Search Results - subject_exact:"Microsimulation"

Climate policy as development policy : leveraging carbon revenues for social protection in low- and middle-income countries

Gasior, Katrin; Wright, Gemma; Jara, H. Xavier; … - 2026

Carbon pricing is widely recognized as a key tool for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. However, if implemented without compensatory measures, it can increase poverty and inequality. The aim of this paper is to examine the role of carbon pricing in generating fiscal space for expanding social...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015591537

A practical framework for behavioral microsimulation using external evidence

Jia, Zhiyang; Skagseth, Snorre; Thoresen, Thor Olav; … - 2026

When structural labor supply models are unavailable or impractical, the paper proposes a practical method for incorporating behavioral responses into static taxbenefit microsimulation models. Using elasticity estimates from the literature, the proposed external evidence procedure offers a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015591619

How the universal pension scheme shapes poverty outcomes in Zanzibar : insights from the ZANMOD microsimulation model

Hemed, Issa; Ramadhan, Ramadhan - 2026

This study examines the effectiveness of the Zanzibar Universal Pension Scheme using the Zanzibar taxbenefit microsimulation model ZANMOD and data from the 2019/2020 Household Budget Survey across baseline, historical, and reform scenarios. It shows that the scheme plays an important role in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651860

Tax relief on public and private pension contributions in Ireland

Doorley, Karina; Gubello, Michele - 2026

This report provides an up-to-date assessment of the scale and distributional impact of tax relief on public, occupational, and private pension contributions in Ireland. Using SWITCH, the ESRI's tax-benefit microsimulation model, we quantify the cost of tax relief under the current...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633685

Who pays for decarbonizing homes?

Lackner, Teresa; Nabernegg, Stefan - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015667669

Fuel subsidy removal and compensatory policy options in Ethiopia and Rwanda

Rodriguez, David; Shahir, Adnan; Silva, Johana; Zasova, Anna - 2026

This paper estimates the welfare effects of removing fuel subsidies in Ethiopia and Rwanda and assesses compensatory options for protecting low-income households. We combine tax-benefit microsimulation models with input-output analysis to capture direct fuel price effects and indirect effects...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015670287

The emergence of tax-benefit microsimulation models in the Global South : the experience of SAMOD, SOUTHMOD, and EUROMOD-based models for Latin America

Jara, H. Xavier; Gasior, Katrin; Lastunen, Jesse; … - 2026

This paper examines the experience of building and using tax-benefit microsimulation models for countries in the Global South in EUROMOD. The study focuses mainly on three key initiatives: the pioneering SAMOD model, the SOUTHMOD project, and EUROMOD-based models for Latin America. The paper...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015670232

Impact assessment of social assistance for education on welfare distribution : a microsimulation approach using INDOMOD

Setyawan, Achmad Budi; Karlina, Rina; Maruti, Retno; … - 2025

Social assistance for education is one of several instruments in Indonesia to support poor and vulnerable people. There are two main programs which is Family Hope Program (PKH) and Smart Indonesia Program (PIP). Analyzing the distributional impact to both programs is very important to improve...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015179558

Assessing consumer CBDC adoption in Luxembourg : a micro-simulation approach

Giordana, Gastón - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015197270

The distributional effects of carbon pricing in Türkiye

Can, Zeynep Gizem; O'Donoghue, Cathal; Sologon, Denisa M. - 2025

As middle income countries grow they see an increase in demand for energy. To avoid extreme climate change as these countries develop, there will be a need to decarbonise the increased energy consumption as they grow. We use the PRICES microsimulation model to examine the impact of carbon...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015199831

Housing policy impacts on poverty and inequality in Europe

Bérard, Guillaume; Trannoy, Alain - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015474102

Effects of COVID-19 on catastrophic health expenditures and inequality in Benin : a microsimulation approach

Honlonkou, Albert N.; Bassongui, Nassibou; Daraté, … - 2025

This study assesses the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on catastrophic health expenditures and income inequality in Benin. A microsimulation was calibrated to estimate the impact of the pandemic under three different shock scenarios: low, moderate, and severe. The analysis relies on secondary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015447928

How could taxing illicit financial flows contribute to financing a universal child benefit in Ghana?

