationssteuerung 671 Erwartungsbildung 608 Expectation formation 604 inflation expectations 528 Rationale Erwartung 417 Rational expectations 410 Phillips curve 409 EU-Staaten 374 Phillips-Kurve 370 EU countries 366 Prognoseverfahren 308 Zinsstruktur 308 Forecasting model 306 Yield curve 306 Zins 300 Interest rate 298 Zentralbank 270 Central bank 268 Risiko 265 Risk 263 Eurozone 258 Euro area 257 Inflationsrate 210 Inflation rate 203 Großbritannien 201 United Kingdom 193 Anti-inflation policy 190 Inflationsbekämpfung 190
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Online availability
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Free 2,173 Undetermined 611
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 2,699 Article 1,964 Other 12 Journal 9
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 1,679 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 1,679 Working Paper 1,628 Graue Literatur 1,505 Non-commercial literature 1,505 Arbeitspapier 1,464 Aufsatz im Buch 185 Book section 185 Hochschulschrift 77 Thesis 63 Conference paper 33 Konferenzbeitrag 33 Collection of articles written by one author 27 Sammlung 27 Collection of articles of several authors 25 Sammelwerk 25 Amtsdruckschrift 23 Government document 23 Konferenzschrift 20 Commentary 18 Kommentar 18 Article 16 Conference proceedings 11 Systematic review 9 Übersichtsarbeit 9 Case study 7 Fallstudie 7 Aufsatzsammlung 6 Bibliografie enthalten 5 Bibliography included 5 Research Report 4 Amtliche Publikation 1 Conference Paper 1 Interview 1 Mehrbändiges Werk 1 Mikroform 1 Multi-volume publication 1 Proceedings 1 Reprint 1
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Language
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English 4,260 Undetermined 193 German 88 Spanish 44 French 40 Portuguese 14 Polish 10 Italian 8 Norwegian 7 Czech 5 Russian 5 Danish 3 Hungarian 3 Slovak 3 Bulgarian 2 Swedish 2 Finnish 1 Croatian 1 Dutch 1
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Author
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Gorodnichenko, Yuriy 90 Coibion, Olivier 85 Weber, Michael 61 Dräger, Lena 50 Paloviita, Maritta 44 Moessner, Richhild 43 Łyziak, Tomasz 38 Pfajfar, Damjan 37 Lamla, Michael 36 Siklos, Pierre L. 33 Topa, Giorgio 32 Williams, John C. 32 Ehrmann, Michael 30 Orphanides, Athanasios 30 Georgarakos, Dimitris 29 Fritsche, Ulrich 28 Dovern, Jonas 27 Yetman, James 27 D'Acunto, Francesco 25 Eusepi, Stefano 25 Nautz, Dieter 25 Galati, Gabriele 23 Szyszko, Magdalena 22 Malmendier, Ulrike 20 Andrade, Philippe 19 Bianchi, Francesco 19 Honkapohja, Seppo 19 Kilian, Lutz 19 Klaauw, Wilbert van der 19 Lamla, Michael J. 19 Levin, Andrew T. 19 Caporale, Guglielmo Maria 18 Strohsal, Till 18 Christiano, Lawrence J. 17 Haan, Jakob de 17 Jansen, David-Jan 17 Kenny, Geoff 17 Melosi, Leonardo 17 Söderlind, Paul 17 Adam, Klaus 16
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Institution
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National Bureau of Economic Research 77 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 17 de Nederlandsche Bank 10 European Central Bank 9 Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) 8 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 7 Fachbereich Sozialökonomie, Universität Hamburg 6 Banca d'Italia 5 Bank for International Settlements (BIS) 5 Johns Hopkins University / Department of Economics 5 KOF Swiss Economic Institute, Department of Management, Technology and Economics (D-MTEC) 5 Narodowy Bank Polski 5 Reserve Bank of Australia 5 CESifo 4 Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland 4 Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond 4 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 4 Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) 4 Society for Computational Economics - SCE 4 Suomen Pankki 4 Bank für Internationalen Zahlungsausgleich / Währungs- und Wirtschaftsabteilung 3 Bank of Japan 3 Deutsche Bundesbank 3 Directorate-General Economic and Financial Affairs, European Commission 3 Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City / Research Division 3 Federal Reserve System / Board of Governors 3 Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research <Mailand> 3 Institut für Weltwirtschaft 3 Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research 3 Banco Central de Reserva del Perú 2 Banco de España 2 Bank of England 2 Banque de France 2 Banque des États de l'Afrique Centrale / Direction des Etudes 2 Belarusian Economic Research and Outreach Center 2 Center for Financial Studies 2 Centralna Banka Crne Gore 2 Centre for Economic Policy Research 2 Centro di Economia Monetaria e Finanziaria Paolo Baffi 2 Columbia University / Department of Economics 2
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Published in...
