In the dual risk model, while the ultimate ruin probability has an exact and straightforward formula, the mathematics becomes significantly more complex when considering a finite time horizon, and the literature on this topic is scarce. As a result, there is a need for numerical approximations....

Financial time-series data often exhibit statistically significant skewness and heavy tails, and numerous flexible distributions have been proposed to model them. In the context of the Log-linear Realized GARCH model with Skew-t (ST) distributions, our objective is to explore how the choice of...

Natural disasters like hurricanes, earthquakes, and floods devastate food supply chains and can threaten food security and public health. These disruptions, from production to consumption, lead to shortages, increased waste, and heightened vulnerability among food-insecure populations. This...

The literature on dynamic discrete games often assumes that the conditional choice probabilities and the state transition probabilities are homogeneous across markets and over time. We refer to this as the "homogeneity assumption" in dynamic discrete games. This assumption enables empirical...

Purpose: This study investigates how South Africa's sectoral stock market performance responds to monetary and fiscal policy shifts across two macroeconomic regimes: the pre-inflation targeting (Pre-IT) and the inflation targeting (IT) periods. Design/methodology/approach: Employing a Markov...

This paper presents a methodology for incorporating a regime-based approach to portfolio optimisation, specifically for fixed income portfolios. By segmenting the market into distinct periods or "regimes" characterised by different market conditions, such as high or low volatility, investors can...

The withdrawal of public sector intervention from Malta's housing market commenced in the early 1990s, while financial markets were liberalised in 1994. These developments were likely behind the significant expansion in credit and house price appreciation experienced over the past two decades,...

At the start of the Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) vaccination campaign in Mexico, the vaccine was the world's most essential and scarce asset. Managing its administration to optimize its use was, and still is, of paramount importance. However, when the first vaccine was developed at the end of...

This study examines the impact that fat-tailed distributions of the spread residuals have on the optimal orders for pairs trading of stocks and cryptocurrencies. Using daily data from selected pairs, the spread dynamics has been modeled through a mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and...

The popular Wishart (WI) processes, first introduced by Bru in 1991, exhibit convenient analytical properties for modeling asset prices, particularly a closed-form characteristic function, and the ability to jointly model stochastic volatility and correlation. These features tend to increase...

In the past two decades, the design and implementation of living donor kidney exchange clearinghouses have been a major success story in market design. Instead of batching and optimizing exchanges over a fixed pool of incompatible patient-donor pairs, the busiest programs now operate...

This study explores the presence of hidden market regimes in a sector-specific stock index within the Thai equity market. The behavior of such indices often deviates from broader macroeconomic trends, making it difficult for conventional models to detect regime changes. To overcome this...

In the present study, we model the migration process and the changes in the market environment. The migration process is being modeled as an F -inhomogeneous semi-Markov process with fuzzy states. The evolution of the migration process takes place within a stochastic market environment with...

This study introduces a novel composite approach to nonlinear inflation dynamics in identifying historical inflation patterns and forecasting future regime shifts. Assuming inflation's responsiveness to its determinants varies across inflation regimes and that inflation shock magnitude shapes...