Nichelatti, Enrico; Shahir, Adnan A. - 2025

Trade mis-invoicing represents a significant economic challenge in Ghana, with losses estimated at 3.03 per cent of gross domestic product in 2018. We examine the potential of a universal child benefit in Ghana through a counterfactual taxation of illicit financial flows. Using microsimulation,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015451759

Coordinated minimum wage policies : ompacts on EU-level income inequality

Filauro, Stefano; Grünberger, Klaus; Narazani, Edlira - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015434478

The boomer solidarity surcharge : an important tool for stabilizing pensions without directly burdening younger generations

Bach, Stefan; Blesch, Maximilian; Gehlen, Annica; … - 2025

As the baby boomer generation enters retirement, the payas-you-go pension system in Germany is under an increasing amount of pressure. Relevant changes, in particular higher contribution rates or lower pension levels, are causing tension between generations: Either the financial burden on the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015438533

The redistributive effects of in-kind transfers in Italy

Dicarlo, Emanuele; Savegnago, Marco - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015585242

The cushioning effects of tax-benefit policies in Viet Nam during the COVID-19 pandemic

Mahieu, Antoine de; Lastunen, Jesse - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015620629

The potential of universal basic income schemes to buffer shocks : comparing Uganda and Zambia during COVID-19

Nichelatti, Enrico; Jouste, Maria; Rattenhuber, Pia - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015622880

Targeted versus universal benefits : poverty-reduction performance in times of crisis

Shahir, Adnan; Kanbur, Ravi; Pirttilä, Jukka; … - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015622883

The role of minimum income schemes in poverty alleviation in the European Union

Almeida, Vanda; De Poli, Silvia; Hernández, Adrian - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015399523

Not that basic : how level, design and context matter for the redistributive outcomes of universal basic income

Aerts, Elise; Marx, Ive; Verbist, Gerlinde - 2024

Proponents of a basic income (BI) claim that it could bring significant reductions in financial poverty, on top of many other benefits, including greatly reduced administrative complexity and cost. Using microsimulation analysis in a comparative two-country setting, we show that the potential...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014487711

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Not that basic : how level, design and context matter for the redistributive outcomes of universal basic income

Aerts, Elise; Marx, Ive; Verbist, Gerlinde - 2023

Book / Working Paper

Microsimulation of tax-benefit systems in the Global South : a comparative assessment

Lastunen, Jesse; Mahieu, Antoine de; Gasior, Katrin; … - 2024

This paper analyses the effectiveness of tax-benefit systems in reducing poverty and inequality across 13 countries in the Global South. Using national survey data and tax-benefit microsimulation models from the SOUTHMOD project, we provide a cross-country perspective on the redistributive...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014534792

The potential of universal basic income schemes to mitigate shocks : comparing the performance of universal basic income in Uganda and Zambia during COVID-19

Nichelatti, Enrico; Jouste, Maria; Rattenhuber, Pia - 2024

The debate over universal basic income (UBI) has gained traction in the developing world in recent years. We analyse the effects of four UBI schemes on poverty and inequality measures during normal times and times of crisis in Uganda and Zambia. We use static microsimulation models and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014519337

Normative judgments implicit in the tax system : a simulation approach

Isaak, Niklas; Jessen, Robin - 2024

How much does society value redistribution? The common method to derive inverse-optimum welfare weights is by inverting an optimal-tax model. Our alternative imposes fewer restrictions on labor supply and enables comparisons across household types. We use a structural labor supply model to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015162768

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Normative judgments implicit in the tax system : a simulation approach

Isaak, Niklas; Jessen, Robin - 2024

Book / Working Paper

Distributional impacts of global food price shocks in South Africa : case of Russia-Ukraine conflict

Hartley, Faaiqa; Gabriel, Sherwin - 2024

The world has faced an increasing number of global shocks that have resulted in large and unpredictable changes in global prices, particularly of food. These increases, coupled with the negative impacts of shocks to economic growth, have had damaging effects on welfare, hunger, and diets. Future...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015168586

The impact of taking up care tasks on pensions : results of typical-case simulations for several European countries

Van den Bosch, Karel; Kirn, Tanja; Kump, Nataša; … - 2024

Informal care is often accompanied by a reduction or abandonment of professional activity by the caregiver. Therefore, caregiving may be associated with a lower pension for the former caregiver than for people without care obligations. There is a large gender difference in informal care...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10014578305

Tax expenditures and redistribution - The case of Portugal

Christl, Michael; Berdeal, Silvia Navarro - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015564421

A practical framework for behavioral microsimulation using external evidence

Jia, Zhiyang; Skagseth, Snorre; Thoresen, Thor Olav; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015596023

Climate policy as development policy: Leveraging carbon revenues for social protection in low- and middle-income countries

Gasior, Katrin; Wright, Gemma; Jara, H. Xavier; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015619309

Imputing household expenditure for indirect tax simulation: Extending SWISSMOD using statistical matching

Anderl, Robin; Kirn, Tanja; Oschwald, Patrick - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015654833