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Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 83 NBER working paper series 76 Working paper series / European Central Bank 68 Economics letters 60 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 57 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 50 NBER Working Paper 48 Applied economics 46 CESifo working papers 46 ECB Working Paper 42 Finance and economics discussion series 41 Journal of monetary economics 41 Discussion papers / CEPR 37 Journal of macroeconomics 34 International journal of central banking : IJCB 33 Economic modelling 29 Journal of economic dynamics & control 29 Staff reports / Federal Reserve Bank of New York 27 Bank of Finland research discussion papers 26 CAMA working paper series 25 CESifo Working Paper 25 DNB working paper 25 Discussion paper 23 Macroeconomic dynamics 23 Bank of Japan working paper series 22 Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria 22 Applied economics letters 19 Working paper series / European Central Bank ; Eurosystem 19 Working papers / Bank for International Settlements 19 International finance discussion papers 18 International review of economics & finance : IREF 18 Questioni di economia e finanza 17 Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank 16 Economic review 16 IMF working papers 16 MPRA Paper 16 NBP working paper 16 Quarterly bulletin / Bank of England 16 Working paper 16 Working papers series / Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 16
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Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 4,206 RePEc 270 EconStor 187 BASE 16 ArchiDok 5
Showing 1 - 50 of 4,684
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Considerations on the monetary policy framework of the European Central Bank
Tosato, Andrea Giorgio - 2022
This working paper offers some considerations on the monetary policy framework of the European Central Bank. The trade-offs arising from adopting a point target configuration over a range target one are assessed in terms of their flexibility vs. inflation anchoring properties. This layout is...
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The expected, perceived, and realized inflation of U.S. households before and during the COVID-19 pandemic
Weber, Michael; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Coibion, Olivier - 2022
We examine the efficacy of affirmative action at universities whose value depends on peer and alumni networks. We study an elite Brazilian university that adopted race- and income-based affirmative action at a large scale. Using employer-employee data, we show that a key benefit of attending the...
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Inflation expectations and climate concern
Meinerding, Christoph; Poinelli, Andrea; Schüler, Yves - 2022
Using survey data from German households, we find that individuals with lower climate concern tend to have higher inflation expectations up to five years ahead. This correlation is most pronounced among individuals with extremely high inflation expectations. Evaluating candidate explanations, we...
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Political shocks and inflation expectations : evidence from the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine
Dräger, Lena; Gründler, Klaus; Potrafke, Niklas - 2022
How do global political shocks influence individuals' expectations about economic outcomes? We run a unique survey on inflation expectations among 145 tenured economics professors in Germany and exploit the 2022 Russian invasion in Ukraine as a natural experiment to identify the effect of a...
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(Dis)solving the zero lower bound equilibrium through income policy
Ascari, Guido; Bonchi, Jacopo - In: Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 54 (2022) 2/3, pp. 519-535
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Inflation levels and (in)attention
Bracha, Anat; Tang, Jenny - 2022 - This version: January 2022
Inflation expectations are key determinants of economic activity and are central to the current policy debate about whether inflation expectations will remain anchored in the face of recent pandemic-related increases in inflation. This paper explores evidence of inattention by constructing two...
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New DTW windows type for forward- and backward-lookingness examination : application for inflation expectation
Rutkowska, Aleksandra; Szyszko, Magdalena - In: Computational economics 59 (2022) 2, pp. 701-718
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Inflation expectations investigation using Markov regime-switching autoregression
Lukianenko, Iryna; Nasachenko, Mariia; Tokarchuk, Taras - In: Montenegrin journal of economics 18 (2022) 1, pp. 19-29
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Point targets, tolerance bands, or target ranges? : inflation target types and the anchoring of inflation expectations
Ehrmann, Michael - 2021
Inflation targeting is implemented in different ways – most often by adopting point targets, by having tolerance bands around a point target, or by specifying target ranges. Using data for 20 economies, this paper tests whether the various target types affect the anchoring of inflation...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012508768
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Do exchange rates absorb demand shocks at the ZLB?
Hoffmann, Mathias; Hürtgen, Patrick - 2021
According to the two-country full information New Keynesian model with flexible exchange rates, the real exchange rate appreciates in response to an asymmetric negative demand shock at the zero lower bound (ZLB) and exacerbates the adverse macroeconomic effects. This finding requires inflation...
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Point targets, tolerance bands, or target ranges? : inflation target types and the anchoring of inflation expectations
Ehrmann, Michael - 2021
Inflation targeting is implemented in different ways - most often by adopting point targets, by having tolerance bands around a point target, or by specifying target ranges. Using data for 20 economies, this paper tests whether the various target types affect the anchoring of inflation...
