This research studies the impact of macroeconomic announcement surprises on daily U.S. Treasury excess returns during the heart of Alan Greenspan's tenure as Federal Reserve Chair, addressing the possible limitations of standard static regression (SSR) models, which may suffer from omitted...

This study investigates the volatility of the Israeli corporate bond market, where corporate bonds are traded on a Limit Order Book (LOB) exchange with high retail trading activity. Using data from the Tel-Bond 20 and Tel-Bond 60 indices, we estimate various asymmetric GARCH models to capture...

This study investigates the effect of the annual "No-Smoking Day" on the stock performance of British American Tobacco (BATS) and Imperial Brands (IMB) from 1997 to 2023. Our findings reveal a significant negative impact of No-Smoking Wednesdays on BATS, with a moderate but statistically...

This paper examines the impact of complex yet precise language, particularly financial jargon, on information dissemination and ultimately market efficiency. As a natural laboratory, we analyze the information exchanged during earnings conference calls, where we instrument jargon with the Plain...

This research employs Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) to investigate multifractal properties in financial variables, including Bitcoin prices and economic indicators. Spanning 2019-2022, the analysis reveals multifractal scaling not only in Bitcoin prices, but also in...

The financial valuation of professional football players is influenced by multiple factors that evolve throughout a player's career. This study examines these determinants using Gradient Boosting Machine Learning models, segmented by three age categories and three playing positions to capture...

Information is incorporated into stock prices when investors trade; consequently, prices respond only to the information investors pay attention to. Because market efficiency requires rapid information dissemination and fully informative prices, attention necessarily affects the level of market...

This paper investigates the speed of price discovery when information becomes publicly available but requires costly processing to become common knowledge. We exploit the unique institutional setting of hacks on decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. Public blockchain data provides the precise...

The capital markets are sensitive to geopolitical events. It is important to provide evidence of reactions to specific geopolitical events in order to identify general patterns and effective risk management strategies. This study follows the event study approach to assess the reactions of...

This paper explores the impact of bank transparency on market efficiency by comparing banks that disclose supervisory capital requirements to those that remain opaque. Due to the informational content of supervisory capital requirements for the market this opacity might hinder market efficiency....

This conceptual article introduces Perceived Cognitive Assistance (PCA)-a novel psychological construct capturing how interactive support from Large Language Models (LLMs) alters investors' perception of their cognitive capacity to execute complex trading strategies. PCA formalizes a behavioral...

Differences in the behaviour of asset prices depending on data frequency have not been thoroughly investigated in the literature despite their possible importance. In particular, high-frequency data might contain more information about financial assets because they are updated more rapidly in...

Sports betting markets can be considered strongly efficient if expected returns on all possible bets on an event are equal. If this form of efficiency holds, then there is a direct mapping from betting odds into probabilities of outcomes of sporting events. We compare two regression-based...

We rationalize exclusive portfolio dealing in a novel three-period partial equilibrium framework populated by a representative, risk-neutral seller and a small number of ex ante identical broker-dealers. Endowed with independent, uncertain demand for a representative asset, the broker-dealers...

This study investigates the impact of Airbnb announcements on hotel stock prices across ten countries, distinguishing between exact- and general-location announcements. We found that while general announcements have minimal impact, those with exact locations consistently reduce hotel stock...

This study examines the behavior of bank stock prices in Jordan in relation to a significant tax reform event. We analyze a sample of all banks listed on the Amman Stock Exchange to study the market response to the Amended Income Tax Law 2018. In the proposal period, investors were anticipating...

Since 2021, Kalshi has operated as the only federally licensed prediction market in the United States. Using transaction-level data on over 300,000 contracts, we provide the first systematic evidence on its pricing. Kalshi's contract prices are informative and improve in accuracy as markets...

In order to reach climate neutrality by 2050, the European Union is taking action in the form of extensive sustainability regulations with the aim to push the private sector towards sustainable economic activities. In this context, a new instrument to finance a company's sustainability...

Despite recent studies focused on comparing the dynamics of market efficiency between Bitcoin and other traditional assets, there is a lack of knowledge about whether Bitcoin and emerging markets efficiency behave similarly. This paper aims to compare the market efficiency dynamics between...

This paper adopts the fractal analysis approach, specifically a Hurst exponent index in portfolio optimization at the Damascus Securities Exchange (DSE). We construct three portfolios based on the Hurst index from stocks listed on the DSE during the period between 2019 and 2021 and find that...

In order to reach climate neutrality by 2050, the European Union is taking action in the form of extensive sustainability regulations with the aim to push the private sector towards sustainable economic activities. In this context, a new instrument to finance a company's sustainability...

This paper analyzes market efficiency (EMH) with the day-of-the-week effect and the changes that might appear after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, based on the example of the OMX Exchange and its indices. Before the pandemic, only the OMX Baltic All‑share index was efficient; during...

Value and contrarian investment strategies are two basic approaches which are widely used by investors worldwide. Both value and contrarian investment strategies are assumed to pick the same stocks even though the approach to picking the stocks is different. Furthermore, both investment...