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Year of publication
Subject
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inflationary pressure 51 inflation 47 monetary policy 40 central bank 31 inflationary pressures 30 monetary fund 30 inflation rate 29 low inflation 27 real interest rates 26 price inflation 24 price stability 22 aggregate demand 21 foreign currency 21 foreign exchange 21 price level 21 high inflation 20 financial stability 19 monetary economics 19 nominal interest rate 19 Economic models 18 inflation dynamics 18 inflation target 18 lower inflation 18 terms of trade 18 real interest rate 17 inflation rates 16 inflation targeting 16 macroeconomic stability 16 gdp deflator 15 money supply 15 rate of inflation 15 rising inflation 15 average inflation 13 increase in inflation 13 inflation forecasts 13 real output 13 Economic indicators 12 Staff Reports 12 monetary aggregates 12 monetary policies 12
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Online availability
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Free 50 Undetermined 1
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 49 Article 4
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 2 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 2 Arbeitspapier 1 Graue Literatur 1 Non-commercial literature 1 Working Paper 1
Language
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English 28 Undetermined 25
Author
All
Berger, Helge 2 Harjes, Thomas 2 Hunt, Ben 2 Mody, Ashoka 2 Stavrev, Emil 2 Vitek, Francis 2 Aiyar, Shekhar 1 Ajuzie, Emmanuel I. S. 1 Barakchian, S. Mahdi 1 Batini, Nicoletta 1 Berg, Andrew 1 Celasun, Oya 1 Clements, Benedict J. 1 Coenen, Günter 1 Crowe, Christopher W. 1 Davies, Matt 1 Debrun, Xavier 1 Dunn, Jonathan C. 1 Erceg, Christopher J. 1 Flanagan, Mark J 1 Flores, Enrique 1 Freedman, Charles 1 Furceri, Davide 1 Giustiniani, Alessandro 1 Griffiths, Mark E. L. 1 Gupta, Kariom 1 Gupta, Souvik 1 Habermeier, Karl Friedrich 1 Horton, Mark A. 1 Hussain, Mumtaz 1 Ishi, Kotaro 1 Jan in ‘t Veld 1 Josefsson, Mats 1 Jácome, Luis Ignacio 1 Kannan, Prakash 1 Kawai, Masahiro 1 Keller, Christian 1 Kisinbay, Turgut 1 Klingen, Christoph 1 Kolemajev, Vladimir 1
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Institution
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International Monetary Fund (IMF) 48 International Monetary Fund 20
Published in...
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IMF Working Papers 26 IMF Staff Country Reports 19 IMF Occasional Papers 3 Applied Econometrics 1 Discussion paper / Central Bureau voor de Statistiek 1 Journal of Academic Research in Economics 1 Journal of business & economics research 1 Journal of the Asia Pacific economy 1
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Source
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RePEc 50 ECONIS (ZBW) 3
Showing 1 - 50 of 53
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Various financial regulation effects on the lending market : evidence from Korea
Seo, Ji-Yong - In: Journal of the Asia Pacific economy 25 (2020) 2, pp. 270-288
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Inflation dynamics in the Netherlands : a linear and non-linear analysis and the influence of economic conditions
Ruth, Floris van - 2014
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Costa Rica; 2012 Article IV Consultation
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2013
This article is an analytical report of the economic developments of Costa Rica. The economy showed rapid growth in the aftermath of the global crisis with low inflation; but for further stable growth, certain policy frameworks and reforms need to be reinforced. The fiscal stance should be made...
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Vietnam; Staff Report for the 2012 Article IV Consultation
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2012
This 2012 Article IV Consultation focuses on the financial sector and macroeconomic situation in Vietnam. The authorities adopted a stabilization package in February 2011 in response to increasing pressures on prices and the exchange rate in late 2010. Executive Directors commended the...
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Republic of Fiji; 2011 Article IV Consultation
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2012
This 2011 Article IV Consultation reports that Fiji’s economic outlook appears stable, but there are downside risks related to the political situation, structural weaknesses, and the global environment. The 2012 budget has proposed much-needed fiscal consolidation, though marginal income...
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Communication of Central Bank Thinking and Inflation Dynamics
Tang, Man-Keung; Yu, Xiangrong - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
This paper studies the role of central bank communication of its economic assessment in shaping inflation dynamics. Imperfect information about the central bank's assessment - or the basis for monetary policy decisions - could complicate the private sector's learning about its policy response...
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Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanisms in Pacific Island Countries
Dunn, Jonathan C.; Davies, Matt; Yang, Yongzheng; Wu, Yiqun - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2011
During the global financial crisis, central banks in Pacific island countries eased monetary policy to stimulate economic activity. Judging by the ensuing movements in commercial bank interest rates and private sector credit, monetary policy transmission appears to be weak. This is confirmed by...
