Market participants use leveraged derivatives to gain access to equity market exposure through broker banks. Leverage and interconnectedness via overlapping portfolios of dealer banks can amplify adverse market movements, potentially causing sizeable losses. I propose a model, based on granular...

Extant empirical studies have predominantly focused on the nexus between working capital management (WCM) and corporate profitability. While there is a dearth of literature on the nexus between WCM and a firm's risk, the present study examines Pakistani-listed firms coming from 12 diverse...

When measuring market risk, credit institutions and Alternative Investment Fund Managers may deviate from equally weighting historical data in their Value-at-Risk calculation and instead use an exponential time series weighting. The use of exponential weighting in the Value-at-Risk calculation...

Institutional investors often have to decide which strategy to use across international business cycles. This is especially important during economic and financial crises. The exogenous nature of the outbreak of the dramatic COVID-19 crisis represents a unique opportunity to understand the...

Market participants use leveraged derivatives to gain access to equity market exposure through broker banks. Leverage and interconnectedness via overlapping portfolios of dealer banks can amplify adverse market movements, potentially causing sizeable losses. I propose a model, based on granular...

This paper proposes an aggregate index of macro tail risk and examines its role in asset pricing. We observe that a positive market risk premium compensated for the downside risk of macro fundamentals; a high tail risk predicts subsequent high returns. This predictability exists both in- and...

We decompose the excess market return into speculation and non-speculation components. The former is negative and predicted by market sentiment. The latter is positive and not predicted by sentiment. The speculation component explains roughly 30% of the variation in the excess market return. In...

This paper examines the impact of unconventional monetary policy of ECB measured by its balance sheet expansion on euro area equity market uncertainty and investors risk aversion within a structural VAR framework. An expansionary balance sheet shock decreases both risk aversion and uncertainty...

The aim of the presented study was to assess the quality of VaR forecasts in various states of the economic situation. Two approaches based on the extreme value theory were compared: Block Maxima and the Peaks Over Threshold. Forecasts were made on the daily closing prices of 10 major indices in...

Extant empirical studies have predominantly focused on the nexus between working capital management (WCM) and corporate profitability. While there is a dearth of literature on the nexus between WCM and a firm's risk, the present study examines Pakistani-listed firms coming from 12 diverse...

Purpose: The main aim of the study was to determine the effect of income smoothing and CSR disclosure whether it affects market performance which is divided into 3 aspects, namely market response (CAR), market risk (SD), market value (MVE) in manufacturing companies in Indonesia. This study uses...

Im Januar 2019 veröffentlichte der Baseler Ausschuss für Bankenaufsicht eine revidierte Fassung der Mindestanforderungen an Eigenkapital für Marktrisiken, die am 01.01.2023 in Kraft treten wird. Diese Arbeit beschäftigt sich mit dem auf Sensitivitäten basierenden Standardansatz und dem...

We show how uncertainty shapes the asset allocation, composition, productivity, and value of capital-intensive firms. We do so using detailed, near-universal data on shipping firms' new orders, secondary-market transactions, and demolition of ships. Firms curtail both the acquisition and...

EU legislators mandated the European Banking Authority to propose a stress scenario methodology for capitalising non-modellable risk factors (NMRF) as foreseen under the Basel Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) rules for market risk. In this paper, we present the foundations of such a...

Purpose: The main aim of the study was to determine the effect of income smoothing and CSR disclosure whether it affects market performance which is divided into 3 aspects, namely market response (CAR), market risk (SD), market value (MVE) in manufacturing companies in Indonesia. This study uses...

We show how uncertainty shapes the asset allocation, composition, productivity, and value of capital-intensive firms. We do so using detailed, near-universal data on shipping firms' new orders, secondary-market transactions, and demolition of ships. Firms curtail both the acquisition and...

From 1963 through 2015, idiosyncratic risk (IR) is high when market risk (MR) is high. We show that the positive relation between IR and MR is highly stable through time and is robust across exchanges, firm size, liquidity, and market-to-book groupings. Though stock liquidity affects the...

The risk of corporate financial distress negatively affects the operation of the enterprise itself and can change the financial performance of all other partners that come into close or wider contact. To identify these risks, business entities use early warning systems, prediction models, which...

This paper provides a discrete-time approach for evaluating financial and actuarial products characterized by path-dependent features in a regime-switching risk model. In each regime, a binomial discretization of the asset value is obtained by modifying the parameters used to generate the...

This paper provides an econometric analysis aiming at evidencing the dynamics showed by the S&P 500 market index during the period of 4 January 2001-28 April 2020, in which the subprime crisis has taken place and the COVID-19 crisis has begun. In particular, we fit a three-regime switching model...

When measuring market risk, credit institutions and Alternative Investment Fund Managers may deviate from equally weighting historical data in their Value-at-Risk calculation and instead use an exponential time series weighting. The use of exponential weighting in the Value-at-Risk calculation...

We model the S&P500 index options dynamics using the CGMY distribution, with independent "up" and "down" return jumps, and diffusive jump intensities. Allowing the up and down parts to be separately parameterised accounts for the dynamic smirk effect, without correlation between returns and...

The left tail of the implied volatility skew, coming from quotes on out-of-the-money put options, can be thought to reflect the market's assessment of the risk of a huge drop in stock prices. We analyze how this market information can be integrated into the theoretical framework of convex...

This work aimed to study and analysis the various risk associated with different environment. The selected method consists of market risks and operating risks. The approach used in this paper is proved to be practical and useful in the decision-making process of capital budgeting and investment...

The risk of corporate financial distress negatively affects the operation of the enterprise itself and can change the financial performance of all other partners that come into close or wider contact. To identify these risks, business entities use early warning systems, prediction models, which...

This paper provides an econometric analysis aiming at evidencing the dynamics showed by the S&P 500 market index during the period of 4 January 2001-28 April 2020, in which the subprime crisis has taken place and the COVID-19 crisis has begun. In particular, we fit a three-regime switching model...

Purpose The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between corporate governance and risk management of Indonesian banks. Design/methodology/approach Implementation of good corporate governance is measured by good corporate governance composite rating, which is the result of bank's...

Volatility clustering and fat tails are prominently observed in financial markets. Here, we analyze the underlying mechanisms of three agent-based models explaining these stylized facts in terms of market instabilities and compare them on empirical grounds. To this end, we first develop a...

This paper provides a discrete-time approach for evaluating financial and actuarial products characterized by path-dependent features in a regime-switching risk model. In each regime, a binomial discretization of the asset value is obtained by modifying the parameters used to generate the...