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Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012519532
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Priming in inflation expectations surveys
Reid, Monique; Odendaal, Hanjo; Siklos, Pierre L.; Du … - 2021
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012523512
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Priming in inflation expectations surveys
Reid, Monique; Odendaal, Hanjo; Siklos, Pierre L.; Du … - 2021
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012586236
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Nonlinearities and asymmetric adjustment to PPP in an exchange rate model with inflation expectations
Anderl, Christina; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2021
This paper estimates a model of the real exchange rate including standard fundamentals as well as two alternative measures of inflation expectations for five inflation targeting countries (UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Sweden) over the period January 1993-July 2019. Both a benchmark linear...
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Determinants of inflation expectations
Moessner, Richhild - 2021
This paper analyses the determinants of short-term inflation expectations based on surveys of professionals, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation for a large number of 34 OECD economies. We find that food consumer price inflation and depreciations of the domestic exchange rate have...
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Do inflation expectations improve model-based inflation forecasts?
Bańbura, Marta; Leiva-León, Danilo; Menz, Jan-Oliver - 2021
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Qualitative and quantitative Central Bank communications and professional forecasts: Evidence from India
Goyal, Ashima; Parab, Prashant Mehul - 2021
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De-anchored long-term inflation expectations in a low growth, low rate environment
Bulligan, Guido; Corsello, Francesco; Neri, Stefano; … - 2021
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Zero lower bound on inflation expectations
Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Sergeyev, Dmitriy - 2021
We document a new fact: in U.S., European and Japanese surveys, households do not expect deflation, even in environments where persistent deflation is a strong possibility. This fact stands in contrast to the standard macroeconomic models with rational expectations. We extend a standard New...
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Monetary policy strategy and inflation in Japan
Borrallo Egea, Fructuoso; Río, Pedro del - 2021
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Effects of inflation expectations on inflation
Moessner, Richhild - 2021
We study the effects of professionals’ survey-based inflation expectations on inflation for a large number of 36 OECD economies, using dynamic cross-country panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips curves. We find that inflation expectations have a significantly positive effect on inflation....
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Anchoring of inflation expectations : the case of Turkey
Togay, Selahattin; Bulut, Umit - In: Romanian journal of economic forecasting 24 (2021) 3, pp. 5-19
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ECB communication as a stabilization and coordination device: evidence from ex-ante inflation uncertainty
Fernandes, Cecilia Melo - 2021
This paper investigates the impact of ECB communication of its assessment of the economic outlook on ex-ante inflation uncertainty and sheds light on how central bank information shocks operate. The paper finds that ECB communication of new outlook information not only reduces professional...
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Can we measure inflation expectations using Twitter?
Angelico, Cristina; Marcucci, Juri; Miccoli, Marcello; … - 2021
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Are households indifferent to monetary policy announcements?
De Fiore, Fiorella; Lombardi, Marco; Schuffels, Johannes - 2021
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012620793
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Analysing euro area inflation outlook with the Phillips curve
Oinonen, Sami; Vilmi, Lauri - 2021
This paper presents the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) -based framework for analysing euro area inflation outlook. Our NKPC specification, that relies on market- and survey-based inflation expectations, explains well euro area inflation dynamics. Its forecasting performance is also...
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Forward guidance and household expectations
Coibion, Olivier; Georgarakos, Dimitris; Gorodnichenko, … - 2021 - This Draft: April 19th, 2021
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Contracts and firms' inflation expectations
Kumar, Saten; Wesselbaum, Dennis - 2021 - Revised draft: 12 September 2021
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012664093
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An empirical assessment of the U.S. Phillips curve over time
Vlekke, Marente; Koopman, Siem Jan; Mellens, Martin C. - 2021
We assess the stability of the unemployment gap parameter using linear dynamic Phillips curve models for the United States. In this study, we allow the unemployment gap parameter to be time-varying such that we can monitor the importance of the Phillips curve over time. We consider different...
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Inflation in the euro area : factors mostly have only a temporary effect, but risk of prolonged elevated inflation remains
Bernoth, Kerstin; Ider, Gökhan - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 11 (2021) 41/42, pp. 315-323
Headline inflation in the euro area jumped to more than three percent in the summer after years of relatively low inflation rates well below the target of close to but below two percent set by the ECB until July 2021. One of the main reasons for the rise in inflation is the increase in energy...
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Role of the media in the inflation expectation formation process
Yukhymenko, Tetiana - 2021
This research highlights the role played by the media in the inflation expectations formation process of different types of respondents in Ukraine. Using a large news corpus and machine learning techniques I constructed news-based measures transforming text into quantitative indicators, which...
