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  • Search: subject_exact:"Konjunktur"
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Year of publication
Subject
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Konjunktur 38,107 Business cycle 31,801 Theorie 9,896 Theory 9,718 USA 9,614 United States 9,301 Deutschland 4,554 Schätzung 3,509 Wirtschaftskrise 3,474 Economic crisis 3,344 Estimation 3,319 Welt 3,210 Finanzkrise 3,165 Financial crisis 3,124 World 2,953 Schock 2,665 Germany 2,626 Shock 2,570 Geldpolitik 2,500 Monetary policy 2,306 Wirtschaftswachstum 2,261 Economic growth 1,843 Konjunkturtheorie 1,818 EU-Staaten 1,763 Business cycle theory 1,698 Frühindikator 1,567 Arbeitslosigkeit 1,566 EU countries 1,560 Leading indicator 1,480 Unemployment 1,442 Finanzpolitik 1,425 Zeitreihenanalyse 1,421 Arbeitsmarkt 1,411 Wirkungsanalyse 1,381 Impact assessment 1,347 Time series analysis 1,345 Volatilität 1,328 Fiscal policy 1,291 Volatility 1,278 Wirtschaftspolitik 1,215
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Online availability
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Free 14,139 Undetermined 4,336
Type of publication
All
Book / Working Paper 19,750 Article 17,859 Journal 503
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 12,689 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 12,689 Graue Literatur 9,375 Non-commercial literature 9,375 Working Paper 8,813 Arbeitspapier 8,036 Aufsatz im Buch 1,619 Book section 1,619 Article 939 Hochschulschrift 688 Collection of articles of several authors 632 Sammelwerk 632 Thesis 454 Country report 386 Länderbericht 386 Konferenzschrift 360 Amtsdruckschrift 317 Government document 317 Statistik 273 Conference proceedings 218 Collection of articles written by one author 194 Sammlung 194 No longer published / No longer aquired 157 Aufsatzsammlung 154 Statistics 145 Bibliografie enthalten 141 Bibliography included 141 Conference paper 127 Konferenzbeitrag 127 Research Report 103 Advisory report 84 Gutachten 84 Commentary 77 Kommentar 77 Rezension 66 Systematic review 50 Übersichtsarbeit 50 Market information 40 Marktinformation 40 Case study 32
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Language
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English 27,901 German 5,746 Undetermined 2,631 French 559 Spanish 510 Italian 145 Polish 131 Russian 97 Dutch 88 Portuguese 78 Hungarian 61 Croatian 54 Swedish 50 Czech 41 Danish 27 Slovak 15 Bulgarian 14 Norwegian 12 Slovenian 12 Romanian 11 Finnish 7 Serbian 5 Turkish 5 Ukrainian 4 Afrikaans 1 Arabic 1 Valencian 1 Estonian 1 Galician 1 Kazakh 1 Latvian 1 Lithuanian 1 Multiple languages 1 Albanian 1 Chinese 1
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Author
All
Scheide, Joachim 387 Nierhaus, Wolfgang 265 Kuntze, Oscar-Erich 225 Gern, Klaus-Jürgen 219 Boss, Alfred 212 Meier, Carsten-Patrick 211 Wohlrabe, Klaus 183 Russ, Hans G. 152 Kose, M. Ayhan 116 Döpke, Jörg 113 Abberger, Klaus 103 Oskamp, Frank 89 Christiano, Lawrence J. 88 Dovern, Jonas 88 Kamps, Christophe 88 Hinze, Jörg 86 Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens 85 Taylor, Alan M. 84 Döhrn, Roland 80 Benner, Joachim 78 Jannsen, Nils 78 Weinert, Günter 75 Langfeldt, Enno 73 Schmidt, Rainer 73 Holtemöller, Oliver 71 Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich 70 Kehoe, Patrick J. 70 Schatz, Klaus-Werner 69 Wollmershäuser, Timo 69 Bordo, Michael D. 67 Groll, Dominik 67 Marterbauer, Markus 67 Beaudry, Paul 66 Carstensen, Kai 65 Portier, Franck 65 Gertler, Mark 63 Grömling, Michael 63 Kooths, Stefan 63 Loose, Brigitte 63 Jordà, Òscar 61
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Institution
All
National Bureau of Economic Research 941 Institut für Weltwirtschaft 145 Kiel Institute for the World Economy 85 Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle 51 Arbeitsgemeinschaft Deutscher Wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute 50 Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH 48 Projektgruppe Gemeinschaftsdiagnose 46 Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der Gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 33 Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 31 Ifo-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 30 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 29 World Bank 25 Europäische Kommission / Statistisches Amt 24 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung / Arbeitskreis Konjunktur 23 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 19 Konjunkturforschungsstelle <Zürich> 19 Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research <Manchester> 18 OECD 18 University of Michigan / Department of Economics 18 Internationaler Währungsfonds 17 European University Institute / Department of Economics 16 World Bank Group 16 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 16 Hamburgisches Welt-Wirtschafts-Archiv 15 Institut der Deutschen Wirtschaft <Köln> / Forschungsgruppe Konjunktur 14 Sonderforschungsbereich Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse 14 Arbeitsgemeinschaft deutscher wirtschaftswissenschaftlicher Forschungsinstitute 13 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen 13 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 13 Ifo Institut 13 Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung 13 Credit Suisse 12 Association of European Conjuncture Institutes 11 Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit 10 Institut für Höhere Studien 10 Institut für Weltwirtschaft / Abteilung Konjunktur 10 Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung 9 Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle / Arbeitskreis Konjunktur Ostdeutschland 9 Internationaler Währungsfonds / Research Department 9 Konjunkturforschungsstelle Liechtenstein 9
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Published in...
All
NBER working paper series 920 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 883 Ifo Schnelldienst 464 NBER Working Paper 441 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 434 ifo Schnelldienst 414 Ifo-Schnelldienst 383 Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 382 ifo Dresden berichtet 254 Discussion paper series / IZA 248 Monatsberichte / WIFO, Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 242 Journal of monetary economics 224 DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 211 CESifo working papers 207 Economics letters 202 Economic modelling 190 Kieler Diskussionsbeiträge 190 Journal of economic dynamics & control 189 The American economic review 189 Die Weltwirtschaft : Vierteljahresschrift des Instituts für Weltwirtschaft an der Universität Kiel 170 IZA Discussion Paper 168 Working paper 153 Applied economics 152 Journal of macroeconomics 152 IMF working paper 148 Working paper series / European Central Bank 144 PlanEcon report : developments in the economies of central Europe and Russia 142 Discussion papers / CEPR 136 IMF working papers 135 Macroeconomic dynamics 131 Wirtschaftsdienst 126 Finance and economics discussion series 116 Review of economic dynamics 115 ECB Working Paper 113 European economic review : EER 111 Wirtschaft im Wandel 109 Applied economics letters 107 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 104 Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria 98 Staff working paper 97
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Source
All
ECONIS (ZBW) 35,150 EconStor 1,850 RePEc 825 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 228 USB Cologne (business full texts) 32 OLC EcoSci 15 BASE 7 ArchiDok 5
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Showing 1 - 50 of 38,112
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Preiskontrollen eignen sich nicht, um die Inflation zu bekämpfen
Bernoth, Kerstin; Kriwoluzky, Alexander - In: DIW Wochenbericht 89 (2022) 7, pp. 120
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"Deutsche Wirtschaft wird wohl im Sommer das Vorkrisenniveau erreichen"
Junker, Simon; Wittenberg, Erich - In: DIW Wochenbericht 89 (2022) 8, pp. 135
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Wirtschaftliche Effekte des Krieges in der Ukraine: Ausgangslage und Übertragungswege
Grömling, Michael - 2022
Der Krieg in der Ukraine schafft neue und verschärft bestehende Anpassungslasten für die gesamte Volkswirtschaft. Im folgenden Beitrag werden Orientierungspunkte für die ökonomischen Auswirkungen des Krieges auf die deutsche Wirtschaft aufgezeigt. Diese Effekte hängen von den politischen...
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The non-linear trade-off between return and risk and its determinants
Cotter, John; Salvador, Enrique - 2022
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Stark bedingte Zuversicht für 2022 : IW-Konjunkturumfrage Frühjahr 2022
Grömling, Michael - 2022
Die Ergebnisse der IW-Konjunkturumfrage vom Frühjahr 2022 liefern eine Einschätzung gemäß der zum Befragungszeitpunkt relevanten und erwartbaren Rahmenbedingungen für unternehmerisches Handeln. Deutliche Veränderungen dieses geoökonomischen Umfeldes - etwa durch vollständig ausfallende...