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West African Economic and Monetary Union; Staff Report on Common Policies of Member Countries—Regional Consultation on Economic Issues and Policies—Staff Report, Public Information Notice Informational Annex, Staff Statement, Executive Director’s Statement
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2011
In 2010, average inflation has remained low in all West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) countries, but has edged up in the second half of the year. After a moderate fiscal easing by about 1½ percentage points of GDP in 2009, mostly the result of higher capital spending, the...
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Commodity Prices and Inflation in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2010
Inflation followed a strikingly uniform pattern in all countries of the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia during the period 1996-2009, falling until about 2000 and then rising. International fuel prices do not help explain this pattern. This conclusion is robust even when different...
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Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the Group of Twenty; A Panel Unobserved Components Approach
Vitek, Francis - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
This paper develops a panel unobserved components model of the monetary transmission mechanism in the world economy, disaggregated into twenty national economies along the lines of the Group of Twenty. This structural macroeconometric model features extensive linkages between the real and...
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Still Minding the Gap; Inflation Dynamics During Episodes of Persistent Large Output Gaps
Meier, André - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
This paper studies inflation dynamics during 25 historical episodes in advanced economies where output remained well below potential for an extended period. We find that such episodes generally brought about significant disinflation, underpinned by weak labor markets, slowing wage growth, and,...
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Monetary Policy Matters; New Evidence Basedon a New Shock Measure
Crowe, Christopher W.; Barakchian, S. Mahdi - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
Conventional VAR and non-VAR methods of identifying the effects of monetary policy shocks on the economy have found a negative output response to monetary tightening using U.S. data over the 1960s-1990s. However, we show that these methods fail to find this contractionary effect when the sample...
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Effects of Fiscal Stimulus in Structural Models
Kumhof, Michael; Muir, Dirk; Resende, Carlos de; Jan in … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
The paper assesses, using seven structural models used heavily by policymaking institutions, the effectiveness of temporary fiscal stimulus. Models can, more easily than empirical studies, account for differences between fiscal instruments, for differences between structural characteristics of...
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United Kingdom; 2010 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Staff Supplement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for the United Kingdom.
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2010
The U.K. economy is on the mend, but crisis-related scars still need healing. The challenge ahead will be to ensure sustainable recovery and balance sheet repair while remaining flexible to respond to shocks. A highly accommodative monetary stance is required to offset the contractionary impulse...
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Does Global Liquidity Matter for Monetary Policy in the Euro Area?
Berger, Helge; Harjes, Thomas - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
Global excess liquidity is sometimes believed to limit sovereign monetary policy even in large economies, including the euro area. There is much discussion about what constitutes global excess liquidity and our approach adjusts liquidity for longer-term interest rate and output effects. We find...
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Commodity Price Volatility, Cyclical Fluctuations, and Convergence; What is Ahead for Inflation in Emerging Europe?
Zoli, Edda - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
This paper assesses the role of international commodity prices, cyclical fluctuations, and convergence in driving inflation in 18 European emerging economies. Country specific VARs and panel estimates indicate that international commodity price shocks have a significant impact on domestic...
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Monetary and Fiscal Policy Options for Dealing with External Shocks; Insights from the GIMF for Colombia
Flores, Enrique; Leigh, Daniel; Clements, Benedict J. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
This paper utilizes an open-economy New Keynesian overlapping generations model, the Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal Model (GIMF), to assess the macroeconomic effects of external shocks and the impact of various monetary and fiscal policy responses. The simulations assess the effect of...
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Macroeconomic Implications for Hong Kong SAR of Accommodative U.S. Monetary Policy
Papa M'B. P. N'Diaye - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
This paper discusses the potential macroeconomic implications for Hong Kong SAR of accommodative monetary policy in the United States. It shows, through model simulations, that a resumption of the credit channel in Hong Kong SAR has the potential to create inflation in both goods and asset...
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Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting in the World Economy; A Panel Unobserved Components Approach
Vitek, Francis - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
This paper develops a panel unobserved components model of the monetary transmission mechanism in the world economy, disaggregated into its fifteen largest national economies. This structural macroeconometric model features extensive linkages between the real and financial sectors, both within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10008540925
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Macroeconomic Patterns and Monetary Policy in the Run-Up to Asset Price Busts
Scott, Alasdair; Rabanal, Pau; Kannan, Prakash - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
We find that inflation, output and the stance of monetary policy do not typically display unusual behavior ahead of asset price busts. By contrast, credit, shares of investment in GDP, current account deficits, and asset prices typically rise, providing useful, if not perfect, leading indicators...
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What Should Inflation Targeting Countries Do When Oil Prices Rise and Drop Fast?
Batini, Nicoletta; Tereanu, Eugen - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
After a long period of global price stability, in 2008 inflation increased sharply following unprecedented increases in the price of oil and other commodities, notably food. Although inflation remained lower and growth higher in inflation targeting countries than elsewhere, almost everywhere...