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Trust in the ECB in turbulent times
Cruijsen, Carin van der; Samarina, Anna - 2021
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Korea's inflation expectations with regard to the Phillips Curve and implications of the COVID-19 crisis
Jung, Kyu-Chul - In: KDI-journal of economic policy 43 (2021) 2, pp. 81-101
This paper estimates the expectation-augmented Phillips curve, which explains inflation dynamics, in Korea. The phenomenon of low inflation in Korea has been going on for quite some time, in particular since 2012. During the Covid-19 crisis, due to low inflation expectations the operation of...
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Monetary policy uncertainty and inflation expectations
Arce-Alfaro, Gabriel; Blagov, Boris - 2021
Do inflation expectations react to changes in the volatility of monetary policy? Yes, but only until the global financial crisis. This paper investigates whether increasing the dispersion of monetary policy shocks, which is interpreted as elevated uncertainty surrounding monetary policy, affects...
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The role of information and experience for households' inflation expectations
Conrad, Christian; Enders, Zeno; Glas, Alexander - 2021
Based on a new survey of German households, we investigate the role that information channels and lifetime experience play in households' inflation expectations. We show that the types of information channels that households use to inform themselves about monetary policy are closely related to...
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Unit cost expectations and uncertainty : firms' perspectives on inflation
Meyer, Brent H.; Parker, Nicholas B.; Sheng, Xuguang - 2021
We rely on the Atlanta Fed's Business Inflation Expectations survey to draw inference about firms' inflation perceptions, expectations, and uncertainty through the lens of firms' unit (marginal) costs. Using methods grounded in the survey literature, we find evidence that the concept of...
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Fiscal policy and households' inflation expectations: evidence from a randomized control trial
Coibion, Olivier; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Weber, Michael - 2021
Rising government debt levels around the world are raising the specter that authorities might seek to inflate away the debt. In theoretical settings where fiscal policy "dominates" monetary policy, higher debt without offsetting changes in primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate...
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The role of information and experience for households' inflation expectations
Conrad, Christian; Enders, Zeno; Glas, Alexander - 2021
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Fiscal policy and households' inflation expectations : evidence from a randomized control trial
Coibion, Olivier; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Weber, Michael - 2021
Rising government debt levels around the world are raising the specter that authorities might seek to inflate away the debt. In theoretical settings where fiscal policy "dominates"monetary policy, higher debt without offsetting changes in primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate...
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012437870
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Belief-dependent pricing decisions
Frache, Serafin; Lluberas, Rodrigo; Turen, Javier - 2021
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Does monetary policy credibility help in anchoring inflation expectations? : evidence from six inflation targeting emerging economies
Güler, Aslı - In: Journal of central banking theory and practice 10 (2021) 1, pp. 93-111
Most emerging market central banks have adopted inflation targeting as their monetary policy system. The heart of inflation targeting system is inflation expectations. The success of a central bank in achieving targets depends on to the extent to which inflation expectations are formed by the...
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Twenty years of unconventional monetary policies : lessons and way forward for the Bank of Japan
Westelius, Niklas J. - 2020
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Inflation expectations in the U.S. : linking markets, households, and businesses
Williams, Peter D. - 2020
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Monetary policy surprises and inflation expectation dispersion
Grigoli, Francesco; Gruss, Bertrand; Lizarazo, Sandra - 2020
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Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012392613
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Average inflation targeting and household expectations
Coibion, Olivier; Gorodnichenko, Yuriy; Knotek, Edward S.; … - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012388384
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Unconventional monetary policy and inflation expectations in the euro area
Aßhoff, Sina; Belke, Ansgar; Osowski, Thomas - 2020
With the ECB's policy rate having reached the zero lower bound, traditional monetary policy tools became ineffective and the ECB was forced to adopt a set of unconventional monetary policy (UMP) measures. This paper examines the effects of the ECB’s UMP on inflation expectations in the Euro...
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Development of inflation expectations in Serbia and a comparative analysis
Martin, Vesna - In: Journal of central banking theory and practice 9 (2020) 1, pp. 61-79
Inflation expectations are very important when it comes to monetary policy and its decisions. In countries which are applying inflation targeting, inflation expectations reflect prediction of economic agents of movement of inflation rate in mid and long term. Anchored inflation expectations and...
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Inflation expectations and consumer spending : micro-data evidence
Kikuchi, Junichi; Nakazono, Yoshiyuki - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012404425
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Inflation expectations in euro area Phillips curves
Álvarez, Luis J.; Correa-López, Mónica - 2020
Persistent link: https://ebtypo.dmz1.zbw/10012313591
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Long-run inflation expectations in the ECB survey of professional forecasters : what do the survey responses tell us?
Oinonen, Sami; Virén, Matti E. E. - In: Equilibrium : quarterly journal of economics and … 15 (2020) 4, pp. 675-695
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