Tax expenditures and redistribution : the case of Portugal

Christl, Michael; Berdeal, Silvia Navarro - 2026

This paper assesses the fiscal and distributional effects of personal income tax expenditures in Portugal using EUROMOD and 2022 EU-SILC microdata. We compare the 2023 tax-benefit system with a counterfactual scenario in which tax expenditures are removed to estimate first-round impacts. We find...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015615624

Electricity tariff and VAT reform in Ethiopia : welfare, poverty, and cost-of-living spillovers

Shahir, Adnan Abdulaziz; Lastunen, Jesse - 2026

Ethiopia initiated a major electricity sector reform in 2024, significantly increasing tariffs and introducing a value-added tax on electricity consumption to improve the financial sustainability of its stateowned utility. This study assesses the short-term distributional, sectoral, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015637717

National stability, local reconfiguration : demographics, labour markets, and redistribution in spatial income inequality

Montes-Viñas, Ana; Sologon, Denisa M.; Li, Jinjing - 2026

This paper examines how stable national disposable income inequality can coexist with substantial local reconfiguration in spatial inequality within a small, open, and highly integrated economy. Focusing on Luxembourg, where strong commuting flows and a nationally uniform tax-benefit system...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015640442

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National stability, local reconfiguration : demographics, labour markets, and redistribution in spatial income inequality

Montes-Viñas, Ana; Sologon, Denisa M.; Li, Jinjing - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Mikrosimulation von Reformoptionen steuerfinanzierter Sozialleistungen

Blömer, Maximilian; Bonin, Holger; Bruckmeier, Kerstin; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015647611

Imputing household expenditure for indirect tax simulation : extending SWISSMOD using statistical matching

Anderl, Robin; Kirn, Tanja; Oschwald, Patrick - 2026

Indirect taxes such as value-added tax (VAT) and environmental levies play a growing role in fiscal and distributional policy in Switzerland, yet existing microsimulation tools lack the consumption information required to analyse their incidence. This paper closes this gap by extending SWISSMOD...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015651953

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Imputing household expenditure for indirect tax simulation : extending SWISSMOD using statistical matching

Anderl, Robin; Kirn, Tanja; Oschwald, Patrick - 2026

Book / Working Paper

Two decades of child-contingent policies and redistribution in Spain

Hernández, Adrián; Cantó, Olga; Picos, Fidel - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015652848

Green EUROMOD: the environmental extension of the EU's tax-benefit microsimulation model

Maier, Sofia; De Poli, Silvia; Klenert, David; Amores, … - 2026

This article introduces Green EUROMOD, the environmental extension of the EU's tax-benefit microsimulation model EUROMOD. It provides a novel framework for evaluating the distributional, environmental, and fiscal impacts of green policy reforms across the 27 EU Member States. The model captures...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015633296

Policy impact assessment : Autumn Budget Statement 2026 : UK-wide distributional analysis 2026-2030

Frimpong, Rejoice - 2026

Purpose and scope: This analysis assesses the cumulative impact of the Autumn Budget Statement 2025 on UK residents over the period 2026-2030. The Budget has been passed by Parliament and will be implemented beginning in April 2026. This report models policy impact on the UK population using...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015634130

Enhancing tax-benefit modelling functionality : labour supply responses in UKMOD

Van de Ven, Justin; Richiardi, Matteo; Brooks, Natasha; … - 2026

This paper describes the integration of labour supply behavioural responses into UKMOD, the UK tax-benefit microsimulation model belonging to the EUROMOD family. Traditional static models quantify only the direct ("morning after") fiscal and distributional effects of policy reforms, abstracting...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015634131

Trends in Child Benefit take-up in the UK since 2008

Mitton, Lavinia; Vella, Melchior; Popova, Daria; … - 2026

In April 2013, a significant change to Child Benefit (CB) was introduced in the UK: it switched from a universal benefit to a targeted benefit. The new High Income Child Benefit Charge (HICBC) required families to repay some or all of their Child Benefit via the tax system if either partner's...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015634134

Unclaimed support : changes in the take-up of means-tested benefits in the UK since 2008

Popova, Daria; Vella, Melchior; Mitton, Lavinia; … - 2026

Non-take-up of social benefits occurs when eligible individuals or households fail to claim welfare support to which they are entitled. This paper provides new estimates of take-up for major UK benefits between 2008 and 2023, including Child Benefit, Pension Credit, and Universal Credit together...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015634138

Comparing tax and benefit microsimulation models : a guide for analysts in low- and middle-income countries

Abramovsky, Laura; Evans, Martin; Iddrisu, Abdul Malik; … - 2026

Tax and benefit microsimulation models (MSMs) and fiscal incidence analyses (FIAs) are important tools for understanding how fiscal policies affect households across the income distribution. They are used to assess who bears the burden of taxation, who benefits from public spending, and how...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de, ebvufind01.dmz1.zbw.eu/10015668565