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Measures of Underlying Inflation in Sri Lanka
Gupta, Souvik; Saxegaard, Magnus - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
During the first half of 2008, Sri Lanka witnessed significantly higher inflation than most other emerging Asian countries. Inflation has since declined amid declining world commodity prices and tight monetary policy. Given the sensitivity to global commodity prices, a core inflation measure...
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Inflation Pressures and Monetary Policy Options in Emerging and Developing Countries-A Cross Regional Perspective
Ötker, Inci; Vávra, David; Vázquez, Francisco F.; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
This paper analyzes the monetary policy response to rising inflation in emerging and developing countries associated with the food and oil price shocks in 2007 and the first half of 2008. It reviews inflation developments in a sample of countries covering all regions and a broad range of...
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The ECB’s Monetary Analysis Revisited
Berger, Helge; Harjes, Thomas; Stavrev, Emil - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
Monetary aggregates continue to play an important role in the ECB's policy strategy. This paper revisits the case for money, surveying the ongoing theoretical and empirical debate. The key conclusion is that an exclusive focus on non-monetary factors alone may leave the ECB with an incomplete...
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Recent Inflationary Trends in World Commodities Markets
Krichene, Noureddine - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2008
Expansionary monetary policies in key industrial countries and sharply depreciating U.S. dollar exchange rate sent commodities prices soaring at unprecedented rates during 2003-2007. Food prices rose to alarming levels threatening malnutrition and food riots. In contrast, consumer price indices,...
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Papua New Guinea; Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2008
This paper analyzes the workings and effectiveness of the monetary transmission mechanism in Papua New Guinea. The paper is organized as follows: it describes the current institutional structure in Papua New Guinea; interest rate is discussed; the evidence from vector autoregression analysis on the...
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Turkey; Seventh Review and Inflation Consultation Under the Stand-By Arrangement and Request for Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criteria: Staff Report; Staff Supplement; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Turkey.
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2008
This paper discusses key findings of the Seventh Review and Inflation Consultation Under the Stand-By Arrangement for Turkey. Macroeconomic developments have become less favorable since the last review in May 2007. Political developments have distracted attention from an ambitious economic...
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Republic of Korea; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2008
This Selected Issues paper for the Republic of Korea focuses on the role of monetary policy in the current context of slowing growth and rising inflation pressures. Korea has not remained immune to the global slowdown, and with the cycle turning downward, the trade-off between inflation and...
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On Consequences of Investing into Production of the Additional Income Generated by World Prices Growths on Raw Materials and Energy Resources
Kolemajev, Vladimir - In: Applied Econometrics 7 (2007) 3, pp. 53-65
The work, based on a mathematical model, shows that investment of the additional income into production under reasonable state control, accompanied by moderate inflationary pressure on the consumer market, effects optimal economic growth. The inflationary pressure can to a considerable extent be...
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The Macroeconomics of Scaling Up Aid; Lessons from Recent Experience
Berg, Andrew; Hussain, Mumtaz; Roache, Shaun K.; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007
This study analyzes key issues associated with large increases in aid, including absorptive capacity, Dutch disease, and inflation. The authors develop a framework that emphasizes the different roles of monetary and fiscal policy and apply it to the recent experience of five countries: Ethiopia,...
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Can Domestic Policies Influence Inflation?
Mody, Ashoka; Ohnsorge, Franziska - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007
Globalization operates not only by reducing domestic pressures on inflation but also by reducing the scope of domestic authorities to influence the pace of inflation. First, as markets are integrated, the common, cross-border sources of inflation increase, reducing the extent of...
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U.K. Inflation and Relative Prices Over the Last Decade; How Important Was Globalization?
Hunt, Ben - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007
In this paper, the IMF's new Global Economy Model (GEM) is used to estimate the relative importance of a number of factors argued to explain the differences in the trends in core inflation and relative prices in the United Kingdom, the Euro Area and the United States. The simulation results...
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Georgia; Fifth Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility and Request for Waiver of a Performance Criterion-Staff Paper; Staff Statement; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion;
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2007
This paper discusses key findings of the Fifth Review Under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility for Georgia. Despite economic sanctions imposed by Russia in 2006, Georgia’s economic growth continues to be strong, and inflation has declined. Growth is expected to reach 9 percent in...
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Norway; 2007 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Staff Supplement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Norway
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2007
This 2007 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Norwegian economy is set to grow strongly in 2007 for the fourth consecutive year. This economic performance is underpinned by strong monetary and fiscal policy frameworks. External demand, both for petroleum products and other Norwegian...
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Romania; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2007
This Selected Issues paper discusses Romania’s modeling monetary policy. A simple Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) for Romania has been designed to help in the preparation of the IMF staff’s forecasts and policy assessments. A major advantage of this approach is that...