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Alternative measures for the global financial cycle : do they make a difference?
Tian, Xin; Jacobs, Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2022
We construct several measures for the global financial cycle using dynamic factor models and data for 25 advanced and emerging countries over 1980-2019. Our results suggest that global cycles in asset prices and capital flows are highly similar and synchronized, especially during crisis...
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Characterizing the schooling cycle
Sadaba, Barbara; Vujić, Sunčica; Maier, Sofia - 2022
This paper develops a novel and tractable empirical approach to estimate the cycle in schooling participation decisions, which we denominate the schooling cycle. The estimation procedure is based on unobserved components time series models that decompose higher education enrollment rates into a...
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Idiosyncratic income risk and aggregate fluctuations
Debortoli, Davide; Galí, Jordi - 2022 - Revised: January 2022
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Euroraum im Frühjahr 2022 : Kriegsschock lastet auf Erholung
Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens; Groll, Dominik; Kooths, Stefan; … - 2022
Die Wirtschaftsleistung im Euroraum hat zuletzt erstmals wieder ihr Vor-Corona-Niveau erreicht. Die konsumbezogene Mobilität war ungeachtet der hohen Infektionszahlen seit Jahresbeginn nur wenig beeinträchtigt, und Frühindikatoren zur Zuversicht von Unternehmen und Verbrauchern zeigten bis...
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Investment and business cycles : focusing on firms' capital adjustment costs
Nam, Changwoo - In: KDI-journal of economic policy 44 (2022) 1, pp. 77-98
This paper empirically verifies that the types of capital adjustment costs serve as an important mechanism in relation to investment decision- making after confirming that the investment dispersion of Korean firms is pro-cyclical and can affect busin ess cycles. Specifically, it is found through...
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Tracking market and non-traditional sources of risks in procyclical and countercyclical hedge fund strategies under extreme scenarios : a nonlinear VAR approach
Racicot, François-Éric; Théoret, Raymond - In: Financial innovation : FIN 8 (2022), pp. 1-56
The subprime crisis was quite damaging for hedge funds. Using the local projection method (Jordà 2004, 2005, 2009), we forecast the dynamic responses of the betas of hedge fund strategies to macroeconomic and financial shocks-especially volatility and illiquidity shocks-over the subprime crisis...
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Preiskontrollen eignen sich nicht, um die Inflation zu bekämpfen
Bernoth, Kerstin; Kriwoluzky, Alexander - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 89 (2022) 7, pp. 120
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"Deutsche Wirtschaft wird wohl im Sommer das Vorkrisenniveau erreichen"
Junker, Simon (interviewee); Wittenberg, Erich (interviewer) - In: DIW-Wochenbericht : Wirtschaft, Politik, Wissenschaft 89 (2022) 8, pp. 135
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How global is the domestic financial cycle? : evidence from Romania and 3 other EEMS
Muraru, Andreea; Bejenaru, Cristina - In: Journal of financial studies & research : JFSR 2022 (2022), pp. 1-13
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Cross-sectional financial conditions, business cycles and the lending channel
Ferreira, Thiago R. T. - 2022
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Wages, compositional effects and the business cycle
Christodoulopoulou, Styliani; Kouvavas, Omiros - 2022
During the Great Recession, unemployment increased substantially across several euro area countries, with wages exhibiting a muted response. As low skilled workers lose their jobs first during a recession, the remaining employed workers result in a relatively more skilled employment pool. This...
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The credit cycle and measurement of the natural rate of interest
Deriugina, Elena; Guseva, Maria; Ponomarenko, Alexey - In: Journal of central banking theory and practice 11 (2022) 1, pp. 87-104
We conduct a Monte Carlo experiment using an ad-hoc New Keynesian model and a tractable agent-based model to generate artificial credit cycle episodes. We show that fluctuations in the implicit measures of the natural rate of interest obtained using a conventional trivariate Kalman filter on...
