This thesis deals with the portfolio optimization problem of an investor who aims to maximize the expected utility of her terminal wealth. The considered multidimensional asset price model incorporates several risk factors modeled both by diffusion processes and by a Markov chain. Based on the...

Financial bubbles have been present in the history of financial markets from the early days up to the modern age. An asset is said to exhibit a bubble when its market value exceeds its fundamental valuation. Although this phenomenon has been thoroughly studied in the economic literature, a...

We consider fundamental questions of arbitrage pricing arising when the uncertainty model is given by a set of possible mutually singular probability measures. With a single probability model, essential equivalence between the absence of arbitrage and the existence of an equivalent martingale...

We study mean-variance hedging under portfolio constraints in a general semimartingale model. The constraints are formulated via predictable correspondences, meaning that the trading strategy is restricted to lie in a closed convex set which may depend on the state and time in a predictable way....

The Markowitz problem consists of finding in a financial market a self-financing trading strategy whose final wealth has maximal mean and minimal variance. We study this in continuous time in a general semimartingale model and under cone constraints: Trading strategies must take values in a...

We solve the problem of mean-variance hedging for general semimartingale models via stochastic control methods. After proving that the value process of the associated stochastic control problem has a quadratic structure, we characterise its three coefficient processes as solutions of...

We develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing in a probability-free infinite-dimensional setup. We replace the usual assumption of a prior probability by a certain continuity property in the state variable. Probabilities enter then endogenously as full support martingale measures (instead...

The paper focuses on the problem of pricing and hedging a European contingent claim for an incomplete market model, in which evolution of price processes for a saving account and stocks depends on an observable Markov chain. The pricing function is evaluated using the martingale approach. The...

An equivalent sigma-martingale measure (EsigmaMM) for a given stochastic process S is a probability measure R equivalent to the original measure P such that S is an R-sigma-martingale. Existence of an EsigmaMM is equivalent to a classical absence-of-arbitrage property of S, and is invariant if...

This paper explicitly solves, in closed form, the optimal consumption and port folio choice for an ambiguity averse investor in a Merton-type two assets economy where a risk premium follows a mean-reverting process. The investor's preferences are represented by the recursive multiple priors...

The purpose of this paper is two-fold. First is to extend the notions of an n-dimensional semimartingaleand its stochastic integral to a piecewise semimartingale of stochastic dimension. The propertiesof the former carry over largely intact to the latter, avoiding some of the pitfalls of...

An equivalent !-martingale measure (E!MM) for a given stochastic process Sis a probability measure R equivalent to the original measure P such that S isan R-!-martingale. Existence of an E!MM is equivalent to a classical absenceof-arbitrage property of S, and is invariant if we replace the...

We solve the problem of mean-variance hedging for general semimartingale modelsvia stochastic control methods. After proving that the value process of theassociated stochastic control problem has a quadratic structure, we characteriseits three coefficient processes as solutions of semimartingale...

We generalize the results for statistical functionals given by [Fernholz, 1983] and [Serfling, 1980] to M estimates for samples drawn for an ergodic and stationary martingale sequence. In a first step, we take advantage of some recent results on the uniform convergency of the empirical...

We consider nonparametric estimation of the conditional qth quantile for stationary time series. We deal with stationary time series with strong time dependence and heavy tails under the setting of random design. We estimate the conditional qth quantile by local linear regression and investigate...

Matching estimators are widely used in statistical data analysis. However, the distribution of matching estimators has been derived only for particular cases (Abadie and Imbens, 2006). This article establishes a martingale representation for matching estimators. This representation allows the...