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Experience with Large Fiscal Adjustments
Horton, Mark A.; Tsibouris, George C.; Maliszewski, Wojciech - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
When policymakers have little option but to consider a sizable fiscal adjustment, they are confronted by the following questions: Can a large fiscal adjustment be implemented succesfully? How is a large adjustment best designed and implemented? What will be its impact on the economy? This...
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Measures of Underlying Inflation in the Euro Area; Assessment and Role for Informing Monetary Policy
Stavrev, Emil - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
The paper evaluates the 24-month ahead inflation forecasting performance of various indicators of underlying inflation and structural models. The inflation forecast errors resulting from model misspecification are larger than the errors resulting from forecasting of exogenous variables. Also,...
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Core Inflation Measures and Statistical Issues in Choosing Among them
Silver, Mick - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper provides an overview of statistical measurement issues relating to alternative measures of core inflation, and the criteria for choosing among them. The approaches to measurement considered include exclusion-based methods, imputation methods, limited influence estimators, reweighting,...
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An Empirical Investigation of the Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Inflation in Tanzania
Mwase, Nkunde - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
The paper examines the effect of exchange rate changes on consumer prices in Tanzania using structural vector autoregression (VAR) models. Using a data set covering the period 1990-2005, we find that the exchange rate pass-through to inflation declined in the late 1990s despite the depreciation...
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Euro Area Policies; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2006
The paper discusses the purpose, properties, and theoretical foundations of various indicators of inflation and also describes the forecasting methodology and performance of these indicators. It reviews the successful European labor market reform experiences and analyzes regulatory and...
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The role of oil speculation on the economy : the problem with the view of Fattouth, Kilian, And Mahadeva
Ajuzie, Emmanuel I. S. - In: Journal of business & economics research 11 (2013) 8, pp. 367-371
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Turkey at the Crossroads; From Crisis Resolution to EU Accession
McGettigan, Donal; Debrun, Xavier; Griffiths, Mark E. L.; … - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
The key policy challenge for Turkey in the years ahead will be to enhance and consolidate the advances made since the nation’s 2000-01 economic crisis. Higher growth could reduce unemployment and raise living standards toward European Union levels. This paper reviews Turkey’s...
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Oil Price Shocks; Can they Account for the Stagflation in the 1970's?
Hunt, Ben - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2005
Using a variant of the IMF's Global Economy Model (GEM), featuring energy as both an intermediate input into production and a final consumption good, this paper examines the macroeconomic implications of large increases in the price of energy. Within a fully optimizing framework with nominal and...
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New Zealand; 2005 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; and Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2005
This 2005 Article IV Consultation highlights that New Zealand’s GDP growth was particularly strong in 2004, at 4.8 percent, led by a surge in domestic demand. Private consumption grew by 6 percent, reflecting high employment growth, strong commodity prices, and household borrowing against...
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Norway; Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2005
This Selected Issues paper analyzes inflation in Norway with a view to shedding light on this surprising development and the possible near-term course of inflation, using statistical and econometric analyses. The paper reviews recent developments of monetary policy and inflation in Norway,...
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Norway; 2005 Article IV Consultation—Staff Report; Staff Supplement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Norway
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2005
This 2005 Article IV Consultation highlights that Norway’s real mainland GDP growth rebounded strongly in 2004, after a slowdown that began in late 2002. Very supportive monetary conditions, high oil prices, rising housing prices, strengthening consumer and business confidence, and an...
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Republic of Estonia; 2005 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Estonia
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2005
The staff report for the 2005 Article IV Consultation on the Republic of Estonia focuses on the economic outlook and risks. Robust economic growth continues, largely driven by domestic demand. Estonia has achieved significant nominal convergence; meeting all of the Maastricht criteria, save for...
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Czech Republic; 2004 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Staff Statement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Czech Republic
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2004
This 2004 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Czech Republic’s GDP expanded by 3.1 percent in 2003 and the first quarter of 2004, mainly supported by household consumption. Investment was also strong in 2003—driven by spending on public infrastructure—and swelled in...
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South Africa; 2004 Article IV Consultation—Staff Report; Staff Statement; and Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion
International Monetary Fund (IMF); International … - 2004
This 2004 Article IV Consultation highlights that economic growth in South Africa slowed in 2003 to 1.9 percent, from 3.6 percent in 2002, despite strong domestic demand. Fuelled by low interest rates, a more expansionary fiscal stance, and the wealth effects from strong commodity and property...
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Determinants of Inflation in a Transition Economy; The Case of Ukraine
Lissovolik, Bogdan - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2003
This paper examines determinants of inflation in Ukraine during 1993-2002 in a cointegrating framework. Two basic theoretical models-a markup and a money market model-are tested. While broad money is cointegrated with the CPI for the whole sample and for early subsamples, the cointegration...
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