Mikrosimulationsstudien sind ein empirisches Standardinstrument zur ex ante-Evaluation wirtschaftspolitischer Vorschläge. Der Vorschlag eines bedingungslosen Grundeinkommen für Deutschland wurde in den letzten zwanzig Jahren immer wieder mit diesem Instrument simuliert - und aus fiskalischen...

Mikrosimulationsstudien sind ein empirisches Standardinstrument zur ex ante-Evaluation wirtschaftspolitischer Vorschläge. Der Vorschlag eines bedingungslosen Grundeinkommen für Deutschland wurde in den letzten zwanzig Jahren immer wieder mit diesem Instrument simuliert - und aus fiskalischen...

This article describes ZEW-EviSTA®, the microsimulation model developed and used at ZEW - Centre for European Economic Research in Mannheim. The model simulates the German tax and transfer system using household micro level data. By estimating fiscal effects, labor market outcomes as well as...

Microsimulation models have been particularly useful when dealing with the economic welfare impact of COVID-19, particularly since such models offer a way to obtain timely and policy-relevant information in the absence of detailed household-level survey data. This study uses EUROMOD, a static...

This paper examines the distributional impacts of agricultural policies versus those of cash transfers using a tax-benefit microsimulation model for Zambia for the policy year 2020. The analysis also considers the behavioural impacts of input subsidies and social cash transfers. The results...

This paper calculates automatic stabilization in Ghana, South Africa, and Ecuador to explain income cushioning amid income and demand shocks. Fiscal policies within these countries are also stress tested to gauge welfare contingencies and insurance. A discretionary action approach is adopted for...

This paper assesses the feasibility of developing a tax and benefit microsimulation model in Rwanda. Tax-benefit microsimulation can be used to explore ways in which national development goals can be achieved in a cost-effective manner, and to assess the distributional effects of more...

As a response to a changing labour market scenario and to the concerns for increasing costs and bad incentives of traditional income support policies, the last decades have witnessed, in many countries, reforms introducing more sophisticated designs of means-testing, eligibility and tagging. In...

In this paper, we propose a novel approach for the ex-ante assessment of tax reforms accounting for second-round effects, i.e. the dynamic scoring of tax reforms. We combine a microsimulation model for selected European countries with VAR estimates of macro responses and, exploiting a unique...

Die Maßnahmen zur Eindämmung der Pandemie wirken sich kurzfristig erheblich auf den Arbeitsmarkt aus. Die Kurzarbeit ist massiv angestiegen und auch die Arbeitslosigkeit hat zugenommen. In diesem Bericht untersuchen wir anhand des Dynamischen Mikrosimulationsmodells (DySiMo) des DIW Berlin die...

In diesem Report zeigen wir die Simulation verschiedener Varianten eines Bedingungslosen Grundeinkommens (BGE) in Deutschland. Wir greifen dafür auf eine Standardmethode der Evaluation von Reformvorschlägen im Steuer- und Transfersystem zurück - die Mikrosimulation. Es gibt zahlreiche...

Um die Potenziale der Mikrosimulation als ein Instrument zur Analyse der zukünftigen Versorgungslagen im Elementarbereich und zur Planung entsprechender (politischer) Interventionen zu untersuchen, wurde am Beispiel der Stadt Trier eine Mikrosimulationsstudie durchgeführt. Die Datenbasis...

We study a set of tax reforms introducing a budget-neutral tax shift in Italy, from labour income to consumption taxes. To this end we use a microsimulation model to provide the output with which to estimate the parameters of tax functions in an overlapping-generations computable general...

The increasing flows of immigrants in Europe over the last decade has generated a range of considerations in the policy agenda of many receiving countries. One of the main considerations for policy makers and public opinions alike is whether immigrants contribute their ”fair” share to their...

The increasing flows of immigrants in Europe over the last decade has generated a range of considerations in the policy agenda of many receiving countries. One of the main considerations for policy makers and public opinions alike is whether immigrants contribute their "fair" share to their host...

Die Maßnahmen zur Eindämmung der Pandemie wirken sich kurzfristig erheblich auf den Arbeitsmarkt aus. Die Kurzarbeit ist massiv angestiegen und auch die Arbeitslosigkeit hat zugenommen. In diesem Bericht untersuchen wir anhand des Dynamischen Mikrosimulationsmodells (DySiMo) des DIW Berlin die...

This paper focuses on the possibilities and functionalities offered by the tax-benefit microsimulation model for the UK – UKMOD to simulate and analyse the distributional impact of three examples of Basic Income schemes. We show how to build in functionalities to ensure fiscal neutrality and...

Using household data from the Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey (VHLSS) and the sector-specific growth and remittance inflow projections by Asian Development Bank (ADB), this study first estimated the COVID-19 pandemic on income and poverty status of the Vietnamese households, and then...

This paper presents baseline results from the latest version of EUROMOD (version I3.0+), the tax-benefit microsimulation model for the EU. First, we briefly report the process of updating EUROMOD. We then present indicators for income inequality and risk of poverty using EUROMOD and discuss the...

Although the effect of fiscal drag is well studied in the industrialized world, empirical evidence from developing economies remains limited. Against this backdrop, this study aims to explore the effect of fiscal drag on income distribution and work incentives. To this end, the study employs...

Presumptive tax, a final tax on business income, was introduced in Uganda in 1997. The latest reform to the regime in July 2020 sought to make the system more progressive, simpler and fairer to small firms. In this work, we evaluate the reform, focusing on its revenue implications based on...

This paper analyses the first-round effects of hypothetical minimum wage increases on social outcomes in 21 EU countries with a statutory national minimum wage based on a microsimulation approach using EUROMOD. The methodological challenges related to the use of available EU household survey...

Pension taxation has large budgetary and distributional effects, in particular in the light of ageing societies and the importance of pension benefits in old-age income. This paper investigates the impact of taxing public and mandatory occupational old-age pensions in the EU, focusing on both...

In diesem Report zeigen wir die Simulation verschiedener Varianten eines Bedingungslosen Grundeinkommens (BGE) in Deutschland. Wir greifen dafür auf eine Standardmethode der Evaluation von Reformvorschlägen im Steuer- und Transfersystem zurück -- die Mikrosimulation. Es gibt zahlreiche...