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Idiosyncratic income risk and aggregate fluctuations
Debortoli, Davide; Galí, Jordi - 2022 - Updated version
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Systemic cycles of accumulation, spatial expansion and chaos : adding a missing link
Goldsmiths, Giorgos Galanis; Koutny, Christian; Weber, … - 2022
We re-examine the Systemic Cycles of Accumulation (SCA) of Arrighi (2010) and Arrighi and Silver (1999) which provide a framework for the analysis of the cyclical patterns of geographical expansion of trade and production and the related shifts of hegemonic power within the world capitalist...
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Konjunktur in China unter Druck
Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Reents, Jan - In: Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 102 (2022) 1, pp. 67-68
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Mainly employment : survey-based news and the business cycle
Masolo, Riccardo M - 2022
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Place-based consequences of person-based transfers : evidence from recessions
Hershbein, Brad; Stuart, Bryan A. - 2022
This paper studies how government transfers respond to changes in local economic activity that emerge during recessions. Local labor markets that experience greater employment losses during recessions face persistent relative decreases in earnings per capita. However, these areas also experience...
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Global cities and local challenges : booms and busts in the London real estate market
Canepa, Alessandra; Zanetti Chini, Emilio; Alqaralleh, … - In: The journal of real estate finance and economics 64 (2022) 1, pp. 1-29
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Time-varying dynamics of the german business cycle : a comprehensive investigation
Reif, Magnus - In: Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics 84 (2022) 1, pp. 80-102
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Trends and cycles in macro series : the case of US real GDP
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - In: Bulletin of economic research 74 (2022) 1, pp. 123-134
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Cyclical transactions and wealth inequality
Sakong, Jung - 2022
Wealth is distributed more unevenly than income, and one contributing factor might be that richer households earn higher portfolio returns. I uncover one channel that causes portfolio returns to be increasing in wealth: Poorer households consistently buy risky assets in booms-when expected...
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Uncertainty shocks and the monetary-macroprudential policy mix
Nalban, Valeriu; Smadu, Andra - 2022
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Economists in the 2008 financial crisis : slow to see, fast to act
Levy, Daniel C.; Mayer, Tamir; Raviv, Alon - 2022 - Last Revision: February 13, 2022
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The impact of globalization and digitalization on the Phillips Curve
Friedrich, Christian; Selcuk, Peter - 2022 - Last updated: February 22, 2022
In this paper, we examine the impact of globalization and digitalization on the Phillips curve in a sample of 18 advanced economies over two decades. Using industry-level data from the World and EU KLEMS databases, we first estimate country-industry-specific Phillips curves for each decade by...
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Reconciled estimates of monthly GDP in the US
Koop, Gary; McIntyre, Stuart; Mitchell, James; Poon, Aubrey - 2022
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A business-cycle model with monopolistically competitive firms and Calvo wages : lessons for Bulgaria
Vasilev, Aleksandar - In: Journal of economics & development : JED 24 (2022) 1, pp. 80-95
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How production networks amplify shocks
Bahal, Girish; Lenzo, Damian - 2022
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Labour market skills, endogenous productivity and business cycles
Abbritti, Mirko; Consolo, Agostino - 2022
This paper analyses how labour market heterogeneity affects unemployment, productivity and business cycle dynamics that are relevant for monetary policy. The model matches remarkably well the short and long run dynamics of skilled and unskilled workers. Skill mismatch and skill-specific labour...
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Are fund managers rewarded for taking cyclical risks?
Ryan, Ellen - 2022
The investment fund sector has expanded dramatically since the crisis of 2008-2009. As the sector grows, so do the implications of its risk-taking for the wider financial system and real economy. This paper provides empirical evidence for the existence of widespread risk-taking incentives in the...
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ifo DSGE model 2.0
Šauer, Radek - 2022
This documentation concisely describes the dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model that the ifo Institute currently uses for simulations and business-cycle analysis. The model consists of three countries and contains a wide range of rigidities. The model is regularly estimated by quarterly...
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Moral hazard, optimal unemployment insurance, and aggregate dynamics
Veracierto, Marcelo - 2022
In this paper, I explore how optimal aggregate dynamics can be shaped by the presence of moral hazard in unemployment insurance. I also analyze the optimal provision of unemployment insurance and the implications for the amount of cross-sectional heterogeneity. The economy that I consider embeds...
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Real exchange rate misalignment and business cycle fluctuations in Asia and the Pacific
Ambaw, Dessie Tarko; Pundit, Madhavi; Ramayandi, Arief; … - 2022
Real exchange rate (RER) misalignment, which is the deviation between the actual real exchange rate from its equilibrium, occurs frequently among developing economies. Studies have shown that RER misalignment may have negative economic implications, such as a reduction in economic growth,...
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Ciclos económicos y financieros : una aproximación empírica para Bolivia
Santander Quino, Camila Miriam - 2022
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Firm inattention and the efficacy of monetary policy : a text-based approach
Song, Wenting; Stern, Samuel - 2022 - Last updated: January 11, 2022
This paper provides direct evidence of the importance of firm attention to macro-economic dynamics. We construct a text-based measure of firm attention to macro-economic news and document firm attention that is polarized and countercyclical. Differences in attention lead to asymmetric responses...
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The premia on state-contingent sovereign debt instruments
Igan, Deniz; Kim, Taehoon; Levy, Antoine - 2022
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How should central banks react to household inflation heterogeneity?
Neyer, Ulrike; Stempel, Daniel - 2022
Empirical evidence suggests that considerable differentials in inflation rates exist across households. This paper investigates how central banks should react to household inflation heterogeneity in a tractable New Keynesian model. We include two households that differ in their consumer price...
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Explaining aggregated recovery rates
Höcht, Stephan; Wieczorek, Jakub; Zagst, Rudi - In: Risks : open access journal 10 (2022) 1, pp. 1-30
This study on explaining aggregated recovery rates (ARR) is based on the largest existing loss and recovery database for commercial loans provided by Global Credit Data, which includes defaults from 5 continents and over 120 countries. The dependence of monthly ARR from bank loans on various...
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Worker-firm screening and the business cycle
Bradley, Jake - 2022
There has been a substantial body of work modeling the co-movement of employment, vacancies, and output over the business cycle. This paper builds on this literature, and informed by empirical investigation, models worker and firm search and hiring behavior in a manner consistent with recent...
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IW Berlin economic outlook : summer upswing to follow winter slump
Baldi, Guido; Berenberg-Gossler, Paul; Engerer, Hella; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 12 (2022) 7/8, pp. 53-64
The Omicron wave of the coronavirus has impacted economies worldwide, resulting in a bleak winter. Although restrictions on economic and public life have been less severe than at the beginning of 2021 in many places-mainly due to the progress of vaccination campaigns-and there are prospects of...
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Are incurred loss standards countercyclical? : a case study using U.S. bank holding company data
Du, Fang; Hancock, Diana; Hafften, Alexander H. von - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 15 (2022) 3, pp. 1-30
After the 2008 global financial crisis, U.S. bank holding companies needing to cover larger-than-expected loan losses raised concerns that existing provision accounting may be procyclical. Most related studies have found evidence of procyclicality using either aggregate time-series data or...
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Addressing unemployment rate forecast errors in relation to the business cycle
Scheer, Bas - 2022
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The impact of active aggregate demand on utilisation-adjusted TFP
Gantert, Konstantin - 2022
Non-clearing goods markets are an important driver of capacity utilisation and total factor productivity (TFP). The trade-off between goods prices and household search effort is central to goods market matching and therefore drives TFP over the business cycle. In this paper, I develop a...
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The (heterogenous) economic effects of private equity buyouts
Davis, Steven J.; Haltiwanger, John C.; Handley, Kyle; … - 2022
The effects of private equity buyouts on employment, productivity, and job reallocation vary tremendously with macroeconomic and credit conditions, across private equity groups, and by type of buyout. We reach this conclusion by examining the most extensive database of U.S. buyouts ever...
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Learning the hard way: expectations and the U.S. Great Depression
Aguilar, Pablo; Pensieroso, Luca - 2022
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A new claims-based unemployment dataset : application to postwar recoveries across U.S. states
Fieldhouse, Andrew; Howard, Sean; Koch, Christoffer; … - 2022
Using newly digitized unemployment insurance claims data we construct a historical monthly unemployment series for U.S. states going back to January 1947. The constructed series are highly correlated with the Bureau of Labor Statics' state-level unemployment data, which are only available from...
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